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Peter Matejic @StatsPeter

Chief Analyst at the Joseph Rowntree Foundation working to solve UK Poverty

Joined February 2020
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  • Following 1,794
  • Followers 2,481
166 Photos and videos
Interesting policy fellowships: ukri.org/opportunity/sector-…. Two I'd highlight: 1. DWP to develop evidence of the causal links between experience of poverty and subsequent outcomes. 2. DfT on transport poverty and how improving transport affordability and connectivity.

Sector transition: UKRI policy fellowships 2026

ukri.org
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Just left #CHASMConference2026. Lots of food for thought about dimensions of insecurity, their interactions and the role of power and agency in how lives play out. Follow @UoBCHASM for their insights. Thanks to everyone involved!
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Peter Matejic retweeted
Helen Barnard@Helen_Barnard
May 28
Your regular reminder: Welfare reform is not cuts. It’s reform to improve support & open up opportunities. Government attempts to cut disability benefits last year failed because it wasn’t reform. It was just cuts. Would disabled people & push them further from labour market
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Message is don't forget childhood poverty in any NEET discussions.
Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf_uk
May 28
Replying to @jrf_uk
If the system is to work, it needs strong foundations. Without financial security, too many young people are held back from the start. 📈 Our new analysis shows that growing up in poverty *more than triples* the risk of being out of earning or learning.
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An excellent 1 minute video version of a great policy idea - see jrf.org.uk/cost-of-living/an… for the full details!

An Affordable Energy Guarantee

Guaranteeing a block of cheaper energy gives all households a safety net while providing the greatest support to those who need it most.

jrf.org.uk
Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf_uk
May 27
Energy bills are far too high. (a🧵) JRF’s Affordable Energy Guarantee would give every household a protected amount of cheaper energy, cutting bills now and protecting people from future shocks. For lowest-income households, savings would be worth over a month’s free energy.
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Peter Matejic retweeted
Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf_uk
May 14
🚨 NEW! Our report out today concludes rent controls can ease the pressure on renters, without jeopardising the private rented sector. A rent control could: - Make renters nearly £1200 a year better off by 2030 - Reduce the housing benefit bill by £600m Here's how 👇
Cover slide for JRF's 'Ending the rent squeeze' programme of work, with an image of some flats over an oatmeal and pink background with a JRF logo in the bottom left corner

ALT Cover slide for JRF's 'Ending the rent squeeze' programme of work, with an image of some flats over an oatmeal and pink background with a JRF logo in the bottom left corner

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The Health Foundation have now looked at how this compares with 20 other high-income countries: health.org.uk/reports-and-an…. Picture is grim. The UK saw the second biggest fall in healthy life expectancy over the decade to 2021, beaten only by the US.
A horizontal bar chart showing the change in healthy life expectancy of 21 high-income countries over the decade to 2021. Norway and Japan saw the biggest improvements of an extra year of healthy life, while the United States saw the biggest fall of over 2 years of healthy life. The UK saw a fall of 8 months.

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing the change in healthy life expectancy of 21 high-income countries over the decade to 2021. Norway and Japan saw the biggest improvements of an extra year of healthy life, while the United States saw the biggest fall of over 2 years of healthy life. The UK saw a fall of 8 months.

Peter Matejic@StatsPeter
Apr 16
How long have you got to live and live healthily? It’s well known that people in less deprived areas live longer. Let’s look at a boy born in 2023 in the most deprived tenth of areas. They can expect to live 10 years fewer than a boy born in the least deprived tenth of areas.
A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to live 72.3 years, 10.4 years less than the 83.6 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to live

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to live 72.3 years, 10.4 years less than the 83.6 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to live

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This led to the UK falling to 20th place out of the 21 high-income countries, whereas in 2011, we were in (still a pretty poor position) of 14th.
A horizontal bar chart showing healthy life expectancy of 21 high-income countries in 2011 and 2021. Japan had the highest healthy life expectancy in both years, while the United States had the lowest in both years. The UK has now got the next lowest healthy life expectancy when in 2011 it was in 14th place, a drop of 6 places.

