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Rodgers Thusi @ThusiRodgers

intellectually furious

Joined February 2022
  • Tweets 317
  • Following 179
  • Followers 58
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As an inspirational speaker motivating young people not to lose hope, she is fine. As an authority tasked with the responsibility of taking young people out of desperation and hopelessness, she is hopeless. The solution lies in God, Perceptions and Mindset, really!
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Which of the big three wants proportional representation now? No single party would have won the elections. BDP did not want PR. BCP would be No 3 in Parly. UDC may break up into its three components. The compromise is mixed member with constituency dominating.
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The newspapers and analysts overlooked that only two presidential candidates did not stand for parliamentary elections. The former and the current presidents. Why do you need a parliamentary seat if you are going to be a president? This other guy was always overrated.
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Interested in understanding how the political pundits got it wrong, Mmegi disappoints. UDC won because of the outdated FPTP system. BCP won its largest number of seats ever, overstated its popular vote from 21 to 27%. But they had predicted BCP to top the slate and UDC third!
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Mmegi of 25 Oct gave a two page optimistic view of BCP winning, a one page guarded view of BDP scrapping through and a half page cynical view of UDC chances. Their analyst ranked the presidential hopefuls as Masisi, Saleshando, Boko and Reatile! Let us laugh.
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Was the Guardian prediction of Oct 25 based on analysis or wishful thinking? BCP was to take 3 of 5 Gaborone constituencies. There was to be a hung parliament with BCP top at 22, BDP at 17 and UDC 16 seats. They must redeem themselves by analyzing the outcome.
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Rodgers Thusi retweeted
Uncle German
@GermanTank_BW
17 Nov 2024
The BDP got the second highest popular vote, more than BCP and BPF combined. The BDP is not finished yet.
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Can we please get a lean cabinet, not one for patronage. Let's have enough back benchers to provide governance oversight and not leave this only to opposition. When it comes to assistant ministers - lets not have them.
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UDC victory is both astounding and fragile. It won with the smallest popular vote ever. BDP came a decent second in popular vote, yet a distant fourth in seats. The next battle will be over those who voted BDP while BDP will try to claw back its own. The winner will take all.
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The elite have given up on BDP but are predicting BCP dominance. Fact, in its history BCP posted a max of 5 MPs on its own. In the South it has ever won 2 seats. So, we shall reward it for leaving the UDC? In 1989 11 MPs defected from BNF to form BCP. Were they rewarded?
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Some commentators predict (say wish) that BDP will lose Gabs but that BCP will dominate. Help me understand what we will be rewarding BCP for? In the last four elections it was alone, it only won G Central twice. BNF/UDC dominated in most. Lo e tsaya kae?
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I pray that all former BCP MPs who defected from the UDC will be returned to parliament. Also hope that those BCP MPs who stuck with the UDC will also be returned. They are all good men. Let the results be a lesson to BCP to return to Moono. We need them.
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Today I read an op-ed in one of the newspapers where it was posited that the UDC is unstable because many have left it. However, those who left BDP are labelled disgruntled nomads. Nervous that BDP will not make it, people are advised to vote wisely by going for a softer BDP.
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How does Maun become a BCP stronghold when they won it for the first time in 2019? How can Chobe be a stronghold when it was won by BDP? Only Okavango, S/Pikwe West and Ramotswa were previously won without UDC help. They have taken a risk and we wish them well.
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Opposition parties have cooperated well in Parliament despite their fights outside. Regrettably, the lack of cooperation this election is self-destructive. Many good MPs are set to lose their seats. Be wise and avoid standing against sitting MPs, at least.
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In a constitutional democracy you would expect a nation to be united around its constitution but differ on policy and action. In Botswana, the constitutional amendment is owned only be the executive, with parliament whipped into line. A lifetime opportunity lost!
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The South African constitution is considered one of the most progressive in the world. But Botswana would rather learn from Zimbabwe, where the Executive can manipulate the system and dismiss opposition MPs in the same way they can fire a civil servant.
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Is it not ironic that a comprehensive constitutional review would be implemented in a piece meal fashion? In Botswana, the main bill will be rushed through the terminal phase of the current Parliament. The rest will await a referendum sometime in the future!
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You would expect a comprehensive constitutional review to be inclusive in process and progressive in outcome. But in Botswana it was the opposite. Parliament was sidelined in the process and emasculated in determining the outcome. The Executive had and ate its cake.
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Listening to the debate on the constitutional amendment bill, one is left wondering whether BDP MPs are supporting the bill or just criticizing what opposition MPs are saying about the bill. They seem to be defending their party, leaving no one to support the bill.
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