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Joined May 2020
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TradeSmith retweeted
Breakout Alert: $ALAB - Astera Labs Fundamental Score: 83.4 | Market Cap: $63B Past month: 79.8% | Past year: 289.5% Q1 FY26 revenue hit $308.4M, up 93% YoY, with PCIe 6 portfolio driving more than a third of the quarter. Management says Astera hardware now sits inside nearly 90% of global AI computing servers. The Scorpio switch ramp is turning AI connectivity from a niche into core infrastructure. Note: $ALAB IPO'd in 2024.
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Published: June 9, 2026 Apple just Cracked Open the AI Floodgates, Here's the Real Trade Apple $AAPL debuted its long-awaited AI overhaul at WWDC this week, launching a dedicated Siri app built to go head-to-head with ChatGPT, Claude, and $GOOGL's Gemini. The new iOS quietly threads AI through everything, proactively searching your texts, photos, and emails before you even ask. Wall Street shrugged. $AAPL slipped about 2% on the news, with critics pointing out that many Android phones already do this via Gemini. The features aren't revolutionary. But that misses the bigger picture entirely. Roughly 1.5 billion people carry an iPhone. Overnight, Apple just turned on the AI funnel for potentially over a billion new users. Every prompt, every photo search, every Siri query routes back to a data center that has to be built, powered, and cooled. That is why we're far more interested in what we call AI Chokepoints, the bottleneck businesses the entire AI buildout depends on. There are five categories worth tracking: 1. High-bandwidth memory chips that feed AI processors fast enough to keep up 2. Silicon photonics replacing copper wiring with pulses of light 3. Power conditioning gear that turns high-voltage transmission into clean data-center juice 4. Liquid cooling systems that keep AI chips from melting under load 5. Grid construction firms physically wiring new facilities to power Here's the compounding piece most investors miss. Today's AI models are already being used to design tomorrow's, which means demand on these chokepoints doesn't grow linearly. It accelerates. This is currently the world's most powerful market megatrend, and $AAPL just poured gasoline on it. Source: tradesmith.com/tradesmith-da…

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TradeSmith retweeted
Rotations and money movement told you everything you need to know this week. $XLV hit a 2-month high and $PJP an all-time high today, while $XLK crashed 5.7%. 10,000 Americans retire daily. The 80 population doubles by 2045. Boomer health care is the trade of the decade. #HealthCare #Boomers #XLV
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TradeSmith retweeted
Doom for Zoom? Down Streak Signal: $ZM just closed down 7 days in a row. This has only happened 13 times in the last 5 years (since 2021). It's traded lower 77% of the time a year later, on average -27.7%.
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TradeSmith retweeted
Successful trading comes down to finding golden ratio setups. At least $4 of upside for every $1 of downside. One is shaping up right now in Kratos Defense $KTOS, and it sits squarely on top of the drone megatrend. Military and surveillance drone makers can now produce large numbers of effective drones at low cost. Many applications carry extreme cost-to-damage inflicted ratios, and they let militaries strike and surveil without risking human lives. Drones have already played a decisive role in the Russia/Ukraine war and the Iran conflict. Military experts call this a Revolution in Military Affairs, a structural change on par with the introduction of tanks, battleships, and airplanes. Governments are buying drones like crazy and drone maker revenue is soaring. After our call, $KTOS took off like a rocket. The stock advanced 380% in just over a year before sliding 57% from its 2026 highs, mostly because it ran too far, too fast. These selloffs are often the best moments to step in. Almost every big growth winner of the past 20 years went through one. No big winner climbs in a straight line. Kratos has heavy exposure to its XQ-58 Valkyrie military drone, with strong and growing sales. It also operates land-based facilities protecting U.S. government satellite hardware and communications, plugging directly into the space economy boom. Two megatrends, one ticker. Buy near recent lows, set a stop near those lows, and let the golden ratio work.
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These four stocks surged this week to reach new all-time highs. These four companies own and operate a huge slice of America's shopping centers, and their businesses are booming. $SPG, $MAC, $KIM, and $SKT This matters for one of the most important debates in finance right now. Call it The Doomers vs. The Optimists. The Doomers say the Iran War's constriction of critical Middle Eastern resources like oil, natural gas, fertilizer, sulfuric acid, and helium will trigger economic disruption, then a recession, then a bear market. The Optimists say those fears are overblown, a diplomatic solution is on the way, and the economy and stock market keep climbing. New highs in mall REITs make the verdict pretty clear. The market is siding with The Optimists. It also blows up the popular bearish narrative on the American consumer. Famous pessimists have been forecasting the death of the consumer for decades. They've been consistently wrong. Not even the dot-com crash or the 2008 financial crisis could knock the consumer out. In the event of global thermonuclear war, two things will survive: cockroaches and the American consumer. That super resilient consumer is a friend to every name on this list. Their fortunes rise and fall with the public's capacity and willingness to blow $1,000 at the mall. Right now, the public is showing up. The media keeps saying the consumer is struggling. The tape says the opposite. Trust the tape.
