The world has become much more resilient to disaster events over the last century.
In the chart here, you can see estimates of average death rates — measured as the number of deaths per 100,000 people — by decade since the early 20th century.
Over the last century, death rates have fallen by more than 90%.
Records from a century ago are much less complete, with many small and medium-sized events missed, so this may even be an underestimate.
This is not because hazards have become weaker. It’s because societies have become more resilient.
– Weather forecasting has allowed us to know when disasters are coming ahead of time, giving societies time to prepare.
– Early warning systems allow local populations to take cover and stay safe.
– Better buildings can withstand earthquakes and hurricanes.
– National and international cooperation, combined with transport and trade, means others can provide assistance when a disaster does strike.
– Food systems are more productive and better connected, making the impact of a lost harvest less severe than it would have been a century ago.
Continuing to improve the resilience of systems worldwide remains crucial to reducing the toll from disasters in the future.
ALT Stacked bar chart of global annual death rates from natural disasters (decadal averages of deaths per 100,000 people) where the 1920s and 1940s show major peaks largely driven by droughts and floods and rates are much lower from about 1960 onward. Data source: EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain (2026); population data based on various sources (2024). License: CC BY. Coverage is more limited before the year 2000, so longer historical trends may partly reflect reporting improvements.