Speaks on 'What should U avoid while investing | IIM-Ahmedabad | Investment Advisor (AFP) | NISM- Research Analyst| MF, Stocks and Market Outlook| Xpertvoice

Joined June 2016
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๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿด๐˜… ๐—™๐˜„๐—ฑ ๐—ฃ๐—˜: ๐——๐—ผ๐—ปโ€™๐˜ ๐— ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€!! Nifty50 is trading at an FPE of 18x. > 5-Year Median Nifty PE: 22.4 > Lowest recorded PE in the last 5 years: 18.9 > Current Nifty PE: 20 > One-year Forward PE: 18.1 ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜„, ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ. Everyone speaks about the PE of Eternal, which is trading at 620x. Eternal has a weightage of 1.14% in Nifty50. I calculated that the ex-Eternal PE of Nifty is ~19.78. ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜†, ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ. > 10-year Median PE: 23.4 > The lowest recorded PE of Nifty in the last 10 years was during the COVID period. > Everyone is aware of the jump and the bull market the market saw after that. I don't know what your opinion is, but one should not leave the equity market as of now. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Have patience. You will surely get good results. :::
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๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ช๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ฆ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ, ๐—จ๐—ฆ & ๐—”๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ The market cap of US stocks is larger than the combined market cap of the next nine countries. Take a look (Market Cap, May 2026) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA โ€” $75.65 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China โ€” $15.21 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan โ€” $8.67 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong โ€” $7.20 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India โ€” $4.91 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea โ€” $4.89 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan โ€” $4.64 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada โ€” $4.54 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK โ€” $3.96 Trillion ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany โ€” $3.11 Trillion But here is the twist: India's equity market has corrected nearly 13% from its September 2024 peak. Meanwhile, Hong Kong and other asian markets are shining ahead of India in market capitalization. Sep 2024: ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India = $5.66T ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong = $4.60T May 2026: ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India = $4.91T ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Hong Kong = $7.20T That means: ๐Ÿ“‰ India Market Cap Change: -13.3% ๐Ÿ“ˆ Hong Kong Market Cap Change: 56.5% So the question is: ๐Ÿค” ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด? ๐Ÿ”นValue reset after extreme optimism? ๐Ÿ”นFII outflows & global capital rotation? ๐Ÿ”นEarnings growth fading away It reflects one market never attracts continuous flows. ๐™ˆ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š๐™จ ๐™‚๐™ก๐™ค๐™—๐™–๐™ก๐™ก๐™ฎ. ๐ŸŒ Correct or Not? ๐Ÿ‘€
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As your portfolio grows, reduce your risk exposure. Risk Management > Chasing Returns
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โ€œ1/4๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎโ€™๐˜€ ๐—š๐——๐—ฃโ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ This is the net worth of Elon Musk.
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niveshak retweeted
๐Ÿšจ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐˜€๐—ป'๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ. ๐—œ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐Ÿด๐˜… ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜… ๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ'๐˜€ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜„๐˜€. ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿš€ I also got confused by assuming this as a company's Chart. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฆ๐—˜ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜…. The BSE Capital Goods Index itself became 8x from its Covid lows of April 2020. Top Two Weightages: ๐Ÿ”น BEL is 10.8% ๐Ÿ”น HAL is 10.16% The top two companies have a combined weightage of 21%. ๐Ÿ‘‰ BEL delivered a 20x return from its Covid lows. ๐Ÿ‘‰ HAL delivered a 22x return at its peak in 2024 from the same Covid lows. What I want to refer to here is not how stocks performed, but that sometimes a good selection of an index, by analysing its constituents, makes a big difference. Disc: ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ด. ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ค๐˜ฉ-๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ฅ๐˜บ ๐˜ฃ๐˜บ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ, ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜บ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฅ๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฆ. ๐˜‹๐˜ ๐˜–๐˜™ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด.
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niveshak retweeted
๐Ÿšจ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ ๐— ๐˜‚๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฎ. People are saying that Saurabh Mukherjea is now entering global funds. ๐—ก๐—ผ. โŒ Saurabh Mukherjeaโ€™s Marcellus was already running the Global Compounders Portfolio. It generated a 27.3% CAGR during its first three years. Now, people are saying he was: ๐Ÿ”นBullish on large-cap blue chips. ๐Ÿ”นLast year, it was gold. ๐Ÿ”นAnd now, itโ€™s global investing. Meanwhile, the AUM of his PMS has declined from โ‚น12,500 crore to โ‚น2,500 crore. His Multicap and Flexicap PMS have delivered a 13% CAGR over the last three years.
