Using stats and psychology to make NFL picks. Might branch out into other sports betting. Lets go Buffalo!

Joined October 2023
3 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
MOST IMPORTANT: No matter what, even if a ton of data backs up a pick, NEVER bet more money than you could afford to lose on a night out. If I get good at this, I don't want to win a single cent from someone who needs it. Take care of yourself. #Gambling #sportsbettingpicks
1
25
Didn't actually end up a weather game but got the primetime under! 2-1 in my calls for this week! I'll take it! #NFL #NFLPicks #sportsbettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter
Replying to @PythonPicks15
Bonus! Really like taking the under on 51.5. Unders have done well in primetime for decades and this is a classic case of two good teams, everyone thinks they're gonna run up the score and they might but also shit happens, defenses can make plays IT WILL BE A WEATHER GAME
27
Got it!
Replying to @PythonPicks15
ATL 2.5- ATL has been unlucky this year. It seems like two middle of the road teams so take the points; dogs in division games do well #Falcons #Bucs #NFL #NFLPicks #sportsbettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter
8
Woof.
Two games I like this week: LAC 5.5- Chargers are good; go against the narrative off of a primetime game. They lost close to another good team, all of their losses are close. They always play the Chiefs close. Division dogs on the road do well #NFL #Bolts #ChiefsKingdom
6
LOLZ! They're stuck with him! #BillsMafia #Patriots #NFL
22 Oct 2023
From @NFLGameDay: This past offseason, #Patriots coach Bill Belichick quietly agreed to a lucrative multi-year new contract, sources say. That, at least, adds some context to the discussions about the greatest coach in NFL history.
19
Two games I like this week: LAC 5.5- Chargers are good; go against the narrative off of a primetime game. They lost close to another good team, all of their losses are close. They always play the Chiefs close. Division dogs on the road do well #NFL #Bolts #ChiefsKingdom
1
25
ATL 2.5- ATL has been unlucky this year. It seems like two middle of the road teams so take the points; dogs in division games do well #Falcons #Bucs #NFL #NFLPicks #sportsbettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter
1
34
Bonus! Really like taking the under on 51.5. Unders have done well in primetime for decades and this is a classic case of two good teams, everyone thinks they're gonna run up the score and they might but also shit happens, defenses can make plays IT WILL BE A WEATHER GAME
32
whoa came back a half hour later and Bill Murray is screaming the Saints #WhoDat #ThursdayNightFootball #Saints #Jaguars #NFLTwitter

ALT Space Jam GIF

12
Don't like the game tonight. The line is sitting in a middle ground (Jags 2) while we're waiting for news on if Lawrence plays or not so I wouldn't put money on it. Unders have done great this year and primetime unders have done well for 20 years but the total is 40.
5
Need to get in the happening of listening to @ASchatzNFL show. Makes me feel better about my bets! haha HOU was 33% to win by post game win expectancy so feel good about taking NO CIN-SEA was about 50-50 so still fine taking SEA 3 there
7
Why are the Lions 2.5 underdogs @ Ravens? Rams only spotting 3 points to the Steelers? #NFLPicks #RavensFlock #RamsHouse #SteelersNation #Lions
NFL Team Tiers pending SNF/MNF The 49ers' offense got drilled today but the Dolphins keep chugging along
84
Alright the Giants 15.5 and a profit boost baseball bet are helping make this weekend not be a total disaster. Would rather it not have been quite so close as a Bills fan! haha #NFL #NFLPicks #Sportsbettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter #BillsMafia #NYGvsBUF
17
The Pats lost the cover by giving up a safety good fucking god lol #NFL #NFLPicks #Raiders #Patriots
33
Has this been a really bad year for big dogs? Because I've been loving the big dogs all year and... #NFL #FinsUp #NFLPicks #sportsbettingtwitter #GamblingTwitter
15 Oct 2023
FINAL: @MiamiDolphins roll to 5-1! #CARvsMIA
17
Funny. I'm 55% picking all the games on the season by my Top 5s are 11-13-1 (45.8%). What gives?! Why am I bad at the ones I'm most confident in? LOL
Week 6 picks are in 16-9(64%)for the season Bucs 3.5 Patriots 3.5 Bengals-2.5 Jets 6.5 Saints -1.5 Last one out Browns 9.5 Survivor 1. Bills 2. Rams Locked these picks Thursday. We really wanted to get the browns in but we’d lose pats #. Bengals would b out. Good luck!
9
"Indeed! It was not likely to succeed!" Then why do we have something so boring in this sport? This has been the case for years why haven't we changed it? Should give offense an option for a 4th and 15 from their 35. #NFL #Titans #RavensFlock
25
What is the kicking in this game omg You're already this far down the field! You can kick a long FG if you get the onside #NFL #NFLLondon #NFLPicks #Analytics #sportsbettingtwitter
13
I just feel very frustrated about that game. I called that it would be a low scoring game. I called that you should be on positive defensive regression and got that game. This season DEN offense has been okaaaayyyyy. Put that altogether, how often does 11 not cover? lol
5
Feels like the dumbest push ever. Denver your defense did amazing against MAHOMES, do something! lol Perhaps a lesson in getting the best number cuz loss on 10.5 #Broncos #ChiefsKingdom #ChiefsVSBroncos #NFL #NFLPicks #sportsbettingtwitter
33
Under is looking good though. Gonna be some games with decent winds so check out unders on Cincy game, Chicago game #NFL #sportsbettingtwitter #Bengals #Bears #Seahawks #Vikings
Denver you're getting 11. Your offense isn't so bad this year. This shouldn't be that hard lol #DenverBroncos #ThursdayNightFootball #ChiefsKingdom #NFLPicks
70