Daily Charts, Crypto/Market Analysis, and Trading Education with a data-driven approach. Not financial advice. Founder of the Trader Engineering Course.

Joined November 2023
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$ETH went lower to find buyers as expected. Now that we're at $3k, I expect resistance because 1) it's a previous resistance, and 2) it's a psychological resistance. BTC.D continues to rise. Once the Feds change their policy and $BTC nears its cycle top near $150K, ETH will find new all-time highs.
$ETH is making the move I was calling out yesterday. We need to go lower and find enough buyers to swing the momentum hard to the upside. We're likely going to overshoot the CoG here. Buckle up.
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$ETH is making the move I was calling out yesterday. We need to go lower and find enough buyers to swing the momentum hard to the upside. We're likely going to overshoot the CoG here. Buckle up.
$ETH is hanging out at the Center of Gravity. The CoG pulls on Ethereum's price at $2,300, and so far, it hasn't escaped. I think we need to go a bit lower to find buyers, build momentum, then have the CoG pull and swing us upward.
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$ETH is showing us a phenomenon called "Barbed Wire". It's when you get several doji candles in a row, wicks on both sides of the small body. It means the market is indecisive; it's where most traders lose money. There are reasonable ways to trade this; ideally, you should be long biased on this timeframe, given the large bull body to the left signaling a bullish market. On the shorter timeframes, 15m, 1hr, one should still long biased, and should be selling a portion of your position when the top of the range is hit. Then wait for an entry at the bottom of the range (near where we are now). This is an area to practice caution.
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This is a bullish chart. Despite what you'll see many say on social media, Bitcoin has not been bearish since 2022. This will be the third leg up. I would not expect the bull run to continue after $150k, which is the Lifetime Resistance. Anything beyond that is a bonus.
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$ETH is hanging out at the Center of Gravity. The CoG pulls on Ethereum's price at $2,300, and so far, it hasn't escaped. I think we need to go a bit lower to find buyers, build momentum, then have the CoG pull and swing us upward.
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With inflation rates lower than expected, $ETH and #Crypto should get a boost. Lower inflation rates mean a higher chance of rate cuts, which are better for risk assets like Crypto. $3,000 Ethereum might be on the horizon.
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And there it is! $DXY has now just about touched 102.000, and I don't think it's done yet. 104.000 at the 30EMA is just below the mean, I think we're going back to the Center of Gravity here.
As previously noted, here comes $DXY toward 101.500 - 102.500. I think we should be referencing this chart when evaluating $BTC's remaining potential upside. This means Bitcoin potentially has a little more runway before topping out. I think $BTC targets $106K, $ETH $2,250.
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Now that $ETH has come into contact with the Daily 200EMA and the Weekly 30EMA at the 50% pullback mark from the top to the bottom of the last dump around $2,500.. Let's see if my Short will work this time 👇
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$ETH trade closed! Entry: $2,360.50 Take-Profit: $2,318.00 A 2% scalp. Likely going to remain on the sidelines for a bit to see if we get a better pullback signal, or a buy entry.
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Taking an $ETH Short scalp here. 1) Bullish exhaustion on the 15m/1HR 2) Gap to the 9EMA on the 1HR chart 3) Key resistance area 4) Measured Move target hit at $2,080 5) 15m/1HR RSI's are all severely overbought Entry: $2,058.50 TP: $1,986.00 SL: $2,162.00
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Not this time! $ETH is absolutely back and showing it by holding tight above the 9EMA. Looking for long entries.
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As previously noted, here comes $DXY toward 101.500 - 102.500. I think we should be referencing this chart when evaluating $BTC's remaining potential upside. This means Bitcoin potentially has a little more runway before topping out. I think $BTC targets $106K, $ETH $2,250.
$DXY closed this week over 100, but I think 102.5 is in sight. The Weekly RSI is very low at 32, there's a gap to the 200EMA and the Mean (102-104.5), and we have a buy candle from last week. This is good news for $BTC and $ETH. I forecast we will see $100K BTC and $2,250 ETH.
