Displaced Programmer leveraging his skills to beat algos in Gold, Silver and Stocks. 30 Years in Financial, Energy,, Military and Government. Gold Trader
Joined May 2023
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May 14
I have 100% achieved Holy Grail status with my new option trade. $QQQ
Not only now way to lose- there's no way not to win
It's new- I'm learning- but up 13% last week from this.
God has blessed me with an analytical mind and the drive to achieve anything I want. @Option_Strat (I think it beats Flyagonal- I need a year to refine- my Vega is too high)
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Here's my custom Crown Trade
First time I've shared the details- if I believed it was revolutionary I wouldn't be sharing- I'd secretly share with my friends- don't want Wall Street benefitting - I put in many hours of research /experimentation.
This trade works but is not good enough to warrant 8 legs. Looks interesting though. Was a fun experiment.
Boom!
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Life is good- I'm a little odd sometimes- and that's cool- I've learned to accept me.
I appreciate the traders/colleagues here- really makes things fun. Hope ya'll are having a good weekend.
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Option Scanner Challenges- High RR Searches
You are into the edge of usable options- and the power of Diagonals allows you to reach even further and still have a reasonable break even.
I can adjust delta down on the search- or filter on higher OI to reduce these but I like to see them and evaluate them for myself- too much possible value- I can handle a thin trade and spotty fill on these- low risk of getting into trouble- buy and wait- then when short expires- I let the longs run naked or close them- the option is there to not lose 100% of the zero paid.
Pretty curve- I'm a sucker for convexity- this was the very first trade in my list.
Some wanted to get the scanner- I thank you so much- I did not think things would go so fast and have loose ends trying to tie up- will take care of you- value you more than you know.
I have no front end yet- so the only access I can get people is running reports on a schedule which I'd be fine with- if anyone wants to help testing I'll send reports- and you'll forever be remembered- early founders benefits are a real thing-and I am no shrewd business man.
Had I set OI to 50 this would have been filtered out- and could have bumped delta minimum to higher than .18 that was the absolute minimum setting I used in this MAX leverage run and both happen to be just over .18. , I see some bugs needing fixing and it bothers me I can have reports going out with bugs. Could take some days. I'd bid it- as much out of being curious and my love of money for near zero risk- big reliable gains spool you main balance fast - and you are risking tiny.
The colors help me see convexity at a glance looking forward to checking some of those mid page trades- it's a crap shoot- and these are brand new tickers I got the ideas from Barchard's trade list (probably rude)
Thank you.
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Money where mouth is-placing the order for it- RH indicates same price. Nope they blocked it. Premium must be less than collateral- annoying- maybe ratio something so I get value for the dollars.
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Flipped it and turned it into a bearish credit for my time. $29.38 (~ 100%) breakeven should be safe - can never have enough of those.
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$RKLB Too Lotto For You?
IF I got the trade for $2- I think the numbers work.
I figure I'm winning here 25-33% of the time being a plain vertical I know I can run to expiry and get max profit- so 40RR is legitimate- can lose a lot of times with that kind of RR you only need 3 in a hundred to break even and I am getting 25 in a hundred or so. I'm often opposite of the crowd with options. The cynic in me thinks the option writers want you to feel ashamed about a trade like this because they don't want to write it- who would want to write a convexity bomb for a few pennies- not me I'd never sell this thing- wouldn't sell this for 15 cents and maybe not for 20 cents - this is asymmetric risk. I'm totally gonna try getting this but not overpaying, maybe 3 cents max. If I had a gun to my head would go 4 cents but thats starting to feel less exciting- each dollar reduces leverage by a serious amount.
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I should be a case study- they say you can't be profitable within six months. In 17 days, it seems I'll be the first. But I'm sure I'm not the first.
But I do know why I was successful- I am still on training wheels- started w small account and put small amounts (but consistent) at risk at any given time. Those small trades ballooned the entire account- I figure 25-35 % of equity has been utilized- putting my gains 3-4 times higher than the 70% seen on account.
You can be successful in one month like me, if you do it right. Strict no gambling trading- no naked calls- no large trades- and I'm talking 1% max.
Another factor- I used to avoid anything below 3 RR, and have adapted to 1.5 to 2RR in certain situations when I want a credit trade or to collect theta. 3RR to 5RR or higher on the most efficient structure for the situation- which is often diagonal- if I do a condor- it is diagonalized, butterfly, diagonalized- sure you need to deal with the IV crush weakness of diagonal- but nothing is as efficient. When you have a trade that can reach breakeven at -15% on underlying- it is pretty hard to lose.