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TradeSmith retweeted
RSI Cross signal just fired on Constellation Energy $CEG's RSI(2) just crossed below 5, now at 4.8. 35 prior triggers on record. 37 prior occurrences. 100% finished higher 12 months later. 12M Avg Return: 70.3% Avg Max Drawdown: -32.0% #CEG #signalstudies #stocks #trading
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TradeSmith retweeted
Every boom and every bust eventually washes into real estate prices. When oil rips, Houston booms. When corn and soybeans surge, Iowa farmland soars. When big tech valuations stretch, Silicon Valley and San Francisco follow right along. The cleanest read on American real estate right now is the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF, $RSPR. It holds about 30 of the largest U.S. REITs across apartments, offices, hotels, health care, shopping malls, warehouses, public storage, timberland, communication infrastructure, and research labs. Real estate is essentially a catch basin where money flows in or out based on a region or industry's economic health. That makes it one of the most useful tools for tracking big technology and business trends. That is the who's who of American real estate. Because the fund is so broad, it rises and falls with overall U.S. economic health. And the tape is loud and clear. $RSPR is up 9.4% year-to-date and just rallied over the past two months to close near its all-time high. Economic growth and rising asset prices never come from problem-free climates. They come from climates where the big negatives get overwhelmed by even bigger positives. The leading real estate firms are telling us that is exactly where America stands today.
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TradeSmith retweeted
Oracle - Earnings Breakdown Expectations vs. Reality: $ORCL EPS: Expected $1.96 - Reported $2.03 (Beat by $0.07 / 3.6%) Revenue: Expected $19.10B - Reported $19.18B (Beat by 0.4%) Cloud revenues (IaaS SaaS) jumped 47% to $9.9 billion, with Cloud Infrastructure up 93%. Remaining Performance Obligations hit a record $638B - the AI demand backlog is real. Guidance was aggressive. Oracle now expects FY27 revenue of $90B and non-GAAP EPS of $8.05, but plans roughly $70B in net capex and a $40B fundraise (including a $20B equity offering). Shares fell roughly 7% after-hours (down ~12% right now) despite the beat as investors digested the capex shock and dilution risk before recovering some ground.
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TradeSmith retweeted
$SPG, $MAC, $KIM, and $SKT each surged more than 3% this week to reach new all-time highs. These four companies own and operate a huge slice of America's shopping centers, and their businesses are booming. This matters for one of the most important debates in finance right now. Call it The Doomers vs. The Optimists. The Doomers say the Iran War's constriction of critical Middle Eastern resources like oil, natural gas, fertilizer, sulfuric acid, and helium will trigger economic disruption, then a recession, then a bear market. The Optimists say those fears are overblown, a diplomatic solution is on the way, and the economy and stock market keep climbing. New highs in mall REITs make the verdict pretty clear. The market is siding with The Optimists. It also blows up the popular bearish narrative on the American consumer. Famous pessimists have been forecasting the death of the consumer for decades. They've been consistently wrong. Not even the dot-com crash or the 2008 financial crisis could knock the consumer out. In the event of global thermonuclear war, two things will survive: cockroaches and the American consumer. That super resilient consumer is a friend to every name on this list. Their fortunes rise and fall with the public's capacity and willingness to blow $1,000 at the mall. Right now, the public is showing up. The media keeps saying the consumer is struggling. The tape says the opposite. Trust the tape.
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TradeSmith retweeted
The Safe Way to Play the AI Boom: Utilities Last Friday was ugly for the broad market, but $XLU didn't get the memo. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund advanced 0.93% while investors dumped high-growth, high-volatility names and rotated into steadier themes. We covered the emerging uptrend in $XLU last summer and called it "the safe way to invest in AI power demand." That call is aging well. Here's the setup. Big Tech (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle, Meta) has already poured over $1 trillion into AI infrastructure. They're on pace to spend around $700 billion this year alone, with more than $3 trillion to follow. The scale and velocity are unprecedented. It is the largest collective investment effort of all time. All that infrastructure runs on electricity. Goldman Sachs forecasts global data center power demand will climb 50% by 2027 and as much as 165% by the end of the decade. That demand is fueling a bull market in virtually every form of electric power production. This is the classic picks-and-shovels trade applied to AI. You don't have to guess which company builds the best model, the best chip, or the best AI application. You just have to recognize that every one of them, and every user, has to buy electricity to power it. Utilities won't deliver hypergrowth upside. But they offer stability, real cash flows, and a structural tailwind that doesn't depend on picking a single winner. Long-term demand outlook is extraordinary. Bullish on the utilities uptrend.
