polyfair.pro is now live
We built a free real-time analytics and trading simulator tool for Polymarket Crypto markets.
For traders who want a quantitative edge.
It is a demo trading environment where you can test strategies, refine your execution, and build confidence WITHOUT risking your own capital.
The foundation of the tool is built on an idea you've probably seen discussed:
Using Statistical Models to find mispricing on prediction markets.
We took that concept and made it live and interactive.
Three pricing models run in real time, comparing their Fair Prices estimates against actual Polymarket CLOB prices:
• LN_EWMA: Lognormal GBM with Exponentially Weighted Moving Average volatility
• LN_GARCH: Lognormal GBM with GARCH(1,1) volatility forecasting
• T_EWMA: Student-t distribution (fat tails) with EWMA volatility
All parameters are adjustable. Tune each model to fit current market conditions.
If you're not sure where to start, there's a built-in guide covering how to choose a strategy and what each parameter actually does.
For traders already active on Polymarket!
Chrome Extension is live in the Web Store.
Add it to your browser sidebar and keep Fair Prices visible while you trade without ever switching tabs.
Capture your Edge with PolyFair