βοΈ TEAM UPDATE βοΈ
Real talk with the team. We've been one leg off on the two-leg parlays almost every time lately, and the straight HRs have been a grind too. I'm not sugarcoating it.
But here's what that actually tells me. A two-leg HR parlay needs both legs to land, and that's roughly a 4% shot, around 2400, even when the reads are sharp. Being one off over and over means the individual reads ARE connecting. We're just running into the brutal math of the parlay format, not a problem with the process. The variance hasn't broken our way on that second leg yet, but it will.
π The morning cheat sheet ran a little behind today, my fault on the timing, but it's live now along with the weather exploits. Read both before we fire.
π TODAY'S PLAN
Slate is smaller today, so I'm taking it lighter and staying selective:
π£ One straight homerun
βΎ One two-leg parlay
Both posted before first pitch.
When the slate is thin, discipline matters more, not less. We stay patient, manage our units, and pick our spots. We're right there. π°