🚨🚨 Great gig alert 🚨🚨

Evan and the whole team at Slingshot are some of the best in the business. They have some incredible, super high profile clients and are at the cutting edge of polling methodology. To my polling peers, if you’re looking for a new job don’t pass this opportunity up.

Do you dream about crosstabs? Can you design an oversample with your eyes closed? Does message testing get your heart rate up? We're hiring a (NYC-based, hybrid-work) Vice President of Polling and Research at Slingshot Strategies! Come poll with us! linkedin.com/jobs/view/44181…

This is a great question, and there is some strong research from @dcoxpolls showing that "Only 37 percent of college-educated women raised in Republican households are still Republican as adults," compared to 57% of all voters raised in Republican households (the effect in men is much less pronounced)

It’s the gentrification of the Democratic Party. As more white, college-educated, and high-income voters migrate into the Democratic base to pursue Left-Progressive politics it is naturally displacing the parochial interests of longtime democratic constituencies such as Blacks, Jews, Puerto Ricans, Catholic white ethnics, etc. The impact of this shift has become very acute in primaries and it is extremely disruptive to internal party power networks.

also younger nonwhite voters have next to zero loyalty to these established politicians and political machines. yes, valdez will put up assad margins with ridgewood whites, but my guess is that she'll win young hispanic and black voters too.

"James Talarico is leading Ken Paxton by a 57 point margin among voters who self-identify as moderate and by 43 points among self-identified independents in the U.S. Senate race" texaspublicopinionresearch.s…

Coming up on The Dean Obeidallah Show: @themaxburns guests hosts! Joining him is @TheRealERS, John Ray from @YouGov, and @PamKeithFL! ☎️: 866-997-4748 🔊: SiriusXM.us/Dean

😤

“The 13th District is an early experiment on how far Mamdani’s popularity goes,” @TheRealERS said.

Every NYC political operative has a username like “Ridgewoody Harrelson” and their bio is “I will not rest until Pete Alonso reclaims his rightful throne as Queens Borough President.” They are 0/5 on insurgent Assembly races.

👀👀

New poll from Slingshot Strategies (D) for Texas Public Opinion Research Talarico 47 Paxton 44 Brown (L) 1 w/undecideds pushed Talarico 48 Paxton 45 Brown 2 Talarico 47 fav/40 unfav Paxton 38/57 Trump 10 electorate, R 19 on party ID 1670 LV, 5/27-28 drive.google.com/file/d/1lCi…

New poll from Texas Public Opinion Research, fielded entirely after the Republican runoff (5/27-28, n=1670 likely voters, ±2.8% margin of error): 🔵 47% James Talarico (D) 🔴 44% Ken Paxton (R) 🟡 1% Ted Brown (L) ⚫️ 7% Undecided ⚪️ 2% Would not vote 30% of Cornyn runoff voters say they would vote for Talarico in the runoff (23% are undecided or wouldn’t vote) Abbott leads Hinojosa 46-41 in the governor’s race Talarico Favorability: 🟢 47/40 ( 7) Paxton Favorability: 🔴 38/57 (-19) Independents break for Talarico 64-21 and moderates break for Talarico 72-15. White voters being Paxton 1 seems *way* too good to be true for Talarico. But Latinos being Paxton 4 seems *way* too good to be true for Paxton. Probably a wash? Who’s to say.

👀 NEW TPOR POLL: James Talarico (47%) leads Ken Paxton (44%) by 3 points in the race for U.S. Senate. Seven percent of voters remain undecided. Among those undecided voters, when pushed to choose, 19% lean toward Paxton, 17% toward Talarico, and 13% toward Libertarian Ted Brown—with 50% still not sure. texaspublicopinionresearch.s…

👀 Texas Senate poll 🔵 James Talarico — 47 percent 🔴 Ken Paxton — 44 percent 7 percent undecided. Texas Public Opinion Research. 1,670 likely voters, May 27-28. mailchi.mp/06e052a423d6/tpor…

🚨NEW TEXAS PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH POLL: Talarico leads Paxton 47% to 44%, powered by margins with moderates and independents. Among Cornyn runoff voters, 30% say that they will vote for Talarico, while 44% say they will vote for Paxton. Full poll👇 texaspublicopinionresearch.s…

New @TXPOResearch snap polling of the Texas general election (Senate, Gov, AG) dropping this afternoon. 👇 texaspublicopinionresearch.s…