Since you asked... and this it PROBABLY too cute... but I think Scotland's pricing is out of control. -180 is the kind number you hang on a team that wins these comfortably. Their the last leg of your lotto parlay that felt "free."
But Scotland have never won anything comfortably in their history. It's their first time here since 1998. They have never escaped a World Cup group, and they left the last Euros with a single point.
There's undeniable quality in McTominay and Robertson, and a grind-it-out style that scores in fits and starts. In a tough group, now comes the one game they're supposed to take, with all the national pressure on them.
Haiti walk in with the opposite; nothing to lose, the freedom of a team nobody expected here. This is a reconstruction project: a diaspora side built almost entirely from players developed abroad, in France, Belgium, England, and Portugal, stitched into a national team that played its "home" qualifiers in Curaรงao because home wasn't safe.
They're young โ average age 24 โ and they earned this, topping their group with wins over Costa Rica and Nicaragua rather than backing into the expanded field.
There are embers of real quality in the rebuild: Wilson Isidor, a Premier League striker at Sunderland with the pace to turn one mistake into a goal, and Frantzdy Pierrot, a forward with 34 goals in 51 caps.
They don't need ninety good minutes โ just a spark, and enough talent and athleticism to find one.
And I reckon they have more than a 37% ( 170) to do so given the circumstances.
BOL!
Why do you have the Scotโs to not win, smooth?