Author of the book "Improving Your NCAA Bracket with Statistics"
Joined November 2009
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The final dataload is in. Good luck! #marchmadness #BigDance, #bracketology, #brackets, #NCAAbrackets, #NCAAbracket, #bracketpool
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The second dataload is in. Wednesday play-in games are still estimated.
#marchmadness #BigDance, #bracketology, #brackets, #NCAAbrackets, #NCAAbracket, #bracketpool
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The first dataload is in. #marchmadness #BigDance, #bracketology, #brackets, #NCAAbrackets, #NCAAbracket, #bracketpool
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Some may have had a lock on being in the money after the Final Four if they used the Kenpomv model. That is the case for the Bloomberg Brackets for a Cause pool bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-…. Many of the "titans from business and finance" are not good at bracket strategy.
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My Kenpom model was even better than Kenpomv this year. Note that the probabilities are a little different from KenPom's, see his here: kenpom.substack.com/p/2025-n…
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But if you live near Houston or Florida, then the homer bias might make them the most popular team in your pool. cbssports.com/college-basket…
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It was a good year for a contrarian champ. I hope you did not assume Duke was a contrarian pick since they were not in the upper left corner of the bracket. The Yahoo pool champ pick distribution and the Vegas champ odds are two ways to find the most popular team.
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I think mRchmadness is the only free app that includes an opponent model:
saberpowers.shinyapps.io/mRc…
It's one of the tools that I recommended in my book. It was out of service for a few years but now it is back.
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There is another free app here:
mathstat.slu.edu/~clair/pool…
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Tom Adams retweeted
21 Mar 2024
Better late than never, mRchmadness (w/ @elishayer) is up for 2024!
We're NOT in the business of predicting outcomes. But if you have those predictions from another source, our tool maximizes your chances of winning your pool (using pick data from ESPN).
saberpowers.shinyapps.io/mRc…
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The final data load is in, with a 3/21 timestamp.
Good luck!
#marchmadness #BigDance, #bracketology, #brackets, #NCAAbrackets, #NCAAbracket, #bracketpool
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The NCAA does not properly time the 10-second backcourt violation in many venues. It is a defacto 9-second violation due to a type of off-by-one error. The shot clock displays are no standardized.
epicurusgarden.blogspot.com/…
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