tbh there is no reliable ETA for your town, burg, mailbox, Aunt Fran, or seven-toed barber sloth. This system is not a euro-train. It's an increasingly undersampled, chaotic, swirling airmass traversing a moist, conditionally unstable, highly sheared environment, that supercomputers running numerical models and ML at dizzying rates can only hazard a suggestion that the front will weaken a bit, remain conditionally dangerous, and stall out somewhere over Middle TN overnight. If I knew what it was going to order when it gets to our restaurant, I'd tell you, best I can do is give you the menu with a range of likely options. if you want a goober to guess, locate an app. Thanks for listening to my Ted talk.