Beat fear. Beat FOMO. Stay disciplined with ETF insights and quant strategies. Not financial advice.

Joined July 2023
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14 Apr 2025
Big step for @Quantlake today → Partnered with BehaviorQuant to bring behavioral intelligence into the investment journey. 📉 In 2024, avg investors underperformed the S&P 500 by 8% .  🧠 We’re helping fix that—by starting with behavior. 🔗 quantlake.com/post/quantlake…  #BehavioralFinance #FinTech #Investing
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Materials leadership extends as South Korea sells off from a 3M leadership position. ► Today's Movers Outperformers: Copper Miners $COPX 3.38% (3M: 12.5%), Materials $XLB 1.87% (3M: 6.6%) Underperformers: South Korea $EWY -0.75% (3M: 59.0%), Communication Services $XLC -0.42% (3M: -2.1%) ► 3M Leaderboard Strong: South Korea $EWY 59.0%, Taiwan $EWT 46.6%, Value Factor $VLUE 37.7% Weak: China $MCHI -5.1%, Utilities $XLU -4.5%, China Large Cap $FXI -2.6% ► Signals to Monitor • Volatility Expansion: $EWT, $IYW, $QQQ • Volatility Compression: $DVY #CopperMiners #Materials #SouthKorea
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In Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed, the Short White Candle on SPY keeps its 1-month forward profile firm, with Sharpe strengthening over the full-sample baseline. QHI Greed, 1M forward up rate: 69.9% vs 71.2% globally. $SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
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Greed has often coincided with weaker near-term consistency than the market’s baseline. • 1M hit rate: 63.1% (vs 68.9% overall) • 1M Sharpe: 0.75 (vs 1.03 overall) Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
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On SPY, the Medium White Candle in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed shifts the 1-month forward return distribution toward parity. QHI Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: 0.75 vs 0.84 globally. $SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
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Korea-led country dispersion drives equity as copper miners join a strong 3M leadership tape. ► Today's Movers Leaders: South Korea $EWY 11.48% (3M: 61.1%), Copper Miners $COPX 7.37% (3M: 4.3%) Laggards: Energy $XLE -1.82% (3M: 0.1%), Consumer Staples $XLP -0.26% (3M: 1.8%) ► 3M Leaderboard Strong: South Korea $EWY 61.1%, Taiwan $EWT 46.9%, Value Factor $VLUE 38.0% Weak: China $MCHI -5.8%, Utilities $XLU -4.6%, Brazil $EWZ -3.6% ► Signals to Monitor • Volatility Expansion: $EWT, $IYW, $QQQ • Volatility Compression: $DVY, $SCHD, $SDY #SouthKorea #CopperMiners #Energy
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QHI moved from Extreme Greed into Greed. • 1M Sharpe 0.75 (vs 1.03 overall) • 1M hit rate 63.1% (vs 68.9% overall) • 1M median 1.4% (vs 1.7% overall) When QHI is in Greed, SPY has historically posted solid but less efficient forward returns. Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
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Income and EM credit lag fixed income while mortgages hold firmer on a muted day. ► Today's Movers Outperformers: Mortgage-Backed $MBB 0.02% (3M: -0.3%), Short TIPS $VTIP -0.02% (3M: 0.8%) Underperformers: Preferred Stock $PFF -0.39% (3M: 0.5%), EM Sovereign Bonds $EMB -0.33% (3M: 1.0%) ► 3M Leaderboard Strong: High Yield Bonds $JNK 1.1%, EM Sovereign Bonds $EMB 1.0%, High Yield $HYG 1.0% Weak: Long Treasuries $TLT -1.5%, 7-10yr Treasuries $IEF -1.4%, Int. Treasuries $VGIT -1.1% ► Signals to Monitor • Volatility Compression: $BNDX, $LQD #MortgageBacked #ShortTIPS #PreferredStock
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On SPY, the Medium Black Candle in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Greed narrows the 1-month forward return profile versus the full-sample baseline. QHI Greed, 1M forward Sharpe: 0.69 vs 1.18 globally. $SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
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Extreme Greed doesn’t mean stronger 1M efficiency. • When QHI is in Extreme Greed, SPY’s 1M Sharpe has historically been -0.12 (vs 1.03 overall) • 1M hit rate: 58.4% (vs 68.9%) Not a timing signal. A positioning read. #SP500 #Quantlake
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The Short Black Candle on SPY turns the 1-month forward Sharpe negative in Quantlake Herd Index (QHI) Extreme Greed, sliding from 1.07 globally to -0.06. QHI Extreme Greed, 1M forward up rate: 58.5% vs 70.3% globally. Median: 0.7% vs 1.9%. $SPY #SPY #SP500 #Quantlake
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