Alvarez's box score is hiding the annoying part. I’m buying Kansas City because the traffic keeps showing up. Alvarez has allowed 14 hits and 8 walks over his last 11.2 innings, and Washington has pulled him before the sixth in both starts this month. That pushes this into the middle innings early. The Nationals’ bullpen is running a 7.53 ERA over the last week, so I don’t want to pay for Washington like the handoff is clean. Spence is the ugly reason the number is sitting at 115. But KC is hitting .282 with a .744 OPS over its last 10, and this matchup gives those bats a real lane. I’ll take Witt and the livelier lineup against the shakier full-game pitching path.

Spain's second wave is a horrible thing to meet on debut. This is the one Spain game where the attacking depth matters more than the starting XI. They hit 21 goals in six qualifiers, and the control is boring in the worst way for Cape Verde: Rodri, Pedri and Fabian Ruiz putting the match in one half until something cracks. Cape Verde earned the trip, but the clean defensive story came at home. Away from that, Cameroon put four past them and Libya got three, and neither side can keep the ball away from them like Spain can. Lamine on the bench only adds to the stress. Cape Verde still has to save legs for him after spending the first wave chasing Spain's midfield. I want the four-goal game from Spain pressure and Spain depth.