1. The market everyone is talking about on polymarket. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15 polyverify.com/market?market… Here are some important metrics we found (Thread)

5. Just look at the holders, almost all of top YES holders are SMART MONEY. For use this implies that it is a big probability that this market will resolve to yes after

1/ Two weeks of upgrades to PolyVerify - on-chain forensics for Polymarket. Every flag is now explainable, every number trustworthy. 🧵🔍

7/ ✅ Accuracy pass (post-pUSD migration) pUSD now counted everywhere — funding totals, wallet balances, the relationship graph. Resolved markets open correctly, and manipulation scores are now reproducible.

A lot of debate over the Microstrategy sold Bitcoin over on Polymarket. It resolved to NO although Strategy indeed sold Bitcoin in May. While many of the normal users bought into Yes shares we were seeing almost all Smart Money being on the NO side when it was 30c.

The reason is already all over Twitter, this type of market always resolved it the announcement of selling bitcoin was made during the time frame of the market.

🧵 PolyVerify — what shipped this week

8/ Verification flow upgrades shipped earlier this week too: - Progress meter shows immediately when you navigate from leaderboard → verify - Browser notification fires when a heavy market scan completes - All funding origins now shown sorted by volume (previously capped at 5) - Wallet graph interactions, true owner resolution, social-login detection