Most traders gamble. I hunt.
Here’s my Multi‑Signal Playbook — how I build asymmetric trades where my edge ≥80%, and stand down when it’s weak.
1. Objective
→ Only act when confluence ≥0.8.
→ Edge <0.6? Sit out. Capital preservation is the first trade.
2. Signal Stack (weights)
Accumulation: Apex 30% | Tech 25% | On‑chain 20% | Sent 15% | Macro 10%.
Trending: Apex 25% | Tech 35% | On‑chain 15% | Macro 15% | Sent 10%.
Distribution: Apex 35% | Tech 20% | Macro 20% | On‑chain 15% | Sent 10%.
Whipsaw: Apex 40% | On‑chain 20% | Sent 15% | Tech 15% | Macro 10%.
3. Daily Workflow (1 hr)
•Macro Scan (15m): Rate decisions, ETF flows, unlocks → tag as “Fuel” or “Friction.”
•Apex Mapping (20m): Heatmaps & OB profiles → mark liquidity “magnet zones.”
•Tech Scan (15m): Multi‑TF (1h/4h/1D). Only trade where zones structure overlap.
•On‑chain (10m): Stablecoin dom, top‑10 wallet flows, exchange inflows.
•Sentiment (5m): Funding extremes, OI spikes, CT polarity.
•Score: Edge % = Σ (Signal weight × alignment). Trade only if ≥0.8.
4. Execution Rules
•Risk: (Edge‑0.6)×2 = position size. Cap loss 1%.
•Stops: Beyond the next magnet zone; invalidation = broken apex logic.
•Take‑profit: 1/3 at 1R, 1/3 at 2R, rest to next magnet zone or narrative expiry.
•Time stop: <0.5R in 24h Apex shift? Close.
5. Mindset
3 strikes (‑3R in 48h) = flat, review, reset.
Weekly: Judge process, not P&L.
Quarterly: Re‑weight signals based on stats.
Final word:
Certainty is a mirage. Confluence is real edge. Predators don’t chase — they ambush.