Ahead of Albanese's visit to Jakarta this week, sharing my article on the security agreement that he will sign with President Prabowo. In short, a positive recognition of bilateral ties but not a watershed. lowyinstitute.org/the-interp…
.@SusannahCPatton and @JackRSato “Beijing appears well placed to weather the current geopolitical environment and withstand coercive U.S. economic policies....China has also been the beneficiary of doubts about the Trump administration’s diplomacy in Asia.”power.lowyinstitute.org/repo…
The Asia Power Index from @LowyInstitute is always required reading. This year it shows the decline attractiveness of 🇺🇸 throughout the region and the rising importance of 🇨🇳. And warns that the first trend is likely to get stronger.
The Trump administration's policies have been a net negative for US power in Asia, according to the 2025 edition of the @LowyInstitute's Asia Power Index. But their true effect will only be felt in the years ahead.
power.lowyinstitute.org/coun…
Launched today: the Asia Power Index shows US power in Asia slumping to its lowest ever level, driven by both structural factors and the Trump administration's policies. 🧵on our key findings follows 1/6
For Australia, the results are a mixed picture. Australia's diplomacy remains highly ambitious, but the underlying economic and military resources required to sustain a more ambitious role, are not growing commensurately. 6/6
You can access the fresh data and key findings report on our website power.lowyinstitute.org. Please reach out with comments or questions! With thanks to my co-author @JackRSato and the Lowy Institute digital and editorial teams.
"In the sunlit uplands of Australia’s strategic imagination..." Lovely turn of phrase in an excellent column from @SusannahCPatton. Bonus point for the use of "satrap". lowyinstitute.org/the-interp…
Despite all the challenges associated with President Trump’s attendance at ASEAN, Southeast Asian leaders want him there. My preview for the Interpreter: lowyinstitute.org/the-interp…
Scant detail on new defence cooperation between Australia and Singapore so far in CSP 2.0. "Enhanced availability" of air and naval bases implies no new arrangements, but Singapore saying yes more often to Australia? pm.gov.au/media/press-confer…
To limit China’s domination of Southeast Asia, the United States should strengthen its ties with Vietnam and Thailand—the two countries “on the margins of Beijing’s zone of influence,” argues @SusannahCPatton.
foreignaffairs.com/southeast…
Happy to share a write up of our new Southeast Asia Influence Index published in @ForeignAffairs, exploring geopolitical divergence within Southeast Asia, and recommending the US prioritise relationships with Vietnam and Thailand. foreignaffairs.com/southeast…
Today we launch the Southeast Asia Influence Index, a new digital tool mapping China-US competition, geopolitics, and neighbourhood relationships in this critical region. A 🧵on the findings ... 1/ influence.lowyinstitute.org/
For a quick overview, my Interpreter article today provides a starting point, highlighting that while we confirm that China is "winning" in Southeast Asia, this is far from the whole story: /10 lowyinstitute.org/the-interp…