Do yourself a favour & don’t read anything in this post.
Most of it is wrong, baseless and outright incorrect.
Save your time :)
India classified Polymarket as illegal gambling. Your profits didn't disappear, your legal cover did.
> India's Ministry of Electronics and IT (MeitY) sent letters to VPN providers on April 25, 2026 warning them of "consequential legal action" for facilitating access to prediction market platforms.
> The advisory specifically named polymarket, on may 1, PROGA (Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Rules) officially came into effect.
> Legal experts confirmed Polymarket and Kalshi clearly fall under its broad ban on "online money games
> Polymarket's response?
They didn't add India to their restricted countries list, they're
- still onboarding Indian users.
- still running identity checks.
- still processing trades.
The platform not blocking you does not mean you're operating legally. It means the legal exposure sits entirely on you, not them.
What about your Money
> If you made profit on Polymarket from India, you are sitting in one of the most uncomfortable legal positions possible. Here's why.
> Polymarket operates on USDC, the Indian Income Tax Department classifies USDC and all prediction market profits under vda, Virtual Digital Assets. That means:
- Flat 30% tax on every profit, no exceptions, no distinction between short-term and long-term, no deduction on losses.
- If you lost money on 10 trades and won on 2, only the 2 winning trades get taxed. The 10 losses mean nothing.
- You file under ITR-2 or ITR-3, schedule vda, line by line, every trade, every date, every transaction. You cannot submit a single "total profit" figure.
> Before the new law, SEBI had already warned investors that these platforms offer zero investor protection and are not government overseen. No recourse, no protection, just taxes.
When problem will start
> If you declare:
govt. classified as illegal under PROGA. That paper trail can be referred to enforcement.
> If you don't declare:
From April 1, 2026, IT Department officers are trained in blockchain forensics and wallet tracing.
> Crypto wallet inspection is now permitted during tax raids, any discrepancy above ₹1 lakh between your ITR and exchange records triggers official notices or audits.
> Penalties for willful concealment: 20% accuracy penalty, up to 75% civil fraud penalty. and potential FEMA violations for undisclosed foreign crypto income.
> Declare and confess. Don't declare and get traced. There is no clean exit once you've traded.
The bottom line
>Polymarket is a genuinely good product. The technology is real and the volume is massive
> a single IPL match on May 7 pulled $27.7 million in combined trading across Polymarket and Kalshi.
> But if you're trading from India in 2026, you are in a legal position that is actively closing