Trump, who promised "no new wars," is begging for an exit, and Iran knows it.
Inflation hit 4.2% in May. Energy prices jumped 23.5%. 97,000 jobs cut last month.
Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz now. 20% percent of global oil flows through that waterway. Iran shut it, reopened it, and shut it again. The US cannot fix this.
Iran now has a "toll booth" in the strait that did not exist before the war, and it is likely permanent.
Tump's approval slumped to 42.5%.
70% disapprove of his economy. Betting markets give him a 12% impeachment chance by year end.
Trump is now claiming a deal is close. But Iran has not made a final decision. Why would they? They hold the strait. They hold the leverage. They hold the cards.