Funny thing- not a single person has asked me to help and I've offered to every person I hear complain about how they are losing. First thing I'd tell them- learn everything about call debit spread and after you master them come back for lesson two
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Jun 13
Option Trading - Week 6/13
🌥️Mostly Green with an occasional break- even.
TSLA Dbl. Diagonal #1 🚀 Winner 25% on Risk
TSLA Dbl. Diagonal #2 Experimental⚠️Break Even
Lessons
⚠️ IV Crush was mitigated by the longer date on #2
🌩️ At the cost of⬆️Vega, ⬇️Theta
Holy Grail Scanner makes me look good.
Very soon- I'll be able to get you access- I'm thankful for those who have asked about it- and could definitely use a few bucks a month- will be first income draw of 2026- so I can put on some of the 15 pounds lost. Kidding I have food- not that poor.
The truth- I have not had a memorable option loss in 2026. I do remember a couple in 2025- one was a rookie mistake- legging out of a spread in a volatile market- poof $800 gone before I knew what hit me
The many 100, 200, 300, 1,600% gains- those were memorable- I remember 1,000% in a day and bouncing negative 100 then positive 100 throughout the day- makes it fun. If it is offensive- remember I'm trying to make a living selling scanner access- and nobody will want your scanner if you aren't printing wins.
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Jun 13
Some may ask- why did you not tke profits on Trade #1.
I have thought about that a lot- am still undecided as to what I should have done- in light of it being a thinner and shorter term trade- I maybe could have taken the quick 1 day profit- but I am so desensitized to gains- this was a tiny almost zero gain- they come- they go- no biggie- I mean I'm upset but many times I earn much more letting it trade- I don't need the capital only use a small fraction of my equity.
Tough question- I am not sure- but think I made the right choice for my strategy and style- always love an opinion though.
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Jun 13
35 RR - $NEW Newmont Mining - Free Play/Lotto Option
Get $9 for taking the trade.
Earn $350 if it gains 15% by expiry
Deltas indicate ~20% chance of reaching stike
You only need 5 RR for that- this is 35 RR
It is low volume- executions will be spotty- if you had my scanner access for $10- you'd have half a dozen similar ones for this stock. Wall Street does not like asymmetric risk- this is where the edge is. Take it. Now is the time. Live the good life- you deserve it. Coming soon- $10 access, Lottos are just one category.
Not financial advice- educational
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Jun 12
If anyone is thinking about a Black Swan Hedge.
I bought a levered Vix call spread a month ago - the results haven't impressed me but maybe my expectations are too high. My spread was way OTM at 37 by 40. These are lame gains- though we haven't seen much volatility so maybe I shouldn't complain. I don't know why others don't share this info- I'll go first. Team retail.
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Jun 12
Possible Strategy: $TSLA Trade, Numbers seem to work.
Tiny Debit - Reasonable Probability of $200 Profit - how probable- that is what I'll be working on- but it feels like 20% it's right near the money. It can actually go -5% and still be in the money- that 20% is more than conservative enough. Nice easy 3 leg. at 66RR doesn't take many wins to pay.
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Jun 12
Takes 1.2% to achieve the $200 gain.
Numbers probably work to net gain-- big question is it enough to mess with
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Jun 12
Last $GLD Lotto play- I'll take $5 for the ticket.
Barely worth it - but will make next week insteresting
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Jun 12
As a pattern noticer- I am noticing some significant differences between American based AI and Chinese.
1. Deep Seep provides more advanced Option Pricing knowledge, tells me things none of the American AI products have. Kind of makes you wonder why.
Notice: I plan on using Deep Seek to help me find out why some of my options are getting priced in ways that I cannot account for with math. Kind of makes you wonder- has anyone actually checked their receipt and made sure they are holding value like they are supposed to? Are the US regulators capable of making sure there's no funny business in pricing? We will find out.
And Deep Seek will help me figure out what happened with the Gold market over the last two weeks- and seeing how likely the gold trading we saw- smashing the bid hard for two weeks straight, net 20 million Futures contracts- was legit. It was manipulation (legal or not) minimum- probably no funny business- probably no emergency Presidential directive or anything like that- you know to save the dollar. Refloating Gold at a lower price (diluting) would buy it time though.
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Jun 12
More predictive programming- they are trying to delay the great rotation, from stocks to Gold. You will see messages everywhere telling you what to believe and what to think.
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