Jordan Staal becomes the oldest winner of the Conn Smythe Trophy #SoundTheSiren

2026 (144-160). -4.12 units)𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬/𝐍𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐬 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟗.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) Both starting pitchers are well in their groove, and Washington should still be a little stunned from their meltdown a couple of days ago. Mariners Bryce Miller has been solid to start his 2026, and fatigue should not be a factor despite his hard throwing ability, as he had a late start to his season. Zack Littell has definitely operated on good control lately, and he should be effective against a Mariners lineup that has some sluggers. This one just gives me a sense that is it going to be a more chill vibe, right to the end, after both teams had eventful finales to their last series. 𝐑𝐄𝐃𝐒 𝐅𝟓 𝐌𝐋 -𝟏𝟏𝟗 (𝟏𝐮) The Diamondbacks are really struggling offensively lately, and I think this is a good opportunity for Lodolo to find some positive momentum at home. On the other end, we have E-Rod, who was long overdue to finally crack a bit, and we saw it last game. I expect the Reds to feast on him today. 𝐏𝐇𝐈𝐋𝐋𝐈𝐄𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟐𝟎𝟖 (𝟏𝐮) Yeah, I know Miz has been the godlike, and I'll be honest, I don't know how long it will continue. However, one thing that Milwaukee doesn't have in their favor is the eastward travel two hours to another time zone. This should give Phillies Andrew Painter a good chance to get on track. Besides the unfavorable itinerary, Brewers bats look like they are starting to go a little cold. Even if Miz does his thing, the Phillies are in good flow lately, and the offense should at least give him a hard time. The Brewers bullpen is also quite taxed from the last series. 𝐀𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐬/𝐑𝐨𝐲𝐚𝐥𝐬 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟗.𝟓 (𝟐𝐮) Houston is also going through eastward travel, and will have to face Avila, who is quietly looking very good in his past two starts, and very good at limiting longballs. Meanwhile the Astros will also be bringing Tatsuya Imai, who has also been quietly very effective in his last three starts as well. I see this to be a tense pitchers duel, and also considering the bullpens will be well rested here. 𝐀𝐍𝐆𝐄𝐋𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟒𝟔 (𝟎.𝟓𝐮) This is a value shot, in a game I see to be more of a coin flip with both teams looking good this week. It could go either way, and the pitching is a little unpredictable here. I'm taking a small shot at the strong plus money. 𝐑𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐢𝐞𝐬/𝐀𝐭𝐡𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟏𝟑.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) Colorado has found a dance partner in a battle of extreme hitter parks..but you know what that means? The pitching on both sides have also adapted to the style needed to succeed in high altitude and/or dry heat settings. I think 14 runs is high, and a lot of the high setting has to do with the unknown in Vegas Ballpark. The first game at the park (against Milwaukee) saw a total of 10.5, and quickly saw the totals inflate into the mid teens after a 29 run debut. I think the books are still trying to figure out the right general total setting factors, and the correct number for this matchup is somewhere between 11-12. We will see how the correction works itself out over time, but I feel this is extremely high for two pitching staffs that are familiar with the hitter conditions.

2026 (144-157). -0.29 units)𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐑𝐎𝐘𝐀𝐋𝐒 𝐅𝟓 𝐌𝐋 -𝟏𝟐𝟑 (𝟏.𝟓𝐮) I think the Royals will have the advantage, facing Kumar Rocker for the second time in his last three starts, while Wacha fixes what didn’t go well against these Rangers just a little under two weeks ago. 𝐂𝐮𝐛𝐬/𝐑𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐢𝐞𝐬 F5 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 6 (𝟏𝐮) I think the vibe carries over from yesterday into this one. Yesterday, we saw two pitchers in desperate need of a rebound both putting an end to their bad stretches. Today, we have two starting pitchers who have pitching arsenals built for Coors. Feltner is becoming more and more of a true Colorado specialist the longer he is on the Rockies. Cabrera has a lot of strikeout potential (though started slow in that department in 2026), as he also operates on high velocity. 𝐏𝐈𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐄𝐒 𝐅𝟓 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟒𝟖 (𝟏𝐮) While both starting pitchers have been going in opposite directions in their past two starts, I think the Dodgers are still going to be feeling that sting from last night’s meltdown. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, should be fired up from that comeback, as several hitters had a say in that one. Keller has struggled the last two games, but the team vibes should help him rebound today against Dodgers hitters.

2026 (142-157). -2.80 units)𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐂𝐮𝐛𝐬/𝐑𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐅𝟓 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟔.𝟓 (𝟏.𝟓𝐮) Neither one of these two pitchers could be going through a worse streak right now, and I am sure that is built into the line. I think this is the perfect opportunity for both of them to rebound, not only because it's about fucking time...but also because they don't want to get outpitched by each other. With both guys having a variety of weapons to choose from, look for them to be particularly effective today, even in Denver. 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟏𝟒.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) I'll admit, I was a little back on forth on this one. Also, I am aware that the UNDER feels more like a square trap, but a lot of this line has to do with 1)the stadium's features that has produced 41 runs in two games so far. 2) The fact that this is probably the worst pitching matchup of the three so far. 3) the heavy bullpen activity, particularly from game one. What do I see in this, though? I see two pitchers that rely on velocity quite a bit, and though they have both been inconsistent, the pitching style will go a long way in these dry, hot, and higher altitude conditions. We saw the bullpens kinda settle and get things under control yesterday, and every pitcher that was used in game one should be better prepared for this one. Sproat and Perkins are two names trying to establish themselves in the majors. This will be a challenge where they both get to use their strengths. Yesterday, we saw some strong bullpen adaptations. Today, I think the starting pitchers will also put a stop to the early bleeding in the first two games.

