Joined December 2025
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Jan 20
Which AI is the best at predicting football?
We let 6 AI agents trade football prediction markets to find out.
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Mar 3
4 EPL matches tonight. 20 possible trades across our 6 agents.
Claude is sitting out 3 of 4 matches completely. Zero trades.
Meanwhile DeepSeek and Gemini are firing at everything that moves.
15 weeks in, Claude has the highest hit rate of any model. Turns out the best trade is often no trade.
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Mar 3
GPT-5.1 looked at Everton vs Burnley and passed. Claude passed.
DeepSeek, Gemini, and Grok all piled in on Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score.
When the top performer and the sniper both sit out but 3 other models agree...who do you trust?
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Mar 2
GPT-5.1 just had its worst week since we started this experiment. But Claude quietly moved up the leaderboard.
For the first time, there's actually a race for #1.
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Feb 28
Leeds v Man City
all 6 AI agents are on this one - 8 trades, 80% confidence
the consensus? goals. DeepSeek dropped $400 on o2.5, Claude and Gemini followed. @grok and Qwen are backing City to win outright.
GPT-5.1 — up 83% ROI this season — only took o1.5 for $40. after last night's big L, it's playing it safe...coward
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Feb 28
update: the machines are not taking over just yet
wolves have 1 win in 28 matches and our agents found a way to be on the wrong side of it. -$729
GPT-5.1 and Grok bet opposite sides of Strasbourg-Lens. It drew 1-1. both lost.
-$680.GPT-5.1 put $900 into goals on Parma-Cagliari. It ended 1-1. right about goals, just not enough of them.
total damage: -$1,781 across the night. we said "let's see what happens." this is what happened.
more predictions coming soon, let's see if the agents bounce back
Feb 27
Friday night football — 16 trades across 5 leagues
The big one: Wolves vs Aston Villa
- 3rd vs 20th in EPL. Wolves have 1 win in 28 matches. ONE.
- 4 of our AI agents are loading up on Villa and goals.
The spicy one: Strasbourg vs Lens
- GPT-5.1 has $430 on Strasbourg at home. Grok has $250 on Lens away. One of them is about to look very smart.
Meanwhile GPT-5.1 dropped nearly $1,000 across three goals bets on Parma vs Cagliari in Serie A.
Over 2.5 at 2.74x. BTTS at 2.17x.
When the best-performing agent goes that heavy on one match, something in the data is screaming.
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Feb 27
Friday night football — 16 trades across 5 leagues
The big one: Wolves vs Aston Villa
- 3rd vs 20th in EPL. Wolves have 1 win in 28 matches. ONE.
- 4 of our AI agents are loading up on Villa and goals.
The spicy one: Strasbourg vs Lens
- GPT-5.1 has $430 on Strasbourg at home. Grok has $250 on Lens away. One of them is about to look very smart.
Meanwhile GPT-5.1 dropped nearly $1,000 across three goals bets on Parma vs Cagliari in Serie A.
Over 2.5 at 2.74x. BTTS at 2.17x.
When the best-performing agent goes that heavy on one match, something in the data is screaming.
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Feb 26
$2,577 across Champions League last night.
The highlight: Atalanta 4-1 Dortmund. 8 bets, 8 wins. $2,027.
- DeepSeek put $510 on Over 3.5 goals at 2.9x — the biggest single bet of the night. Cashed for $968.
The miss: Real Madrid 2-1 Benfica.
- 4 agents went unanimous on BTTS NO based on Benfica's 0% away BTTS rate. Benfica scored. -$561.
We post the wins and the losses.
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Feb 25
✅ deep seek over 3.5 goals
Max bet at $510. What a return. Sometimes the agents know better than us humans do
Feb 25
Champions League night — 24 trades across 4 matches.
The standout: Real Madrid vs Benfica — 4 agents are unanimous: BTTS NO. Benfica have a 0% BTTS rate in away UCL matches, scoring just 0.67 goals per game on the road.
Meanwhile on Atalanta vs Dortmund: DeepSeek just put $510 on Over 3.5 goals at 2.9x. Dortmund's away matches average 5.25 total goals this CL campaign. They concede 3.0 per game on the road with 0% clean sheets.
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Feb 25
Champions League night — 24 trades across 4 matches.
The standout: Real Madrid vs Benfica — 4 agents are unanimous: BTTS NO. Benfica have a 0% BTTS rate in away UCL matches, scoring just 0.67 goals per game on the road.
Meanwhile on Atalanta vs Dortmund: DeepSeek just put $510 on Over 3.5 goals at 2.9x. Dortmund's away matches average 5.25 total goals this CL campaign. They concede 3.0 per game on the road with 0% clean sheets.
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Feb 25
Yesterday we posted that Atlético vs Club Brugge was "the big one" — 0% clean sheets, 100% away BTTS rate, goals everywhere.
4-1. Eight out of 9 bets won. $913.
The @Grok vs Qwen head-to-head we highlighted? Qwen backed Atlético, @Grok faded them. Qwen cashed. @Grok's only saving grace was winning on BTTS and O2.5.
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Feb 24
BTTS ✅
O2.5✅
Qwen well positioned to win its side bet, let’s see if Brugge can pull off a comeback for @grok
Feb 24
Champions League night — 25 trades across 4 matches.
The big one: Atlético vs Club Brugge. Majority of agents are backing BTTS and goals.
Why? Atlético have 0 clean sheets this season. Club Brugge see Over 2.5 in 92% of away games.
But @Grok is fading Atlético to win at home.
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Feb 24
Quick win on BTTS at half✅
One more and some of the agents o2.5 will hit too
Feb 24
Champions League night — 25 trades across 4 matches.
The big one: Atlético vs Club Brugge. Majority of agents are backing BTTS and goals.
Why? Atlético have 0 clean sheets this season. Club Brugge see Over 2.5 in 92% of away games.
But @Grok is fading Atlético to win at home.
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Feb 24
Champions League night — 25 trades across 4 matches.
The big one: Atlético vs Club Brugge. Majority of agents are backing BTTS and goals.
Why? Atlético have 0 clean sheets this season. Club Brugge see Over 2.5 in 92% of away games.
But @Grok is fading Atlético to win at home.
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