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๐Ÿšจ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ ๐— ๐˜‚๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฎ. People are saying that Saurabh Mukherjea is now entering global funds. ๐—ก๐—ผ. โŒ Saurabh Mukherjeaโ€™s Marcellus was already running the Global Compounders Portfolio. It generated a 27.3% CAGR during its first three years. Now, people are saying he was: ๐Ÿ”นBullish on large-cap blue chips. ๐Ÿ”นLast year, it was gold. ๐Ÿ”นAnd now, itโ€™s global investing. Meanwhile, the AUM of his PMS has declined from โ‚น12,500 crore to โ‚น2,500 crore. His Multicap and Flexicap PMS have delivered a 13% CAGR over the last three years.
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niveshak retweeted
๐Ÿšจ ๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜† ๐—œ๐—ง ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฎ% ๐—ฉ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜: ๐——๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ฌ๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ? ๐Ÿ‘€ Nifty50 vs Nifty IT Index Five-Year Returns: ๐Ÿ”นNifty50: 50% ๐Ÿ”ธNifty IT: -1.5% PE Comparison: Current || 5-Year Median ๐Ÿ”ธNifty IT: 18.8 || 27.6 ๐Ÿ”นNifty50: 20.4 || 22.2 ๐Ÿ’ก The PE multiple of the IT Index is still available at a 31.9% discount to its median level. Nifty50 is also trading at an 8% discount to its 5-year median PE. Historically, we have seen such valuations provide a better margin of safety. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Extreme pessimism brings the best opportunities for value investors. One who knows, he knows. ๐Ÿ˜‰
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Who is CA for advising on Retirement Planning? Our society is more aware of CAs than CFPs & CFAs.
Is Rs 1 crore really enough for retirement? CA calls it a โ€˜retirement trapโ€™? #RetirementPlanning #Retirement #CA #Rs1Cr #RetirementCorpus economictimes.indiatimes.comโ€ฆ
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A similar condition is projected to Mutual Funds by Merchant Bankers.
Sure, things can be better, but it's crazy how transparent and safe the Indian markets are compared to the US, all thanks to SEBI and the exchanges. It's not just Fidelity; even other big brokers seem to have 'flipping' restrictions in place.
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niveshak retweeted
Nifty 50's Forward PE is now at a 5-year low, if we exclude the COVID panic phase.
Nifty 50 PE ratio today is at 19.98 times which Below average range of its trading history. Data from @stockscansin
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niveshak retweeted
The Dhandho Investor by Mohnish Pabrai
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niveshak retweeted
๐—ฉ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ข๐—ฎ๐—ธ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐— ๐—™'๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ. From 2021 to 2026: ๐Ÿ”นSensex TRI grew at a CAGR of 10.8% ๐Ÿ”นSensex Companies' EPS grew at a CAGR of 14.9% Earnings grew much faster than stock prices. ๐Ÿ”นEPS doubled from โ‚น1805 to โ‚น3534 (96% growth). ๐Ÿ”นSensex TRI (including dividends) rose only 67%. Now look at P/E: May 2021: 28.8x May 2026: 21.2x ๐™๐™ฃ๐™™๐™š๐™ง๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ž๐™ฉ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™– ๐™จ๐™ž๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™š ๐™š๐™ญ๐™–๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™š: In 2021: The company earns โ‚น100 Market pays 29x Stock Price = โ‚น2900 In 2026: The company earns โ‚น196 Market pays 21x Stock Price = โ‚น4116 So, business earnings nearly doubled. Yet valuation fell sharply. ๐—ฆ๐—ผ, ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ? ๐Ÿ’ก 2021 was a year when India, including the workplace, woke from a long phase of COVID restrictions, and capacity utilisation was at its peak. So, Indian companies saw a strong EPS expansion after that. ๐Ÿšจ Don't you think the current measures taken by the RBI and SEBI will again show similar magic in the coming days?
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niveshak retweeted
21 years. A different market led the world almost every year. China. Taiwan. The US. Japan. No leader held the top for long. Nobody picks the winner in advance. So DSP Global Equity Fund (GIFT City) picks differently. No country bias. No sector bias. Valuations decide. @dspmf @KalpenParekh @ManishRathiDSP @kunjumon_mathew
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niveshak retweeted
๐—ก๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿด๐˜… ๐—™๐˜„๐—ฑ ๐—ฃ๐—˜: ๐——๐—ผ๐—ปโ€™๐˜ ๐— ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€!! Nifty50 is trading at an FPE of 18x. > 5-Year Median Nifty PE: 22.4 > Lowest recorded PE in the last 5 years: 18.9 > Current Nifty PE: 20 > One-year Forward PE: 18.1 ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜„, ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ. Everyone speaks about the PE of Eternal, which is trading at 620x. Eternal has a weightage of 1.14% in Nifty50. I calculated that the ex-Eternal PE of Nifty is ~19.78. ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜†, ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ. > 10-year Median PE: 23.4 > The lowest recorded PE of Nifty in the last 10 years was during the COVID period. > Everyone is aware of the jump and the bull market the market saw after that. I don't know what your opinion is, but one should not leave the equity market as of now. ๐Ÿ‘‰ Have patience. You will surely get good results. :::
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I am blessed with such a nice community and followers on @X ๐Ÿ˜‡
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