$BTC - I still find it hard to believe we will have a full 1 year bear trend like in previous cycles.
Last cycle we had constant Black Swans: FTX, LUNA, Celcius, BlockFi, 3AC, Genesis and others all collapsed. This cycle all we had was 10/10.
Few weeks ago consensus was that the 4 year cycle was dead. Now consensus is that we will bottom in October. Even Ran from Crypto Banter put out a video calling a $40k bottom today.
RSI is currently around where it was when it hit 200 SMA last cycle. Therefore, my current gut feeling is that either bottom was already in at $60k or worst case we go slightly below, like $58k, within next couple of months and create a bullish divergence on RSI.