Author of TheCurrencyBlog.com Head of Private Division @ Currencies 4 You. RT is not an endorsement. Opinions are my own.
Joined April 2014
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6 Jan 2023
Shouldn't get too excited about the U.S jobs data, layoffs don't happen as much around holiday season- the next 3 months are the ones to watch.
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Prem Raja FX retweeted
23 Oct 2022
⚠️ Pound gives its verdict on Tory leadership race. Sunak good. Johnson bad. Another $GBP short squeeze on the cards tomorrow as risks of another Boris term gets priced out. Positioning is a lot cleaner though so any rally might be short-lived
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Prem Raja FX retweeted
14 Oct 2022
If a new Chancellor is appointed today, it'll be the fourth person to hold that office in the last 101 days.
Political stability well and truly gone...
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Prem Raja FX retweeted
5 Sep 2022
⚠️ Strong chance dip buyers emerge for $GBP this week. Markets are pricing in a BoP / fiscal crisis narrative already on the back of Truss. But sensible govt policy that eases stagflation crisis reduces the need for sharp BoE hikes lowers deep recession risks = good for pound
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4 Jul 2022
GERMAN GOVT SOURCES SAY UNIPER BELIEVED TO BE ONLY CANDIDATE THAT WILL NEED A STATE BAIL-OUT
4 Jul 2022
SAS WARNS CO.'S FUTURE AT RISK AS PILOTS UNION GOES ON STRIKE
4 Jul 2022
PUTIN: TROOPS THAT 'LIBERATED' LUHANSK REGION SHOULD REST BUT OTHER MILITARY UNITS SHOULD CONTINUE FIGHTING
4 Jul 2022
PUTIN CONGRATULATES RUSSIAN TROOPS FOR 'LIBERATING' UKRAINE'S LUHANSK REGION
4 Jul 2022
BIDEN MAY ANNOUNCE DECISION TO CUT CHINESE TARIFFS THIS WEEK - WSJ.
Prem Raja FX retweeted
6 Jun 2022
BREAKING: Results of the confidence vote in Boris Johnson.
Confidence 211
No Confidence 148
A worse result than Theresa May suffered.
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Prem Raja FX retweeted
24 May 2022
Even after the PMIs, markets are pricing in a 60bp rise in Bank Rate by August, implying near certainty that the MPC will hike by 25bp at its next two meetings, and a small chance of a monster 50bp hike. The risk now surely is the MPC bottles it at one of those meetings.
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Prem Raja FX retweeted
24 May 2022
The PMI's collapse in May brings it closer to levels seen when the MPC has cut Bank Rate than hiked it before. The resilience of the price and employment balances likely will persuade the MPC to hike again in Jun or Aug, but the rapid hikes envisaged by markets now are v unlikely
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21 Apr 2022
Good Morning... Nobody really believes the ECB raises by 75bps this year right? lol
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13 Mar 2022
I guess with China on lockdown we should now be pricing in even more supply chain issues…