Joined April 2011
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I guess everyone gave up on posting ICON and A.I. runs once you realized #Erin would, in fact, make the turn? Track on point - intensity still a challenge...Erin ahead of schedule. A reminder that forecast decisions aren't made on Twitter. Follow the data.
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Here's the track for PTC One, which will be quite a rain/flood event for the western Gulf and Deep South this week. There is a narrow window for the system to organize into Arthur, the season's first named system... but that's the secondary headline to the rainfall threat. @nbc6
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PTC One forms near the Texas coastline, positioned to produce heavy rainfall from the western Gulf coast to Alabama this week. If it becomes better organized, it would be the season’s first named system, Arthur. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for coastal TX, LA. @nbc6
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••NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One (formerly AL90) located over southern Texas, at 1000 AM CDT/1100 AM EDT••
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partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov… First Heat Advisory of 2026 issued for Metro South Fla today. Peak heat index values reaching 107° @NWSMiami

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Storm chances climbing for Sunday, Monday afternoons... then the heat turns up to put us -- *potentially* -- in heat advisory criteria.
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Sunday: Better chance for afternoon storms...still favoring the western metro as beaches remain hot and bright. @nbc6
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A few storms may brush up to Krome / US27 in the next few hours...otherwise it's a very warm and bright conclusion to a beautiful June day.
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When a machine talks to another machine it sounds like... a machine in a machine echo chamber with the "machine effect" turned up to 10. 😂😂😂 What are we even doing here?
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Out: warm and dry weather. In: hot temps and daily storms. Basically, June (as we know it) is about to return.
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NOW: #CSU adjusts seasonal outlook to: 11 named storms 5 hurricanes 2 major hurricanes This is down slightly from April’s issuance of: 13 named storms 6 hurricanes 2 major hurricanes “…high potential for a moderate/strong El Niño for the peak of hurricane season.”
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Keeping our run of decent weather going before storm chances bump up towards the weekend...
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Squeezing out one more nice day before rain chances pop back up Wednesday, late-week. Lulls like this are not uncommon in the rainy season...and should be appreciated!
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This weekend's nice weather readily spills into Monday with more of the same... limited rain chances, a nice breeze and a fair amount of sunshine. Not bad! @nbc6
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Does anyone think for themselves anymore…or do we just copy each other on the bot farms? 🤖
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Steady improvement coming Friday as drier air moves in, calming rain chances and holding humidity down for a day or two.
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Like a trained K-9 at the airport, models can do a lot of "sniffing" but not a lot of finding. Sadly, the sniffing of possible tropical development gets posted daily. But at what expense? If every day is an🚨, a made-for-Twitter nugget of tropical suspense, it gets old quickly.
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Week over week, no change to drought conditions in South Fla. Why? Recent rainfall is not yet accounted for in the assessment, issued early this morning. By NEXT Thursday, you'll see progress across the region. Trust that the heavy downpours🌧️of late ARE making a difference.
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A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for the Upper Keys...including Key Largo... until 5:15 pm. @nbc6
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It's a blanket, light to moderate rainfall... much easier to take in versus the extreme downpours that came yesterday. Otherwise, a dreary afternoon with temps holding around 80°. @nbc6
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