0.5.7 has been delayed for a few more hours due to a rather serious bug with the economic improvements. We’re very happy to share why because it should also give you an insight into how everything in Governance is connected...
As part of the testing we test out our economic model on longform economics throughput over 50-100 years. We know most games will only last 5-10 years but we like to be thorough.
Between years 19-25, without fail the economy completely collapses after the markets take a nose dive. Essentially, Ward level data was being added twice as part of productivity and output data modelling, which completely broke employment data and tax calculations. This caused a multi trillion deficit to form, increasing ridiculously year on year. Within 20 years the debt to GDP hit 300%. The biggest government expense was debt interest.
GDP falls by 5% a quarter with interest rates doubling. There’s no modelling of IMF bailouts or more extreme economic options yet so without adequate tools for the chancellor, the economy collapsed and took everything with it. Private NPC stock buyers pulled out of the market as their investments collapse. However this whole situation weakened the pound against the dollar, so their money is worthless. The governments in the sim responds by increasing taxes to >80%, which went over about as well as you could expect.
On a ward and constituency level, in one sim there was full unemployment! All industries collapsed entirely… except IT and print journalism 😂
However on one sim government still found time to build a new motorway project between Birmingham and Bristol… only for a future government to cancel it 50% of the way through.
This all in turn affects government satisfaction, which led to endless party super majorities flipping from one side to the other. Politicians mutinied against further tax hikes and started their own movements- but due to the two party effect, usually just split votes enough in key marginal constituencies to get the opposition elected with a ridiculous mandate.
A mandate that they then screw up because the economy has completely collapsed and they currently lack the further tooling to turn everything round in that exceptional circumstance!
We have fixed most of this behaviour as it has crept in with our later testing. But we thought we would share it for one simple reason. Even when the big picture is comically wrong, it’s built on a framework on complex decisions and simulations that we have done right. It’s exciting to see things take shape and we want to make sure it’s ready for everyone to play!