Reality shows up in language before it does in the numbers, so we built an early warning system to deliver risk signals to investors. telemetryresearch.co

Joined April 2026
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The Canary, Issue #3. Put trades returning 80%, 95%, 117%, and 180% in under 30 days, plus GREEN-rated longs we wish we bought in November $MOS $FSLY $DG $OPRA $SWBI $HTGC $IONQ $PLUG $FIVE $NXDR $TTWO open.substack.com/pub/teleme…

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$HSBC down 5% on credit losses 9% above consensus, driven mostly by one fraud-related exposure. Market punishing when lenders surprise on marks. $HTGC has significant software exposure at risk from AI shareholder class actions. Earnings after the close today
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$HTGC reports after the close today. If they simply repriced to where its peers trade, the stock would fall at least 25%. - Critical report by @hntrbrkmedia dropped in Feb - Class action followed naming senior mgmt personally - Friday: CFO moving to President, new CFO
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9) External pressure stack: - @hntrbrkmedia critical report Feb 27 - Class action filed naming Bluestein and Meyer - Friday: CFO moving to President, new CFO arriving in 2 weeks. - Yesterday: $40M facility expansion to a medical device borrower announced. 1 day before earnings
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Listen for: - Who answers hard questions? "Before my time" from new CFO is a tell. - Mark the software book, partially mark it, or hold the line? - PIK comes up before analysts raise it - Do they address the lawsuit Hunterbrook at all? - Change in dividend language
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