Living the dream
Joined January 2021
- Tweets 1,103
- Following 484
- Followers 4,191
- Likes 928
42 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
1 Nov 2022
I've gotten a bunch of questions recently on whether or not I'd be posting CBB plays this year. Figured it easiest to answer publicly.
My current plan is to not post plays publicly any longer.
The reasoning for that follows below...
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4 Apr 2025
@robpizzola recently mentioned pros were struggling to win at cbb this year. Let's take a look at market efficiency for Totals. Here's the avg absolute mean error for both the opener (top) and close (bottom) by year.
If my numbers are right*, the market opener this year is *significantly* more accurate than the close from all recent years. š
* These numbers exclude some games where I don't generate predictions
* Someone double-check my numbers, please.
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4 Apr 2025
I find this remarkable for a few different reasons:
1. One of the major cbb groups exited the market this year. This would theoretically make the market less efficient.
2. The avg closing total goes up every year. In general, the higher the total, the higher the AAME is, so that's a headwind.
3. Market manipulation is supposedly at an all time high if you listen to people who talk about cbb markets.
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21 Mar 2025
Is anyone maintaining a list of scammy offshore books that is relatively up-to-date? Can someone point me at that?
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30 Nov 2024
"Would you take Michigan beating OSU if it meant losing every cbb bet you made that day" is all of a sudden not a hypothetical
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Love you Will, but we literally do not care
30 Nov 2024
"We're gonna regroup and go into the playoffs and make a run." -- Will Howard
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
No Will
No Colston
No Edwards
$20 Million
10-1 vs 6-5
The records truly donāt matter.
We own Ohio State.
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Canāt believe Connor Stalions did this
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Shoutout to whoever this kid is
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Final from Columbus
#GoBucks | @koorsenfire
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Michigan should be in the college football playoffs.
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Ryan Day is now 45-1 against Big Ten teams that aren't Michigan, and 1-4 against Big Ten teams that are Michigan
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Gosh I love my annual Thanksgiving weekend traditions! š
GO FU**ING BLUEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Michigan winning
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Telemachus retweeted
30 Nov 2024
Before you guys send hate towards Ryan Day remember you arenāt just attacking a coach but, a father, a husband, and a christian. One bad game shouldnāt takeaway what heās brought to this program and we should be looking forward to seeing him continue to lead our Buckeyes.
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30 Nov 2024
The lesson today is that the only way Ryan Day can make Michigan cry is using mace
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25 Nov 2024
Serious question: Who is in charge of making rotation numbers for cbb (or any) games?
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16 Nov 2024
Getting lots of money down on cbb extra games used to be a fun challenge but not sure it's worth the time investment and accounts this year. What would you do in our position?
24%
Work harder. Find outs.
31%
Small fills quietly.
27%
Release 'em, torch market
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Play early, torch market
431 votes ā¢ Final results
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16 Nov 2024
Honestly more interested in a discussion around the long term game theory of torching the cbb extra games market. Does making it harder for RAS / new cbb originators to make money help or hurt us in the long run?
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