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Joe Dean - Trader Engineering retweeted
I have CLOSED my $ETH trade! 1) The first target of $1,995 has just about been reached at a minor resistance, just shy of the psychological resistance of $2,000. 2) A highly volatile candle in a short period of time usually has a harsh pullback. 3) We broke out of the bullish channel to hit that resistance, very likely we will pause here or even pull back hard. 4) $BTC has tagged $100,000, which is a *major* resistance point, ETH would likely follow in direction. 5) BTC Dominance is still marching upward, no reason to assume ETH will get a bigger slice of capital. 6) The Daily RSI is near overbought, close enough given the conditions above to allow me to take my money and run. 7) The Fed didn't make any changes; QT continues, no rate cuts, no reason to believe alts will get a further boost. If ETH didn't break out as quick, the Fed cut rates or announced a change in monetary policy toward the end of QT, BTC Dominance would have been more likely to fall, giving me more confidence in ETH's ability to boost further. Given my top reasons above, I'll take my 15.51% profit on the position and be a happy camper. This was intended to be a Daily scalp trade, and I'm sticking to that plan. I'll be posting my next potential trade entry as soon as the opportunity presents itself. Thank you for following!
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I entered a futures long on #ETH. Entry: $1,702.00 Take-Profit: $2,145 Stop-Loss 1: $1,450 Stop-Loss 2: $1,250 Rationale: 1) Second sign of strength at this level 2) Gap to the Weekly 30EMA 3) RSI at 49 and above the MA 4) Premise is 2018 Cycle High is strong support
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🚨 $ETH Long Trade Update👇 The bulls are eating up sell orders at the top of the Contentious Zone at $1,865. The more this happens, the more likely it is that resistance is to be broken. Looking to the left, we have strong bull candles before the range, making an upside breakout more likely. I'm tightening my Stop-Loss to $1,599, leaving the current TP's intact at $1,995 and $2,145 before the $2,250 Weekly 200EMA resistance level. I have no reason to believe (yet) that the likelihood of those levels being hit is in danger, so they remain part of my plan. As the price demonstrates strength at every key support and resistance level of my analysis, I reduce my risk by tightening up the SL. This is an art; you don't want to tighten it because you're afraid of losing money, then you'll tighten it too much, and the trade won't have room to move. You want to tighten it to reduce your risk, and if it's hit, that means your trade premises were invalidated, and it's time to get out.
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I have CLOSED my $ETH trade! 1) The first target of $1,995 has just about been reached at a minor resistance, just shy of the psychological resistance of $2,000. 2) A highly volatile candle in a short period of time usually has a harsh pullback. 3) We broke out of the bullish channel to hit that resistance, very likely we will pause here or even pull back hard. 4) $BTC has tagged $100,000, which is a *major* resistance point, ETH would likely follow in direction. 5) BTC Dominance is still marching upward, no reason to assume ETH will get a bigger slice of capital. 6) The Daily RSI is near overbought, close enough given the conditions above to allow me to take my money and run. 7) The Fed didn't make any changes; QT continues, no rate cuts, no reason to believe alts will get a further boost. If ETH didn't break out as quick, the Fed cut rates or announced a change in monetary policy toward the end of QT, BTC Dominance would have been more likely to fall, giving me more confidence in ETH's ability to boost further. Given my top reasons above, I'll take my 15.51% profit on the position and be a happy camper. This was intended to be a Daily scalp trade, and I'm sticking to that plan. I'll be posting my next potential trade entry as soon as the opportunity presents itself. Thank you for following!
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$ETH is releasing Pectra tomorrow, probably the most significant update to the network since 2022. The Fed Interest Rate Decision is also tomorrow, likely will not see any change. I'm cautiously optimistic we'll see a bullish response. Possibly a quick dip before a rip.
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$ETH is still in the Contentious Zone between $1,765 and $1,840. That range is important, but look at the chart below; it's the EMA ribbons holding up the price. Best part? EMAs draw themselves and show us the areas of interest. My long stays in play if we keep closing above.
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When I said $ETH would pause here for a week or two, I was actually hoping we could skip that step and go right to $2k. Beggars can't be choosers, I suppose.
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$BTC is likely heading for the all-time high zone at $106K to $109K. This thread explains why. Markets love testing support and resistance. So what did we do after the all-time high was hit? We came back down to test the previous high of $74K. Why is this level so important?
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When trading: 1) Identify Reversal Zones 2) Looking for Reversal Signals 3) Wait for Breakout Confirmation 4) Count legs in a trend (3 is typical) 5) Repeat These are some of the most reliable ways to map where we are in the cycle because it maps to Human Psychology.
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Human Psychology is what drives markets because we're the ones trading it. Yes, bots are a thing, but they're programmed by humans and it's all for the same purpose; to make money. View the market through the lens of risk, as if humans are trading it and protecting their money.
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