$NVDA Earnings Tomorrow
Over the past 6 weeks we saw two simultaneous themes in the options market for seminconductors: institutions were aggressively SELLING long-dated puts (EOY), a structural bullish bet that any pullback would be a buying opportunity, while at the same time, traders were BUYING short-dated puts to lock in gains and hedge through earnings season. In the last 5 trading days, both flows have reversed: the hedging pressure has eased, and put selling has rotated from the back end to the front end, desks are now harvesting elevated IV around specific catalysts like NVDA earnings tomorrow, rather than positioning for the long haul. Call buying isn't broad-based, it's been selective, targeted at second-derivative semi names like AMD, QCOM, MRVL, ON, and INTC.
NVDA: Two large institutional traders sold puts on NVDA today, collecting a combined ~$3.1M in premium and $77.81M notional risk ahead of tomorrow's earnings Both expire next week.
They're harvesting elevated implied volatility. IV in NVDA is sitting at 58–60% heading into the print. The minute earnings hit, that IV will collapse, and these short put positions will benefit from that, even if the stock doesn't move.
Combined ~3,500 contracts and $3.1M in premium
Both strikes cluster near $222–225, which is essentially saying that level is where the institutional money sees support post-earnings.
Trade #1 — 9:42 AM ET
Sold 2,225 NVDA $225 Puts expiring 5/27 (8 days out)
Hit the bid at $9.55 → $2.12M premium collected = $50.06M notional
Stock was trading at $220.60 so this put is $4.40 in-the-money
Trade #2 — 11:07 AM ET
Sold 1,247 NVDA $222.50 Puts expiring 5/26 (7 days out)
Hit the bid at $8.00 → $997.6K premium collected = $27.75M notional
Stock was at $220.59 so this put is $1.91 in-the-money
#options #NVDA #earnings