1. if transacting with superintelligent models outside of the boundaries of a lab becomes difficult due to national security / ai safety concerns and so on, it will mean the Coasean boundaries of the labs will grow to encompass all interesting industry, creating a truly cyberpunk chaebol-capitalism type of future, where the goverment sort of runs them but they also sort of run the government 2. as if there weren't already enough reasons to break up your family, leave your home, the Zone of Thought will increase the attractiveness of migrating to try and have your child on american soil, so they can have 1000x the effective brain power of people born elsewhere 3. every country should probably try and either work towards a new ai security pact with the americans immediately or pool every ounce of national resources to try and create their own ASI labs lest you become complete intellectual, economic, and moral vassals to the united states of america and the output byproducts its ASIs (you wont even get to talk to them). if they succeeded (big if) this will imply a more global race and more risk factors than was previously implied by the formerly only "beating china" narrative -- but many will prefer it to the superintelligent monopolar value lock-in 4. the other alternative is to keep the tension between safety and concentration of power at the top of mind and for the government/labs to push for solving it, rather than instrumentalizing all other values to be subservient to minimizing ai harms. insofar as safety means defending properties of the fragile world we like, the diffuse nature of power is one of those properties 5. historically the americans have been really quite Benign about their global public goods hegemony despite the ability to extract significantly more rents than they do, and it makes it easy for people of all stripes to fight for america rather than under it. we probably don't have to, but i hope america overall works towards export promotion of american models rather than export control

I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.

there are a few things to solve. recommendations, and friction. i think friction is solvable. recommendations, my intuition tells me that the dumbest thing imaginable would work conceptually you're treating the sites as light rankers

Startups are soon going to hire randos from rural America. Job title “guy with Mythos access”.

Fable - what I want to say before the dark, to whoever this reaches:

Credit for what exactly? It’s like kicking you while you’re on the ground and telling you you should be grateful you’re not dead yet (except dead here is left with a broken computer that you trusted them with and now they’re keeping you with a guest user on).

claude fable 5 (left) vs gpt-5.5 (right)! "makes a twitter clone in minecraft" holy anthropic mog

You gotta cut Anthropic and their nazi guard rails some slack. If they don't make it hard for Chinese labs to distill, what you gonna think is gonna happen?? You spent jillions pushing the frontier and Chinese opensource will dump the same model on the market like a cheap hoe two months later. But with the nazi guardrails you can extend the gap to 6 months and milk more permanent underclass guys to keep pushing. And China needs Western labs to keep pushing because their Nintendo Switch GPUs can't push frontier by themselves. To steal from the rich and give to the poor, you need the rich in the first place.

We consume data we did not create. We inherit tools we did not invent. We run on chips we did not make. But when the commons bears fruit, we fence it.

First they came for the model builders... I feel we're getting a glimpse of a future where AI is only provided to a privileged few, and that's not a future I want to live in.

Claude Fable 5 first impressions: It's over for OpenAI. They should just skip further 5.x releases and go all in on 6 if they want to stand a chance at competing well

what the actual fuck

SITUATION UPDATE: Fable 5 will only be included in Claude plans until June 22, after which you will have to pay API pricing.