We believe that every voice carries a signal. Most research misses those voices. The Public Sentiment Institute is built to find it, in the data beneath the data, in the areas others overlook, asking tough questions other researchers won't ask. publicsentimentinstitute.com

🚨NEW POLL: TPSI June National Benchmark (LV n=1,042, MoE ±3.8pp) 📊 Generic Ballot: D 49.8% / R 40.9% (D 8.9) 📉 Trump approval: 46.6/51.9 (-5.3) 🇺🇸 Country wrong track: 55.9% 💸 58.8% say it's hard to pay expenses 🐸 Groyper identification: 11.7% SUBSTACK: tpsiofficial.substack.com/p/…

Florida Governor Republican Primary Among Female Voters 🔴James Fishback: 39% ( 2) 🔵Byron Donalds: 37% n=729 Likely Voters | June 8–9, 2026 | MoE ±3.6 pts

I love the Free Response Answers to our National Polling, always very entertaining.

Overnight Flash Poll on Florida Republican Primary 25% of Byron Donalds' voters FLIP if he doesn't participate in televised debate. 🔴Flip to Fishback: 9% ⚪️Flip to Undecided: 16% n = 805 | Likely Voters | June 11th | ±3.4 MOE

Florida Governor Republican Primary Among 45-64 Year Olds 🔵Byron Donalds: 41% ( 2) 🔴James Fishback: 39% n=729 Likely Voters | June 8–9, 2026 | MoE ±3.6 pts

🔴BREAKING NEWS We are conducting our Benchmark National Poll for the month of June using the Cint Theorem Panel. We are asking a WIDE Range of questions that you won't want to miss. Stay tuned for more updates!

Florida Governor Republican Primary Among 18-29 Year Olds 🔴James Fishback: 54% ( 22) 🔵Byron Donalds: 36% n=729 Likely Voters | June 8–9, 2026 | MoE ±3.6 pts

It's like we totally didn't poll the fact that when you smear him he gains 9 points.

South Carolina (73% Reporting): Senate Results: Graham: 57.6% Lynch: 28.2% Dismukes: 5.1% Herrmann: 3.8% Cowen: 3.0% Mitchell: 2.3% Our Poll: Graham: 51.0% Lynch: 26.4% Dismukes: 6.6% Herrmann: 5.4% Mitchell: 4.2% Cowen: 2.0% Undecided: 4.4% ——— Governor Results: Evette: 29.3% Wilson: 25.9% Norman: 16.8% Reddy: 14.6% Mace: 11.8% Others: 1.5% Our Poll: Mace: 30% Evette: 24.9% Norman: 15.2% Reddy: 13.4% Wilson: 12.0% Undecided: 4.6% We did very well in the Senate race and even though we’re going to have a terrible miss for the governor primary, we actually did well in capturing the vote shares for Evette, Norman, and Reddy. I will look into our online panel and see why we unpolled Wilson so much, because you had literally just switched their votes, this would’ve been a decent poll to put out. When we polled the race, we asked respondents if they were PLANNING to vote in the Republican Primary, so all the responses were South Carolinians who were planning on voting in the primaries for Republicans. We asked this screener since it’s an open primary, which are always tricky to poll. We will continue to improve our methodology and try our best to accurately poll races moving forward.

🔴IMPORTANT ANNNOUCMENT We DO NOT use "AI RESPONDENTS" in ANY of our polling. This was a typo from a methodology statement we had in our EARLY national poll from March where we experimented with a makeshift version of "super-population modeling", which is a statistical modeling effort that pollsters do actually use to fill in gaps in a sample, and we only had like 393 voters in that poll. However, NONE of our responses, in ANY of our polls, including in that early national poll, DO NOT have a single response that was generated from ChatGPT, Claude AI, or any LLM. Anyone claiming that we used "AI Respondents", defined as a response created by an LLM is inherently FALSE.

The exact wording of the question that we asked in Maine in regards to informing voters of Platner's "scandal" was the following: “Over the last week, rumors have surfaced that Graham Platner sexually assaulted multiple women in the past. Platner even sent one text to a former girlfriend reading 'I would rape them to show them that I'm dominant.' However, Planter's wife has defended him against these accusations. Knowing this, who would you vote for in the 2026 senate race?" He leads by 8 points in the informed ballot versus Collins being up by 0.6%. Important: Smear campaigns on a challenger pcan boost that candidate on the receiving end of the attacks if voters are tired of the incumbent administration.

TPSI Maine Poll Senate Ballot: 🔴Susan Collins: 43.7% ( 0.6) 🔵Graham Platner: 43.1% ⚪️Undecided: 13.2% “Over the last week, rumors have surfaced that Graham Platner sexually assaulted multiple women in the past. Platner even sent one text to a former girlfriend reading 'I would rape them to show them that I'm dominant.' However, Planter's wife has defended him against these accusations. Knowing this, who would you vote for in the 2026 senate race?" 🔵Graham Platner: 48.2% ( 8.2) 🔴Susan Collins: 40.1% ⚪️Undecided: 11.7% Governor 🔵Nirav Shah: 46.7% 🔴Robert Charles: 32.2% ⚪️Undecided: 22.1% Generic Ballot: 🔵Democrats: 50.9% 🔴Republicans: 40.1% ⚪️Undecided: 9.0% n=497 | ±4.9 MOE | LV 6/8 SUBSTACK: open.substack.com/pub/tpsiof…

Our Maine poll is about to come out. A lot of people will be surprised by the results, some won't be (I wasn't surprised at all).

MAINE Poll - Releasing Tomorrow Morning

We are polling the state of Maine.

We will be putting out a response map for all of the voters in our South Carolina Poll with comments from voters about what they had to say about Lindsey Graham.