1/ new paper w/ @pascalpaul and @vediense: Stabilization vs. Growth
When firms in distress are saved, the economy may become more stable in the short run, at the cost of long-run growth.
We study this trade-off in a model w/ fluctuations, endogenous growth, and heterog. firms
The H1-B visa fee is a good example of a policy that is justified on dubious claims empirical claims but and in fact engenders long run harms to the US economy.
The assertion that H1-B recipients reduce domestic wages is debunked in this very careful paper by Michael Clemens @m_clem
Immigrant-Native Wage Gaps and Immigration Tariffs: Examining the Case for an H-1B Visa Tax
iza.org/publications/dp/1843…
In contrast, the H1-B has been a consistent source of international talent for the United States. This recent literature synthesis by Gaurav Khanna @econgaurav
From Asia, with Skills
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/…
is terrific on the general value of high skilled immigrants to the economy and discusses several of the main studies of the economic effects of H1-B recipients.
Breaking News: A federal judge rejected the Trump administration’s policy of imposing $100,000 fees on employers for skilled worker visas. nyti.ms/4ulhW9q
📢 New paper w/ @GregWKaplan 🧵1/10
How small is “small” for local-linear methods to deliver reliable answers in heterogeneous-agent models of fiscal stimulus?
Our answer: very small.
Great pleasure to present my keynote "Natural Language and Labor Markets" at the Berlin Labor Economics Workshop @DIW_Berlin.
I explored how NLP, LLMs, and GenAI help measure previously unobservable concepts such as worker rights or educational content.
Thanks for having me!
Very happy to be in Amsterdam for the SaM Annual conference 2026!
Haomin Wang will present our paper "Household Search and the Equilibrium Gender Pay Gap", joint with Leo Kaas and @chiaralac
Looking forward to an exciting programme and many great chats on search and matching!
mnmacro.github.io/registrati… Registration is now open for the 2026 Minnesota Macro Workshop! 📍 Join us July 29-31 at UMN for cutting-edge macroeconomic research and discussion. Space is limited—register by July 10 to secure your spot.
Analyzing intergenerational mobility of wealth and income across US counties, highlighting spatial differences due to factors such as house prices and the Great Recession shock, from Ariel J. Binder, Max Risch, and @john_voorheis nber.org/papers/w35219
(12/13) Our framework opens several avenues.
One natural application: decomposing the college wage premium over the life cycle. Does it grow because graduates accumulate human capital faster, work at firms offering steeper returns, or sort into better employers?