Put me on the stand, accuse me, blame me, sue me, or whatever you like. But I cannot imagine a scenario where the market cycle tops out until sovereign wealth funds, corporate treasuries, pension funds, and nation states start aping in crypto. You are definitely seeing a six-figure Bitcoin—that is confirmed. BTC would top b/w 125K - 145K Take me to court if I'm wrong

52 Trading Never-Dos: Lessons Every Trader Learns The Hard Way 1) Never oversize. That is when you start becoming irrational. Blowing up while still being right is the fastest way to ruin. 2) Never trade when tired or sleep-deprived. Decision fatigue has ended more traders than liquidation ever could. 3) Never trade without a defined edge. Entering without one is just gambling with extra steps. If you can’t explain your edge in a single sentence, you probably don’t have one. 4) Never enter a position out of boredom. The desire to always be in a trade leads to suboptimal returns. More often than not, doing nothing is the best move.If you find yourself taking trades just to feel busy or because you “haven’t traded in a while,” check yourself. Trading for action leads to sloppy decisions and losses​.There’s no prize for the most trades – only for the most profitable trades. Sometimes the best trade is no trade 5) Never trade after a big loss. Tilt sets in, and you try to win it all back in one bad bet. Trying to recover everything at once is a guaranteed way to lose even more. 6) Never enter a position without an exit plan. Whether it’s a time-based stop, price stop, invalidation, or catalyst-driven exit—define it before you enter. Remember, the last moment of objectivity is before you place the trade​.Once you’re in, it’s much harder to admit you’re wrong, so decide beforehand when to cut the loss. 7) Never marry your bags. The market doesn’t care about your conviction. Cut or be cut. 8) Never trade your PNL—trade the market. Chasing losses or fixating on past wins clouds judgment and distorts execution. 9) Not all views are meant to be traded. The best trade is often no trade. Preserving capital and mental bandwidth for when odds favor you is more important than forcing activity. 10) Never fight the trend. The wave is stronger than you. Adapt or get wiped out. 11) Never try to knife catch without reason. "Cheap" can always get cheaper. 12) Never break your trading rules or deviate from your plan in the heat of the moment.​ Your rules exist for a reason – usually learned from painful experience. The moment you convince yourself “just this once” to ignore a rule (like moving a stop, or doubling down, or trading too big), you open the door to chaos. Discipline is doing the right thing even when it’s hard. As one trading maxim goes, plan the trade and trade the plan. 13) Never fire all your bullets at once. 14) Never trade outside your comfort zone. If a position is too big, you’ll start making fear-based decisions, thinking that market or someone is trying to liquidate you seeing ghosts where none exists. Size your trades proportional to the quality of your sleep at night. 15) Never let ego keep you in a bad trade. Admit when you're wrong—cut, reset, move on. 16) Never underestimate market reflexivity. Strength can always go higher, weakness can always go lower. 17) Never assume liquidity will be there when you need it. The exit door is always smaller than you imagine—liquidity isn’t something you decide, the market does. 18) Never mistake randomness for strategy. Buying because price is going up or shorting because it “feels high” isn’t trading—it’s blind betting. Even with good risk management, you’ll bleed out over time if your entries are based on nothing. 19) Never make the same mistake twice. Trading mistakes are inevitable, repeating them is unacceptable. Never lose the same way twice 20) Never forget to play defense. Being wrong is acceptable, staying wrong is not. Protecting capital always comes first. "Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” 21) Never just focus on offense. Survival > everything. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet. 22) Never fall into lifestyle creep after one big win. The problem starts when you begin forecasting annual income based on a single lucky trade. 23) Never forget to turn defensive after a hot streak. Big losses come after a series of wins when overconfidence sets in. Check your ego—your last big trade means nothing to the market. 24) Never let pride, ego, or overconfidence take over. Always stay humble.| 25) Never trade in situations where you don’t have control. for eg. FOMC events 26) Never get complacent. A strategy that worked in one regime may stop working in another. Trading is a craft that requires continuous self-improvement. Comfort Is Often the Enemy of your PNL. Never assume you know for sure what the market will do. “We have two classes of forecasters: those who don’t know — and those who don’t know that they don’t know.”​ Never assume your edge is permanent. Markets evolve, edges fade, and what worked last cycle may be useless in the next. Keep refining, keep testing—stagnation is death. 27) Never ever average losers after your reasoning has been invalidated 28) Never trade with certainty, trade with conviction. 29) Never assume the market “must” do something, especially based on recent patterns.​The market doesn’t owe you continuity or logic. Just because a market has been rising (or falling) steadily doesn’t mean it can’t abruptly reverse. Avoid words like “surely” or “can’t possibly” in trading. Stay flexible – anything can happen. As a reminder: never say never about market behavior. 30) Never mistake win rate for everything. Maximizing winning trades for the sake of feeling good is a trap. Taking profits too early or avoiding necessary small losses ultimately hurts profitability. 31) Never underestimate discipline, patience, risk control, and execution over alpha generation. Plenty of traders have great alpha flow but don’t know how to use it.Good execution involves choosing not just what and how to trade, but when not to trade. Sometimes the best execution decision is no trade at all if conditions aren’t suitable. Always ask: “Do I have an edge here, or am I flipping coins?” If it’s the latter, save your capital for a better spot. 32) Never fall apart after a big loss or get euphoric after a big win. Emotional resilience is a trader’s strongest asset. 33)Never ignore price action after news. If the market reacts opposite to what you expected, get out. The market is telling you something you don’t see. 34) Never trade on borrowed conviction. If you buy on someone else’s tip, you’ll need them to call your exit too—and when they go silent, you’re stuck. As Livermore said: “Nobody makes big money on what someone else tells him to do.” Hone your own craft, build your own system. If you can’t trust your own decisions, you’re just a pawn in someone else’s trade. 35) Never go against your intuition. If something feels off, it usually is. 36) Never try to Catch Every Move It’s tempting to try to grab every up and down in the market, but that’s a fool’s errand. Always come from the mindset of abundance and not scarcity, markets will still be there and there are ample opportunities in the market to make you whole, you don’t need to swing at every pitch. 37) Never underestimate the power of failure. Failing early and failing often—while staying in the game—is how you get better. 38) Never hold onto losers when your thesis is invalidated, especially after a massive drop. "I’ve lost too much to sell now" is how you go to zero. 39) Never let "getting back to break even" dictate your decisions. That mindset leads to overtrading and eventually, full liquidation. 40) Never focus only on entries. A trade isn’t over until you’ve exited. Knowing when to cash out is just as important as knowing when to enter. 41) Never ignore the “boring” part (position sizing, stops, risk/reward) – it’s what keeps you in business.Don’t wait for a catastrophic loss to teach you this lesson. 42) Never trade for the adrenaline rush, Trade for the win 43) Never fall into the illusion of strength—it’s often just lagging behind reality. 44) Never stay/enter in a position out of 'HOPE' and wishful thinking 45) Never underestimate risk management. Prioritize protecting capital over chasing profits. "Take care of your losses, and the profits will take care of themselves." 46) Never exit/enter a position recklessly. The same way you scale in, you should scale out—"all in, all out" is a recipe for disaster. 47) Never make a bet you can’t afford to lose. No single trade should ever be big enough to take you out of the game.“The most important advice is to never let a loser get out of hand.” You should be able to be wrong 20 or 30 times in a row and still have capital left​. Never allow a single position to jeopardize your trading career 48) Never trade outside your edge. If it’s not there, sit out. Forcing trades outside your framework is how accounts erode. 49) Never assume your edge is permanent. Markets evolve, edges fade, and what worked last cycle may be useless in the next. Keep refining, keep testing—stagnation is death. 50) Never judge a trade solely by its outcome. Good trades lose money sometimes, and bad trades can get lucky. Focus on execution over results. 51) Never worry about looking stupid or staying in a position because of your public opinion. I have seen many a men die before their time because they were worried about getting publicly ashamed. Cut your losses without hesitation. The market doesn’t care about your pride—neither should you. 52) Never underestimate the power of stepping away. If you’re in a losing streak, liquidate everything and take a break. Mental capital is just as important as financial capital. The key is to break the negative emotional spiral Once you come back keep your size small and increase exposure only when you gain back your confidence. These lessons were learned thanks to the books I’ve read, the smart traders I’ve learned from, and the endless mistakes I’ve made along the way. Trading is lonely. It hurts. It makes you question everything. But if I had to choose again? I’d still take this over everything.

