In our scenario, frontier-model export controls were a 2028 event. It took two days for it to happen 😢. The most capable US models are now legally off-limits for non Americans. The silver lining is that it's getting very hard for European policy makers to keep ignoring this.
"What will happen to Europe if it keeps ignoring AI?"
Three American labs each (!!) operate more AI compute than all of Europe combined. Today we're launching Europe 2031: a story of what might happen if that doesn't change.