Looking at charts all day, doing a PhD on the side. Bubble boy. Bear market enjooyer.

Joined May 2023
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So much bullish slop on my TL makes my bearish conviction on $BTC even stronger. It has been a disappointing cycle for many but now is not the time to risk your capital on copium longs. Patience will be rewarded, FOMO will be punished.
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$BTC This is why I'm not interested in trading until we hit 62.5k. Sentiment is as bad as 2022 so ultimately I expect more chop in this range, potential deviation to low 50s, and recovery after.
Unpopular opinion but I reckon $MSTR bottom could be at around $100. One more test of ~$100 and I think we’re good to go. Timing-wise $BTC is on course for cycle lows in Q3 and recovery later in the year.
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$BTC update Got average filled at 61.7k, looking for a bounce to 70k , hopefully 75k. A lot of doom and gloom on the timeline but if are to bounce then it should be here, otherwise the chart is cooked. Best RR we get is here.
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$BTC Added more to longs, final fill. Average entry at 60.8k. Bounce or die.
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$BTC Time for a squeeze.
$BTC This is why I'm not interested in trading until we hit 62.5k. Sentiment is as bad as 2022 so ultimately I expect more chop in this range, potential deviation to low 50s, and recovery after.
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$BTC Best case scenario we squeeze hard to 75k in a matter of days, flip short there and then nuke back down to 60k quickly after that. According to all the indicators I have built we should already be in the accumulation zone here in which case I expect choppy/chaotic moves.
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$SOL Longed some here at 73.5, stops below 68 and I'm targeting ~85. Still waiting for $BTC longs but $SOL looks good for longs already – very negative funding rates, swept major liquidity on monthly/weekly, and bullish divergences on LTF.
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Got stopped on this, went lower than expected. But got filled on $BTC which is my higher conviction play.
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Unpopular opinion but I reckon $MSTR bottom could be at around $100. One more test of ~$100 and I think we’re good to go. Timing-wise $BTC is on course for cycle lows in Q3 and recovery later in the year.
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$BTC Alternatively, if we shit the bed here, I’d look to long 62.5k for a bounce back to 75k. That would be the best RR play if we get it — liquidity to liquidity.
$BTC Coming into weekly demand, I would look for a bounce once we take out 72k. We’ve got the range highs and CME gap around 79k so I like that area as a target. To the downside there is decent liquidity at 70k which may still come first.
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$BTC Coming into weekly demand, I would look for a bounce once we take out 72k. We’ve got the range highs and CME gap around 79k so I like that area as a target. To the downside there is decent liquidity at 70k which may still come first.
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$ETH Took a little scalp - Tuesday low taken out while there is some nice liquidity above 2423.
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The next new moon 🌑 is on 16 May. So I could see us run until then only to reverse and get an ugly monthly close in the end. The classic tale of sell in May.
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solana:9BB6NFEcjBCtnNLFko2FqVQBq8HHM13kCyYcdQbgpump Honestly looks good for a bit of upside/relief. Still down 92% from ATH but now forming a nice accumulation base while reclaiming some moving averages on the weekly. 45 cents seem doable, 75 cents eventually too.
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$Fartcoin We are so back. Sat out weeks of chop and we start moving on the day I get back in the market.
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$BTC Imagine getting 90k before 30k.
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$BTC If we reject here, I see a lot of liquidity below 70.5k for the taking. Then we could rip up to 80k and reject there, mimicking the previous consolidation in January.
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Nevermind, closed my $ETH long just before this pump. At least I wasn’t short haha.
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$BTC The fibs would line up beautifully as well.
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$ETH I’m long, looks good for a push to 2500. Above 2500, I’d look for shorts if I get a decent setup.
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I reckon even 2600 on ethereum:native is possible. But I don’t think this is the bear market low, so far it’s just another ABC correction in a macro downtrend. Anything below 3400 is still a lower high.
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