2026 (138-155). -5.20 units)𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 Yesterday had some horrible late game luck, let's try turn it around here: 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬/𝐎𝐫𝐢𝐨𝐥𝐞𝐬 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 8.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) On one end, we got Logan Gilbert, who will be lights out more often than not. On the other, we have Trevor Rogers, who may be finally finding his groove after last game. We saw how dominant Rogers was last season when he got momentum. If both pitchers do their thing, there's a lot of cushion for the bullpens. 𝐘𝐀𝐍𝐊𝐄𝐄𝐒 𝐌𝐋 -𝟏𝟏𝟔 (𝟏𝐮) This is a rematch of last week, and I think the opposite happens against each others starting pitcher. As the game goes on, I think the Yankees have the edge. Cleveland is starting to unravel a little bit, and it'll be for New York to feast. 𝐑𝐄𝐃 𝐒𝐎𝐗 𝐓𝐓 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟑.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) The Rays are a hard team to read at the moment, so I will not try to flip a coin on whether they come out strong offensively or not. I think though, that Nick Martinez's early season run has finally come to an end. Expect another game where he struggles. 4 runs is not asking for much for the game. 𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐬/𝐌𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐄𝐑 𝟕.𝟓 (𝟏𝐮) While both teams can be explosive, I think both pitchers are settling and the Mets could be going through eastward jetlag. Dustin May is already good at keeping balls in the park, so the homeruns will be even harder for the Mets tonight. If both pitchers do well, they will be in long today. 𝐑𝐎𝐂𝐊𝐈𝐄𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟒𝟎 (𝟏𝐮) I'm prepared for some bullshit, just like anytime we bet a bad team. However, the Cubs are the one that will be trying to adjust here coming into Coors, and they have not been that great themselves lately. I feel that Colin Rea and the rest of the Cubs pitching staff will be prone to getting roughed up today a lot more than a Rockies team that has been in the area for awhile. 𝐀𝐓𝐇𝐋𝐄𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐒 F5 𝐌𝐋 -𝟏28 (𝟏𝐮) There's a reason the A's first 5 moneyline has much more favor than the full game moneyline. Gasser is an over 50% flyball pitcher compared to Ginn, who is really starting to display his strikeout potential. This might be the difference today, as the Vegas ballpark is going to have the same flyball characteristics as Coors, with the altitude and dry heat combined. The ball is really going to fly, and one pitcher is at a clear disadvantage here. Of course, I don't want to test the late game again. Milwaukee seems to find ways to smash bullpens, and I'm not about that at all.

2026 (138-150). -0.10 units)𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐬 A rough weekend that took away the late week profits. (I should probably just lay off weekends or play selectively on them). Back at it today to build back up. 𝐁𝐋𝐔𝐄 𝐉𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟒𝟔 (𝟎.𝟓𝐮) Fading Sanchez sounds like a crazy idea right now, but something has gotta give with him. Even if they don't get to him as much as he's due, I think Patrick Corbin's effectiveness for the Jays should also not go unnoticed. The team has been highly competitive in almost any game he pitches in, and a veteran like him should bounce back well after last game. Also, Toronto is a "collective effort" type of offense, and are heating up right now. This, if any, would be the type of lineup that can give a hot Ace trouble. 𝐀𝐍𝐆𝐄𝐋𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟎𝟗 (𝟏𝐮) Houston does not deserve this respect at all. I get that the Angels have been pretty bad this year, but this is essentially a battle between two bad teams. LAA's explosion last night is encouraging, and it could definitely be of great timing to them just as Arrighetti's hot start came to an end. Of course, Angels Starter Grayson Rodriguez is going to be a concern, considering he is still getting settled post injury, and is coming off a horrific outing, but it gives me faith knowing that he has had a good start so far this season and should only be getting more settled. I think the Angels will be relentless from start to finish today. 𝐑𝐄𝐃𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟏𝟗 (𝟏𝐮) While this one can be a bit a bit of a toss up on paper. Both teams are of similar caliber. Both pitchers are of similar unpredictability. Both teams have also been bad lately, but I just think Abbott's style will benefit from a west coast setting here, while Cincinnati hitters are going to see Buehler's fastball a little better in the low altitude. I also have a feeling that the Reds are closer to ending their bad rhythm than the Padres are, so the fireworks could happen tonight. 𝐆𝐈𝐀𝐍𝐓𝐒 𝐅𝟓 -𝟎.𝟓 -𝟏𝟏𝟎 (𝟏𝐮) The moneyline opened in the -160s for the Giants last night, and to me, that is indicative of an anticipated bad game for Mikolas. It also tells me that Logan Webb is sharpening up overall, and the books know it. The Giants don't normally have favor like that, and it would be highly tempting to both squares and sharps to take the value on the Nationals. Somehow, I feel that is a trap. 𝐀𝐓𝐇𝐋𝐄𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐒 𝐌𝐋 𝟏𝟐𝟒 (𝟏.𝟓𝐮) We have a fishy one here, as despite Kyle Harrison's dominance so far, we have an unusually high total (10.5 favored OVER) and a line moving in favor of the A's. This screams to me that Harrison will likely struggle today. Don't get me wrong, I know the Brewers have been hot, and are coming from Denver. I also know that Jeffrey Springs is not exactly consistent, and the pitching mismatch is built into the line, and it is a hitters park. I'm not making to mistake of thinking there is value in an Under on this one, but I really do think Harrison gets lit up today.