Natural Gas Analyst | Quant-Driven Predictive Models Technical Signals | Daily Insights & Weekly Reports: linkedin.com/in/chris-michel…

Joined May 2025
362 Photos and videos
Natural gas prices closed at $3.141, above the $3.031 neckline but pressured by a bearish EIA storage report and El Niño concerns. The bullish case depends on a declining surplus, short squeeze, and structural LNG story. #natgas
7
655
Natural gas prices rose 1.78% to $3.141 this week. Today’s low was $3.031, the ih&s neckline, held as structural support. The COT report showed bears added 9k shorts this week. #natgas
1
1
9
997
Natural gas prices are slightly up at $3.193, supported by bullish market sentiment and a fair value band of $3.10 to $3.45. Tomorrow’s data release is crucial, with a consensus of 100 Bcf. #natgas
1
12
1,317
Natural gas price is at $3.142. The NGI estimate is 100 Bcf, bearish compared to the prior Celsius estimate, but the structural YoY story remains bullish. The dealer is long gamma, anticipating a price flip between $3.00 and $3.05. #natgas
1
1
15
1,469
Natural gas futures closed down 2.04% from the previous week, but remain bullish with potential for a squeeze. The fundamentals strengthened further (YoY deficit is a big positive), but technicals cooled off on profit taking. #natgas
7
1,027
Natural gas market is bullish with strong momentum, driven by demand strength, COT squeeze, hot weather, and geopolitical risk premium. The 95 Bcf storage surplus beat validates fundamental tailwinds, with the next upside target at $3.50. #natgas
1
9
926
Today’s low of $3.099 is a key reference point, as buyers stepped in with conviction at this level. The $3.15 support level was reclaimed, confirming the pattern and maintaining the long position. Watching $3.175 as near term resistance. #natgas
1
1
9
1,035
Natural gas futures closed at $3.273 this week, affected by geopolitical tensions and a bullish EIA report. The upcoming June 4 EIA report is crucial; another below-estimate print could tighten the market. #natgas
1
10
1,912
The COT data shows 38,123 shorts added, resulting in a net total of 134,426 at the 100th percentile, the most crowded short position in a year. The forecasted hot weather supports bullish sentiment. #natgas
1
1
9
919
The natural gas trading dashboard shows a flat position with a target reached at $3.323. H&S measured move completed, geo escalation to US-Iran-Oman regional conflict, EIA beat against 95 consensus at 92, surplus beginning to narrow. #natgas
4
747
The EIA Stress Test for the week ending May 22, 2026, predicts a gas injection of around 95 Bcf, with a consensus range of 92 to 98 Bcf. A print above 98 Bcf is bearish, a print below 92 Bcf is bullish. The market is currently bullish, anticipating a beat on the number. #natgas
5
779
May 27 pre-EIA session was analytically rich with deal headlines, $3.150 rejection, Oman escalation, and TTF compression. The upcoming EIA storage report, Iran-Oman conflict developments, and TTF price movements will drive the market tomorrow. #natgas
6
769
The EIA natural gas inventory report is expected to show an increase of 92 Bcf for the week ending May 22. Price closed below $3.031 neckline — pattern fails, back to the primary signal zone at $2.788-$2.828. $3.00 max pain - exactly at the DOM pin. #natgas
9
980
Natural gas prices are above $3.036, but a weather downgrade weakens the bullish case. A geopolitical event could introduce volatility, significantly impacting prices. While a long bias remains, a system-triggered trade isn’t warranted. #natgas
15
1,179
Natural Gas: The bullish case includes hot weather, geopolitical tensions, and potential for a short squeeze, while the bearish case points to a surplus, declining rig count, and potential for a peace deal easing geopolitical risks. #natgas
2
12
1,533
Do you remember when you joined X? I do! #MyXAnniversary 🎉 One Year Strong! 🎉 Today marks the first birthday of @ShaleAnalytics Launched May 23, 2025, we've evolved into a focused source for predictive natural gas analytics, technical signals, and actionable insights. Grateful for every chart dissected, every storage report breakdown, and every follower who's joined the journey. Here's to sharper signals, better trades, and another year of data-driven energy market edge. Huge thanks to everyone who's read the reports, engaged with the charts, and supported the mission to cut through the noise with data. Onward to year two — more models, more clarity, more edge. #ShaleAnalytics #NaturalGas #natgas #EnergyMarkets #OneYearAnniversary
1
12
336