We've been on a heater lately so why not share one
✅5 straight Round 1s have been profitable, 14 units over the last 4 tournaments
Rest of the card is in the discord if you want it
🔗:
dubclub.win/af/afl-6ysz9/
📊 Sam Burns Under 67.5
-125 on Caesars
Burns came so close to victory last year, getting bested in a playoff. I'm not jumping out of my seat to take him to win this week (especially at those odds), but I'm extra interested in backing his R1 score tomorrow.
A big separator when Par 5s hand out opportunities is the Par 4 scoring. Burns ranks 1st in the field in strokes gained on Par 4s. We know his distance is going to set him up for some favorable wedge shots onto the green, and I'm sure he'll be able to bury a few opportunities from there as he ranks as the 2nd best putter in the field.
We've keyed into how the North Course can bring a lot of scoring, and while the weather may have slight disagreements this week, it's still important to factor in scoring stats like BOB%, where he ranks 5th in the field.
Burns was one of just 3 golfers who ranked Top 50 in every stat I factored in (8) and on top of that, he ranks 21st in SG: Round 1 and 8th on Par 70s this season.
Data Provided by BetspertsGolf