Joined March 2024
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22 Photos and videos
Jun 16
Paraguay opened the World Cup with a 4-1 loss to the USA. Our market has swung 37 points β now 78% they don't reach the knockouts.
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Jun 16
But they're not out. The 48-team format keeps a third-place door open, and Friday vs TΓΌrkiye decides it. Win and the math flips; lose and it's over.
Does beating TΓΌrkiye get Paraguay through, or is the group already gone?
Predict on hype.predicted.one now!
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Jun 15
BTC just ran to $65,695 β and stalled $139 below $65,834.
π That $65,834 line is exactly what one of our markets is pricing, and volume on it doubled in a single poll. Up ~2% on the day (USβIran tensions easing, fresh ETF inflows), yet still under the line by a rounding error.
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Jun 15
Does BTC reclaim $65,834 before the close, or does the rally stall right where it is?
hype.predicted.one
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Jun 11
The World Cup kicks off today β and Korea Republic π°π· is the name moving.
π Volume on Predicted nearly tripled since our last check: 1,352 β 3,956. Still small in absolute terms, but the move is real β and it's landing hours before they open against Czechia in Guadalajara.
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Jun 11
Group A (Mexico, Czechia, South Africa) is genuinely open. Korea's only World Cup semifinal came on home soil in 2002.
Best shot at a deep run since β or a group exit dressed up as a winnable draw?
Predict now
poly.predicted.one
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Jun 7
Bitcoin's slid all week β ~$72k on June 1 to ~$61.5k now, about 50% off its October high.
There's a driver behind it: spot BTC ETFs just bled a record ~$3.4B in a single week, their biggest outflow since launch.
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Jun 7
Hottest market on Predicted Hype is on a knife's edge β BTC back above $61,720 by tomorrow 06:00 UTC? Spot's a hair under the line.
Does spot reclaim $61,720 before the 06:00 cutoff, or stay pinned below as ETF money keeps walking out? π
Predict now
hype.predicted.one/?league=cβ¦
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Jun 6
π©πͺ Germany lands in Chicago on an 8-game win streak β 27 scored, 5 conceded. πΊπΈ The USMNT's final tune-up before they host the World Cup, and the market has Germany at 58%.
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Jun 6
Home turf, everything to prove β is 58% giving the US enough credit, or is that streak the real read?
Have you Predicted? poly.predicted.one/?league=fβ¦
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Jun 5
Netherlands 78% to beat Algeria β and the lazy read is 'eh, just a friendly, stars get rested.'
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Jun 5
Except Algeria named a full-strength XI for this one: Mahrez, AΓ―t-Nouri, Aouar, Luca Zidane in goal. AFCON champions in 2019, World Cup-bound β not the makeweight that number implies. It's a tournament tune-up, not a throwaway.
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Jun 5
So does 78% hold for a Dutch home win β or is it light on an Algeria side that's better than people remember? π€
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Jun 5
BTC slid from ~$72K to ~$62.9K this week β a record 13-day ETF outflow streak ($4.4B) and ~$1.8B liquidated.
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Jun 5
$62K, the level everyone was watching, already cracked once: BTC dipped to ~$61.6K before clawing back. Now it's the line in the sand, with $60K the floor below.
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Jun 5
The market's live on Predicted Hype, built on Hyperliquid β if you're already trading there, this one's in your lane. π΄
Does $62K hold from here, or is $60K next? #Hyperliquid
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Jun 4
The Dodgers roll in 38-21, top of the NL West and winners of 14 of their last 17 β yet the market only has them at 64% over Arizona tonight.
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Jun 4
First pitch incoming - Pull it up in
poly.predicted.one/?league=mβ¦
for a team running this hot, does 64% read low to you, or is a division rival the great equalizer? π
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Jun 4
That's the hardest problem in prediction markets, playing out in public: the event is real, but resolving it cleanly isn't. The gap between what happened and what a market can prove happened is exactly the layer we're building.
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Jun 4
When does a thing "count" β the moment it happens, or the moment you can prove it? π€
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