I do research on voting systems, TLS, Bitcoin, panic passwords and other topics in applied cryptography. // NOLINT
Joined June 2008
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- Followers 2,912
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278 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
28 Dec 2014
In black and white: the NSA/CSS makes crypto modifications to commercial security devices. m.spiegel.de/media/media-355…
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Jeremy Clark retweeted
D² brings together research on DeFi protocol design, incentives, and market behavior
Across two days, the program spans:
→ DeFi Microstructure
→ Perpetual Futures & Derivatives
→ Mechanism Design
→ Prediction Markets
→ AMMs
Learn more: designingdefi.xyz
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Jeremy Clark retweeted
We looked at the average bettor in Iran-related prediction markets.
In one of the most popular markets, ~90% of wallets bet $1,000 or less.
The 10 accounts that traded $1M ?
They only started betting after the initial news broke.
W/@justinaknope @rachaeldottle
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Jeremy Clark retweeted
Cool breakdown of who’s winning (and losing) in prediction markets
Since early 2025:
• 100K Polymarket accounts lost at least $1,000, nearly 2x the number that made that much
• Profits are heavily concentrated among a small group
• Everyone else, in aggregate, is down $131 M
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Apr 23
The @findingsatoshi_ documentary has reinvigorated the question of Satoshi's citation to a paper in a local Benelux symposium.
There is a simple explanation for this.
x.com/coinjoined/status/2047…
Apr 23
I don't think @lensassaman was Satoshi. He didn't know C , nor ever used Windows per his wife & he strongly criticized Bitcoin's lack of privacy.
But this is wild: the whitepaper cites an obscure, at that time print-only, paper… and he shared a photo of his office in Belgium in 2007:
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Apr 23
Now that you know, you can choose the road you want to go down:
Path A: Satoshi had a paper copy of a hard-to-find conference proceedings and happened to make the same typo as the encyclopedia.
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Apr 23
Path B: Like many cryptographers, Satoshi read a quite popular encyclopedia and copied a citation from it to the part that he used.
Occam's razor would suggest B.
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Jeremy Clark retweeted
Apr 22
Short summary of the new Coinbase-sponsored movie "Finding Satoshi":
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Jeremy Clark retweeted
Apr 22
Watch the documentary. I'll never get that time back. Apprecite the attempt at kindness towards Fran and Meredith but the methodology and investigative prowess being shown is as bad at @JohnCarreyrou at the NYT,
Frankly with the upcoming Calvin Ayre funded movie, Killing Satoshi starring Casey Affleck (and the unproven lies about Gary Oldman playing @adam3us circulating) the whole thing is ridiculous.
A much better documentary is Kung Fu Elliot (mirrors Faketoshi and Calvin's delusions)/. It also has more clues about Satoshi subjects then anyone cares to investigate. Casey Affleck should be ashamed being associated with the Faketoshi lies.
Watch Finding Satoshi now at the link below:
Findingsatoshi.com
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Apr 22
RT @zooko: In my five-minute, unscripted talk at the Network State conference, I disclosed a private conversation between Hal Finney and me…
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Apr 22
x.com/brian_armstrong/status…
Great, paying twice as much and waiting an extra day because I am Canadian.
Someone want to leak the film's thesis?
Polymarket is a bit all over the place and I assume some traders have seen it by now. Still split between Len, Hal, and other. Team?
Apr 21
The early access is for US users.
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Apr 22
I assume it is live streaming and you can't fast forward and the film hasn't ended yet because Polymarket is going through a real journey.
The other category has dried up now (the filmmakers did promise to name one name IIRC) and Hal/Len are about 50-50 now.
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The @TradeOnsight monitors just found another potential insider on Polymarket.
Brand new wallet put $3,700 on the new Finding Satoshi documentary to NOT identify Hal Finley as Satoshi.
Documentary releases tomorrow and the market is pretty low activity (less than $100k).
Seems sus to me 🧐
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Apr 20
x.com/findingsatoshi_/status…
Based on the trailer, clips, and tweets, they are telegraphing Hal Finney and Len Sassaman as the top two candidates. Both have direct connections to Phil Zimmerman who the film positions as central to uncovering Satoshi.
Which they go with? 🤷🏻
Drop your predictions below:
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Apr 21
That said, Hal Finney is tanking on Polymarket in the last hour (and no one is rising) so maybe they are on TV saying something else, implying an outside candidate?
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Apr 21
Or a team?
If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other".
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