16 days until the first ball drops.
48 teams. 104 matches. 16 straight days of group stage.
Prediction markets have already priced $394.9M in World Cup bets.
France leads at 18%. Spain at 17%.
Europe takes it at 71%.
The biggest sporting event on the planet starts June 11.
Every match has a probability. Who lifts the trophy?
๐ต France
๐ด Spain
โช England
๐ก Brazil
๐ Dark horse
Tomorrow's schedule (PT):
๐ 12:00 PMใ๐ง๐ฆ Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Canada ๐จ๐ฆ (Group B)
๐ 6:00 PMใ๐ต๐พ Paraguay vs USA ๐บ๐ธ (Group D)
One of the host nations plays their first game.
Upset rate: 22% โ projected 35% in 2026.
The four teams most likely to cause one:
๐ฏ๐ต Japan: beat Germany Spain in the same group
๐ธ๐ฆ Saudi Arabia: beat Argentina during a 36-game unbeaten run
๐ธ๐ณ Senegal: beat France in 2002, draw them again on June 16
๐ฒ๐ฆ Morocco: first African nation to reach a World Cup semifinal
Full breakdown and highlight video๐งต
In 2022, Morocco became the first African nation to reach a World Cup semifinal. They beat Spain on penalties in the Round of 16 and Portugal in the quarterfinal.
They qualified for 2026.
Japan has done this twice in three years. Senegal plays France on June 16. Saudi Arabia and Morocco carry the same tactical setups that produced 2022's biggest results.
All four are active on prediction markets. Which team goes deepest in 2026?
Current title odds:
Spain 450
France 475
England 700
Portugal 850
Brazil and Argentina both at 900
Spain came in as reigning European champions. France have the depth. England haven't won this since 1966.
The teams getting traction outside the top odds:
Morocco reached the 2022 semi-finals and have the defensive structure to go deep again. Japan have beaten Spain and Germany in recent World Cups.
Neither is favored, and both are worth watching.
The 2026 World Cup opens tomorrow in Mexico City. 48 teams, 104 games, and a format that gives more countries a path to the knockouts than any edition before.
Full breakdown before the first whistle. ๐งต
June 11: Mexico vs South Africa at Estadio Azteca opens the tournament. South Korea vs Czechia also kicks off in Group A.
June 12: USA vs Paraguay at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
June 16: Senegal vs France in Group I.
History's biggest World Cup.
48 teams across 12 groups, 104 games total. Top two from each group advance plus the best third-place finishers, so 32 teams reach the knockouts.
The US hosts 78 matches, including most knockout rounds.
WE knocked @BilibiliGaming out of the winners bracket. BLG came back with a 3-0 over AL.
June 13: they meet again, with Chinaโs second MSI seat on the line.
Full breakdown of where LPLโs playoff race stands. ๐งต
June 13: BLG vs WE, the rematch.
WE won the first meeting. BLG has won every game since. The winner faces TES in the LPL Finals on June 14 and locks Chinaโs second MSI 2026 seat. Lose, and the split is over.
TES has Chinaโs first MSI seat. The second goes to whoever wins on June 13.
Which team goes to MSI from LPL?
๐ต BLG revenge sweep
๐ก WE keeps the run
๐ฅ This goes to Game 5