Tool-Assisted Melee content creator & record holder・DM or discord.gg/KBwDy3m to 💬・views=mine
Joined November 2015
- Tweets 26,865
- Following 525
- Followers 33,275
- Likes 13,164
3,315 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
10 Jun 2025
INTRODUCING
Super Smash Bros Melee's Home Run Contest Iceberg!
Full explanation in my first new video in almost 4 years! Go watch it now!
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Extremely interesting result out of NAIC Seniors (452 players):
After round 10, my sim projects an 8-1-2 cut *99%* of the time, but it actually had an 8-2-1 cut. My sim assumes players at X-1-1 will ID into cut if there is a high chance of X-1-2 cut, but that didn't occur. (1/2)
I extended this work using the same assumptions for 65-512 player tournaments, which covers smaller events as well as Juniors (born after 2013) and Seniors (born 2010-2013).
While the pattern is the same, the shift to the right means these are much less likely to see X-1-2 cuts.
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Clinton Y and Leonardo V chose not to ID in round 11. If they ID'd, there would be 8 players at 8-1-2, so both would have made top 8. Instead, they both lost their assym match and ended top 16. And Hikaru H, who just finished 2nd, wouldn't have qualified for top cut at 8-2-1.
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Jun 13
I updated this script to complete a tournament in progress using its actual day 1 results.
NAIC with its 3752 entrants, as it ran yesterday, has a 96% chance of an 11-1-2 cut. On average, 9.9 players will have 35 points.
Hi Pokemon TCG Twitter, I'm PracticalTAS and today I'm here to tell you why you might not want to Intentionally Draw at 5-2-0
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Jun 12
Never thought I’d see the day when Kagaribi Ultimate has more attendees than Evo Vegas SF6
In fact at this number it’s very possible that Supernova Ultimate is the largest single offline fighting game bracket in the USA this year (2432 last year)
Final Registration Leaderboard for #Evo2026.
See the full breakdown of these numbers, including entrant crossover and country data: evo.gg/news/evo-2026-by-the-…
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Hi Pokemon TCG Twitter, I'm PracticalTAS and today I'm here to tell you why you might not want to Intentionally Draw at 5-2-0
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Extended for 65-512 player tournaments, covering small events and juniors/seniors
x.com/PracticalTAS/status/20…
I extended this work using the same assumptions for 65-512 player tournaments, which covers smaller events as well as Juniors (born after 2013) and Seniors (born 2010-2013).
While the pattern is the same, the shift to the right means these are much less likely to see X-1-2 cuts.
842
I extended this work using the same assumptions for 65-512 player tournaments, which covers smaller events as well as Juniors (born after 2013) and Seniors (born 2010-2013).
While the pattern is the same, the shift to the right means these are much less likely to see X-1-2 cuts.
Hi Pokemon TCG Twitter, I'm PracticalTAS and today I'm here to tell you why you might not want to Intentionally Draw at 5-2-0
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For example, Turin Juniors (181) is only around a 1-2% chance to see an X-1-2 cut, and Seniors (169) is even less than that.
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