Methodology-first polling and election analytics with a deep focus on Arizona. Public analysis here. Campaign work at stealth-analytics.com.

Joined April 2026
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We self-funded a full statewide message-test poll on the AZGOP Attorney General race to showcase exactly what we deliver, start to finish. The topline, the full cross-tabs, and the strategy deck that turns the numbers into a plan. We ran it from the Petersen campaign's perspective as the example to show what real message analysis looks like. Check under the hood below: Stealth Analytics poll of 816 likely AZGOP primary voters, text-to-web fielded June 2-4. Β±3.4% MOE.
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Stealth Analytics back-to-back statewide studies of the AZGOP reveal the makeup of the primary electorate. Respondents were asked how they would best describe their own faction within the party: 51% America First 31%-32% Traditional Conservative 10% Center Right 7-8% Something Else Both studies reveal that AZGOP primary candidates that own the America First wing of the party, tend to be the candidates that have early leads and a sustained citable base. Other candidates were shown to be battling for a coalition of the remaining factions. The America First wing of the AZGOP is a decisive majority bloc in the AZGOP primary of 2026. Stealth Analytics poll of 816 likely AZGOP primary voters, text-to-web fielded June 2-4. Β±3.4% MOE. Stealth Analytics poll of 1,100 likely AZGOP primary voters, text-to-web fielded May 13–15. Β±3% MOE.
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Stealth Analytics retweeted
🚨 NEW POLL AZ AG RACE Petersen 35% Glassman 19% Independent survey shows Petersen as the clear frontrunner at 35%-19%. When voters learn Glassman’s record β€” lost 6 times in a row, switched parties 4 times, ran twice as Democrat Party chair, dedicated a children's environmental book to Ruben Gallego, etc. β€” Petersen surges past 60%! stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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AZGOP Attorney General Primary Petersen leads Glassman 35 to 19, with just under half of likely primary voters still undecided. Warren Petersen: 35% (20|10|5) Rodney Glassman: 19% (5|8|6) Undecided: 46% Splits: Definitely | Probably | Lean. Stealth Analytics poll of 816 likely AZGOP primary voters, SMS-to-web fielded June 2-4. Β±3.4% MOE.
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We self-funded a full statewide message-test poll on the AZGOP Attorney General race to showcase exactly what we deliver, start to finish. The topline, the full cross-tabs, and the strategy deck that turns the numbers into a plan. We ran it from the Petersen campaign's perspective as the example to show what real message analysis looks like. Check under the hood below: Stealth Analytics poll of 816 likely AZGOP primary voters, text-to-web fielded June 2-4. Β±3.4% MOE.
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Arizona Active Registered Voter change since the 2024 General Election (Nov 2024 β†’ April 2026) Statewide, the Rβˆ’D registration margin widened toward Republicans πŸ”΄ Arizona πŸ”΄R 6.77 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.64pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 7.40
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Swing legislative districts: LD 2 πŸ”΄R 8.51 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.28pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 8.79 LD 4 πŸ”΄R 12.80 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.51pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 13.31 LD 9 πŸ”΄R 2.95 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.25pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 2.70 LD 13 πŸ”΄R 8.74 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.24pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 8.98 LD 16 πŸ”΄R 5.29 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.44pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 5.73 LD 17 πŸ”΄R 10.03 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.30pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 9.73 LD 23 πŸ”΅D 7.95 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.86pp) β†’ πŸ”΅D 7.09
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Top 4 counties by size: Maricopa πŸ”΄R 6.86 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.29pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 7.15 Pima πŸ”΅D 8.87 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.66pp) β†’ πŸ”΅D 8.21 Pinal πŸ”΄R 16.62 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.27pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 16.89 Yavapai πŸ”΄R 33.10 β†’ (πŸ”΄0.96pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 34.06
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Current Arizona Active Voter Registration Leads by CD Republicans hold a lead in 7 of the 9 congressional districts. However, every CD has been drifting blue; at least in the last 6 months.
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Current Arizona Active Voter Registration Leads by LD Republicans lead in 6 of the 8 legislative swing districts in the state for 2026: LD2 - R 8.8πŸ”΄ LD4 - R 13.3πŸ”΄ LD9 - R 2.7πŸ”΄ LD12 - D 2.4πŸ”΅ LD13 - R 9.0πŸ”΄ LD16 - R 5.7πŸ”΄ LD17 - R 9.7πŸ”΄ LD23 - D 7.1πŸ”΅
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Current Arizona Active Voter Registration Leads by County Republicans lead in 3 of the 4 biggest counties in the state: MARICOPA - R 7.1πŸ”΄ PIMA - D 8.2πŸ”΅ PINAL - R 16.9πŸ”΄ YAVAPAI - R 34.1πŸ”΄
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Arizona Active Registered Voter change over the past six months (Oct 2025 – April 2026) by LD All seven of Arizona's swing legislative districts drifted blue over the last 6 months πŸ”΅ LD 2 πŸ”΄R 9.05 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.26pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 8.79 LD 4 πŸ”΄R 13.41 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.10pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 13.31 LD 9 πŸ”΄R 3.03 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.33pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 2.70 LD 13 πŸ”΄R 9.03 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.06pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 8.98 LD 16 πŸ”΄R 6.07 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.34pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 5.73 LD 17 πŸ”΄R 10.18 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.45pp) β†’ πŸ”΄R 9.73 LD 23 πŸ”΅D 6.88 β†’ (πŸ”΅0.21pp) β†’ πŸ”΅D 7.09
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Arizona Active Registered Voter change over the past six months (Oct 2025 - April 2026) Arizona's 3 most populated counties have moved more blue. MARICOPA πŸ”΄R 7.32 -> (πŸ”΅0.17pp) -> πŸ”΄R 7.15 PIMA πŸ”΅ D 8.09-> (πŸ”΅0.11pp) -> πŸ”΅D 8.21 PINAL πŸ”΄ R 17.18 -> (πŸ”΅0.29pp) -> πŸ”΄R 16.89
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Stealth Analytics retweeted
Early voting starts with ballots going out on Wednesday, June 24th. Election Day is Tuesday, July 21st. No excuses. We need every Republican voting early in the primary and then bringing 10 of their friends to vote. Let’s win BIGGLY. #GoBiggsOrGoHome
πŸ“Š Arizona Governor GOP Primary πŸŸ₯ Andy Biggs: 55% πŸŸ₯ David Schweikert: 9% πŸŸ₯ Scott Neely: 1% πŸŸ₯ Ken Miceli: 1% Stealth Analytics | 5/13-15 | 1,000 LV stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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Stealth Analytics retweeted
πŸ“Š Arizona Governor GOP Primary πŸŸ₯ Andy Biggs: 55% πŸŸ₯ David Schweikert: 9% πŸŸ₯ Scott Neely: 1% πŸŸ₯ Ken Miceli: 1% Stealth Analytics | 5/13-15 | 1,000 LV stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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There isn't a single AZ GOP subgroup that opposes designating Mexican drug cartels as terrorist organizations. Not by age. Not by region. Not by faction. Not even Republicans who disapprove of Trump. 95% support. 86% strongly. HCR 2055 wins with Republicans wholesale.
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