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Today in TradeSmith Daily: - SpaceX $SPCX and other mega-IPOs are just more fuel for the market's biggest theme: AI chokepoints - Our analysts called the space craze early in $RDW , and dropped out at the perfect time - How our newest AI strategy ripped 50% in 2022 Read on: tradesmith.com/tradesmith-da…

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TradeSmith retweeted
Oracle $ORCL Reports AMC Today The database giant turned AI infrastructure player closes its fiscal year as one of the most-watched names in the cloud buildout, with a $553B backlog and Stargate partnership in focus. What analysts expect: EPS: $1.96 vs $1.70 last year - up 15% YoY Revenue: $19.1B vs $15.9B last year - up 20% YoY Key things to watch: - OCI growth rate and whether cloud infrastructure can sustain its 50% pace - Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and capex commentary tied to the OpenAI buildout Shares have whipsawed in 2026 on AI capex concerns and OpenAI deal headlines, with the 52-week range running from $134 to $345.
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TradeSmith retweeted
$LULU is down 65% over the past year, hit a new one-year low as competitors eat its share. Meanwhile, $PJP and $LLY both printed new all-time highs. Old retail breaking down. Boomer health care breaking out. #stocks #healthcare #GLP1
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TradeSmith retweeted
GameStop $GME Reports Wednesday AMC The original meme stock has quietly pivoted into something stranger - a video game retailer sitting on a multi-billion dollar cash pile and a growing bitcoin treasury, with collectibles now driving the top line. What analysts expect: - EPS: $0.16 vs $0.09 last year - up 77.8% YoY - Revenue: $767M vs $732M last year - up 4.7% YoY Key things to watch: - Collectibles category growth and whether it can keep offsetting structural declines in hardware and software - Capital allocation update on the bitcoin treasury and the recently approved $2.0B buyback authorization Shares sit near $21.74, near the low end of a 52-week range of $19.93 to $30.60, with the bull case increasingly tied to balance sheet moves rather than the retail business.
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TradeSmith retweeted
Bullish Market Signal: $QQQ just closed "up" 11 days in a row. This is RARE and has only happened 9 times. It's been up 100% of the time a year later, on average 28%. Expect volatility over the next 3 months, but this signal says the melt up is still on and thriving.
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TradeSmith retweeted
The real economy keeps screaming bullish with new highs United Rentals $URI and Sunbelt $SUNB: new all-time highs. Hyatt $H, Marriott $MAR, $IHG: new all-time highs. Trucking $SAIA, $ODFL, $KNX: new one-year highs. Builders, travelers, freight. All ripping. Bull case intact.
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Last week winners & losers: $STI 668% | $SDOT 345% | $SPHL 120% $FOXX 92% | $VSA 64% | $NVRI -69% | $OCS -51% | $BRAI -43% $CETX -41% | $AVEX -41% S&P 500: $HUM 15% | $HPE 14% | $MDT 11% | $COIN -19% | $CIEN -16% | $CBOE -15% #stocks #StockMarket #investing
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TradeSmith retweeted
The Picks-and-Shovels Trade Behind AI Just Hit New Highs: $AMAT Leads The big three of semiconductor equipment, Applied Materials $AMAT, KLA Corp $KLAC, and Lam Research $LRCX, all hit new all-time highs last week. If you want to know where the AI capital is actually landing, look here. Big tech has now committed over $1 trillion to specialized AI infrastructure. Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle, and Meta are spending at a pace the world has never seen before. That money flows downstream. The hyperscalers buy chips from Nvidia and AMD. Those chipmakers, in turn, depend on $AMAT, $KLAC, and $LRCX for the fabrication machines, components, and testing services that make modern semiconductors possible. No semiconductor equipment industry, no AI boom. It's that simple. Each of these three U.S. leaders is posting strong revenue growth, holds a dominant position in its niche, and is trading in a powerful uptrend. All three are up more than 100% over the past year. Back in March, I covered how this group was holding up unusually well during a sharp market decline. That relative strength was the market telling us something important about underlying demand. Since then, the group is up an average of 41%, an annualized pace of 202%. When you're on the receiving end of the largest investment boom in history, things tend to go well. We remain bullish on the semiconductor equipment theme, and the action this week reinforces the call.
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$QQQ closed down -4.77% Friday. Worst single-day drawdown since April 2025, peak Liberation Day panic. #Buythedip? The data leans... no. In data back to 1999, $QQQ drawdowns above 4% on average have seen a 0.9% return over the next month, positive about half the time. Past that, tech is more often lower over the next 3-, 6-, and 12-month periods. $QQQ was higher over the next month in cases from 2025, and 2020, and 1999. But we also saw action like this near the peak of the dot-com bubble... and in 2008... and in 2022. So which is it this time? Share your thoughts below 👇
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