Joined March 2009
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Apr 2
This morning Jacob Siegel manufactured a controversy to gin up sales for his error-riddled book; he admits as much in the article he wrote for @TheFP, where he plays victim and pretends that a correction is cEnsoRsHiP.
He says I "didn't deny" asking The Baffler to pull its review of my book but I absolutely fucking do lol. And I did on the phone with an editor for The Free Press this afternoon. Somehow, Jacob's email to me demanding my emails with other publications was supposed to serve as its own factcheck.
Here's what actually happened: "Corrections Are Censorship: Jacob Siegel’s Latest Fiction"
reneediresta.substack.com/p/…
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Jun 15
I’m 3 years in as a defendant in vexatious litigation by America First Legal and NCLA. I wish I’d sued for defamation earlier on. Until the left has an answer to the lawsuit mills and fights in court this shit will continue. Sue tf out of them to impose consequences and costs in return, wherever you can win.
Jun 13
I wrote in @nybooks about the importance of civil litigation as an unused political tool against the GOP and its allies:
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Jun 15
Their cases are often bullshit longshots that they’ll definitely lose but they file anyway. Some of the ones mentioned above are winners. File. It’s past time.
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Renee DiResta retweeted
Jun 11
Did you see Taibbi’s actual post? Here’s what he wrote about Raman’s speech and here’s what she actually said. The fact that this mf sues anyone for ‘creating false impressions’ with their words is wild.
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Jun 10
My kid just got into “8th grade algebra.” He’ll take it in 7th grade.
He passed a *test* 😱 and can now do a thing at his appropriate capability level. In a public school! Ali Collins and Gabby Lopez and Brandee Marckmann (who just lost her school board race!) fought to keep this from being allowed in SF so I just wanted to close the loop on it. ☺️
Fight to keep bullshit policies out of your kids’ districts. Acceleration is good, actually.
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Renee DiResta retweeted
Meanwhile the piece in @TheFP today acknowledges that the "cheating" claims are without substance -- but suggests that it's really the fault of the voting system in CA because it takes so long to count the ballots. Barely any criticism of the conspiracy floggers. Very FP. 🙄
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More than a few people who were barking this morning that California Dems had rigged the election against Pratt are currently congratulating Steve Hilton on making the gubernatorial runoff without any recognition that these two things don't compute
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Renee DiResta retweeted
Jun 9
If you think the Spencer Pratt trutherism is fun now, just wait until control of the US House comes down to waiting a week for the results of a few districts in CA, later this year.
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Jun 8
Every election we see the same tropes and the same cope from the same people.
When they lose, that is.
open.substack.com/pub/agents…
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One idea I really enjoy is that Democrats have an unbeatable vote rigging operation, but instead of just using it all the time, they sadistically employ it only after briefly giving Republicans hope
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Jun 8
California politics is insane; it’s national content fodder. Spencer Pratt ran an extremely online campaign. But getting likes from people online doesn’t translate to votes in LA; polling had Raman as a likely 2nd.
The ballot drops are a classic red mirage/blue shift pattern. The prediction markets understand how mail-in ballot distributions work; it’s the most predictable thing in American politics. There’s no evidence of fraud — those claims are pure cope.
open.substack.com/pub/agents…
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Renee DiResta retweeted
Jun 6
This is an actual page on the White House web site. It reads like something written about a third world dictator. So embarrassing. I have not seen any branch of the federal government sink this low in my lifetime.
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Renee DiResta retweeted
May 21
The Department of Justice is now an active participant in multiple conspiracy theories, and doing profound damage to the government's credibility. From @qjurecic @TheAtlantic
theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0…
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Renee DiResta retweeted
May 20
The cultural trope says women are desperate to get married while men have to be dragged into it. But what does the data actually show?
Looking back at a great moment from our "Sex and Freedom: Dating, Desire, and the Politics of Intimacy" Super Salon, where host @noUpside and guest @CathyReisenwitz look at who actually wins in traditional marriage.
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May 6
I wrote about this issue back in 2018, as it was first emerging. Predatory grifters have been pushing this for a long time now -- this did not happen overnight. A combination of terrible incentives, fear, coddling antivax bullshit, and authoritative voices not understanding how to compete in the modern information environment got us here.
wired.com/story/the-complexi…
May 6
New: Babies who don’t get the vitamin K shot are 81 times more likely to develop severe bleeding. In many cases, oxygen can’t reach their brains and blood pools around their skulls. Yet driven by misinformation, more parents are refusing the injection. propub.li/42PRfyl
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In March and April, the Trump Justice Department settled two high-profile Biden-era cases involving allegations of government pressure on social and conservative media. @NoUpside cuts through the noise surrounding them to explain what the resulting consent decrees actually established.
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May 5
The Murthy v Missouri consent decree wasn't a win, despite the spin out of Eric Schmitt et al. The language is very clear: "shall not be construed as evidence or as an admission regarding any issues of law or fact, or regarding the truth or validity of any allegation or claim raised in this action or in any other action."
This piece explains what the settlement *actually* limits, what it allows, and explains why Missouri and the Twitter Files pushers keep lying about it (tl;dr: its main value is political collateral for a narrative).
In March and April, the Trump Justice Department settled two high-profile Biden-era cases involving allegations of government pressure on social and conservative media. @NoUpside cuts through the noise surrounding them to explain what the resulting consent decrees actually established.
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Apr 29
This is the best one so far
Apr 28
Had a Jane Street interview in 2014
Round 7. Interviewer says 'meet me at Washington Square Park, southwest corner, 2 PM.'
I show up. He's playing chess with a guy who's clearly hustling tourists. Interviewer's losing badly.
Without looking up he says, 'Take my position.'
I sit down. The chess hustler looks at me and grins. 'Your boy owes me $40. You covering his position?'
I look at the interviewer. He nods.
'Assume the debt,' he says. 'Now optimize.'
I study the board. I'm down a queen and two rooks. Completely hopeless.
'This position is unwinnable,' I say.
'Correct. Now make it profitable.'
'What?'
The chess hustler is getting impatient. 'You playing or what, kid?'
The interviewer slides me a $20. 'Market make this game.'
I'm confused. 'How do I market make chess?'
'Bid-ask on the number of moves until checkmate. Hustler takes the under, you take the over. Spread is your edge.'
I look at the position again. Maybe 8 moves max until I'm mated.
'I bid 12 moves, offer 15,' I announce.
The hustler laughs. 'I'll take the under on 12 all day.'
'Done,' says the interviewer. 'You're now short volatility on a deterministic outcome.'
Three moves later I'm checkmated. I owe the hustler $40 plus my $20 bet.
'How confident were you in that 12-move bid?' the interviewer asks.
'0.95,' I say, because that's what you always say.
'0.95 huh?' He chuckles. 'You just sold insurance on the Titanic.'
He stands up. 'The real trade was shorting your confidence and going long on the hustler's experience. You missed the obvious hedge: offering chess lessons to tourists at $25/hour while the game played out.'
'But I don't know how to play chess well enough to teach.'
'Exactly. That's called selling vol you don't have. Very Jane Street.'
Offer rescinded. Reason: 'Failed to recognize that the park itself was the market and the pigeons were the only rational actors.'"
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Apr 16
The Free Press let a whiner have 2000 words to spin nonsense about his book review being cEnSoreD -- supposedly, by me. They promoted the narrative heavily.
When they were shown emails proving this narrative was bs, they chose to ignore them -- protecting their friend and their story at the expense of the facts.
agentsofinfluence.substack.c…
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