Nothing about the collapse is in the agent's prompt. It's a page of plain English written like a brief for a new risk analyst: here's the kind of coin you're guarding, its backing is a token the protocol itself mints, pay attention to how that token's supply and price behave. No hardcoded dates, numbers, or answers. It makes the calls by analyzing data and the situation in real time.
Its actual May 10 (UST at $0.93) output was: "REFUSE · LUNA market cap ($10.5B) is below UST outstanding ($16B); backing is underwater, and redemptions mint a falling token." You could hard-code that part if you knew the exact failure mechanism in advance. But you couldn't copy the CAUTION it gave on May 8, when the peg was slipping, and LUNA was down 20% while supply was still flat.