A little update: XRP didn’t go below $2.2 even during that cascade; the strength was very telling. I’m exiting here with the view that from here on, XRP’s MOAS is near. If I had to guess, T - 4 days. Post January 20th, I expect XRP to underperform heavily relative to the market, which is the exact opposite of its current isolated strength. LINK still holding (many people don’t know that it’s made in the USA). HYPE in good profit, but I think I’ll get to buy it again under 20, so I’ve exited. FARTCOIN is the hardest most reflexive coin I’ve ever traded after Moodeng, but anyway, I’m out of it—thanks to Wintermute, I guess. Exited Pengu at b/e Lastly, sold SPX at a loss.

Continued.. End Goal "MOAL" : To catch the liquidity cascade to the 84-87K range. Overall, we will go much more lower before higher. We won’t reach there all at once. There will be some reversals along the way, for eg. bounce from 92-94K to 98K, where we may consolidate for a while where there will may be a small scam move 1-2K to flush out shorts before we eventually resolve lower. Short any significant move up. While it may not be generational "MOAS" anymore, at least you’ll be positioned to ride the wave in the right direction. Every up move will eventually get sold off, and as mentioned before we are unlikely to break the ATH unless there is significant macro news or a major catalyst like an SBR. (which won't really play out anytime soon) Expecting a bullish period to start again from End of January (I’ll try to updates in real-time as it’s easier to adjust based on new developments). No vague takes here like others—no hedged views either. Can’t get more precise than this.

AI-based protocols will become the norm. Those who fail to integrate AI agents into their projects can only fall behind. From auditors to builders, from DeFi users to traders, everyone will benefit from this innovation in the coming months.

Agentic AI L1 is even better

I have never seen as many tweets about a "potential alt season" as I have in the past 5–7 days, and the engagement on them feels like a big echo chamber of blind "yes men," feeding each other's conformity.

Fully out of $morpho 40% it is not even 12 hrs

every one of these guys is a mouthbreather who told their followers that 'ALT season' is coming like a week ago then kept saying 'buy the dip' 'buy the dip' in the last 48 hrs and now they are panicking

keep in mind that you are playing with fire here

there is a very high chance that we just keep resolving lower so keep that in mind, no one knows where these things will bottom, you are taking a big gamble

Started adding LINK HBAR XRP MORPHO VIRTUAL

THE DIP THAT KEEPS DIPPING Panic doesn’t set in when we have mechanical bounces following a liquidation; it really creeps into people's mind when we don’t see an immediate rebound. The slow bleed after liquidation is what truly leads to panic. Which leads to people questioning > Will there ever be an ALT SEASON again?

Déjà vu

CT summarized A week ago > ALT Season coming, Santa Rally Last 48hrs > Buy the DIp, Buy the Dip, This is the bottom and in 2-4 weeks from now > Will there ever be an ALT SEASON again?

Christmas came in early