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing healthy life expectancy of 21 high-income countries in 2011 and 2021. Japan had the highest healthy life expectancy in both years, while the United States had the lowest in both years. The UK has now got the next lowest healthy life expectancy when in 2011 it was in 14th place, a drop of 6 places.
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Join us! This is a very important role, working with some brilliant analysts (and others!)
Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf_uk
Apr 23
📢 We're hiring a new Principal Policy Adviser to lead our Work and Care policy areas! Are you a visionary leader with the arguments, policies and ideas to address the challenges underpinning poverty in the UK? We'd love to hear from you! Apply here: bit.ly/4sTq807
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We may yet see a fall from 3.3% in the April data (out in May) because of falls in the April energy price cap, and falling wage growth and a fading impact from higher employer NICs driving down inflation in services. But sadly the predicted return to ~target level won't happen.
Joseph Rowntree Foundation@jrf_uk
Apr 22
📉 Before the conflict in the Middle East, inflation was expected to fall to close to 2% in the middle of 2026. Today's @ONS CPI figure for March shows things are moving in the opposite direction, and this is before the impact of higher energy prices hits household bills. 🧵
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See a resurrected JRF chart showing how disappointing real wage growth has been since September 2024, compared to the year before then. And this is before any impacts from the Iran conflict. Earnings up £1.40/wk over last 17 months, compared to £11.60/wk up in the prev 12 months.
A chart showing how regular wages are growing after taking account of inflation. The first few months of the period starting September 2023 showed relatively slow growth, but there was consistent growth between February 2024 and September 2024, meaning wages grew by 2.4% over the year. This latter period is in contrast to the period starting September 2024, where growth has hovered around zero, ending up as an increase of just 0.3% over 17 months to February 2026.

ALT A chart showing how regular wages are growing after taking account of inflation. The first few months of the period starting September 2023 showed relatively slow growth, but there was consistent growth between February 2024 and September 2024, meaning wages grew by 2.4% over the year. This latter period is in contrast to the period starting September 2024, where growth has hovered around zero, ending up as an increase of just 0.3% over 17 months to February 2026.

Office for National Statistics (ONS)
@ONS
Apr 21
Replying to @ONS
Regular wage growth in the three months to February 2026 was 3.6% excluding bonuses, down from 3.8% the previous period. Including bonuses the rate was 3.8%, down from 4.1% in the previous period. Read the release ➡ ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabo…
Line chart showing the reduction in annual growth rates for nominal regular earnings.

ALT Line chart showing the reduction in annual growth rates for nominal regular earnings.

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How long have you got to live and live healthily? It’s well known that people in less deprived areas live longer. Let’s look at a boy born in 2023 in the most deprived tenth of areas. They can expect to live 10 years fewer than a boy born in the least deprived tenth of areas.
A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to live 72.3 years, 10.4 years less than the 83.6 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to live

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to live 72.3 years, 10.4 years less than the 83.6 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to live

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Want to look at variation in life expectancy for someone your age/sex? Enter your details here to find out: claude.ai/public/artifacts/b…. Enter your postcode at imd2025.co.uk/map2025/ to find out what deprivation decile where you live falls into. H/T to @chrisbelfield for this.

Life Expectancy Calculator by Age, Sex & Deprivation

Calculate your remaining life expectancy and healthy years using England ONS data. See personalized estimates based on age, sex, and IMD deprivation decile.

claude.ai
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These modelled estimates assume a lifetime in one deprivation decile. Moves between areas with different deprivation levels aren’t reflected. Notwithstanding this, gaps are very large, and the slope across deciles large too. H/T to @AnnaClarke_____ for clarification.
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Gaps in healthy life expectancy are even bigger. That same boy will have 19.4 fewer years of good health compared to someone born in the least deprived tenth of areas (it’s 20.3 years for girls).
A horizontal bar chart showing that - a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 49.8 years of good health, 19.4 years less than the 69.2 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have. - a girl born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 48.2 years of good health, 20.3 years less than the 68.5 years a girl born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have.

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing that - a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 49.8 years of good health, 19.4 years less than the 69.2 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have. - a girl born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 48.2 years of good health, 20.3 years less than the 68.5 years a girl born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have.

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Now with a chart clear of random messages
A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 49.8 years of good health, 19.4 years less than the 69.2 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have. a girl born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 48.2 years of good health, 20.3 years less than the 68.5 years a girl born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have.

ALT A horizontal bar chart showing that a boy born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 49.8 years of good health, 19.4 years less than the 69.2 years a boy born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have. a girl born between 2022-2024 in the most deprived tenth of areas is expected to have 48.2 years of good health, 20.3 years less than the 68.5 years a girl born in least deprived tenth of areas is expected to have.

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