Joined November 2017
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- Followers 80,679
- Likes 32,675
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19 Mar 2024
Knowing when to be in the market, when OUT and on which side is #priceless
CTM is roaring in the bliss.
Learn how a mechanical systematic edge is developed and why it offers you a strong edge in the markets, youtu.be/eiSuOfkywfM
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How soon until it’s realized market is mispriced for a hike?
Last week on the YouTube sessions I said the market would reprice toward a cut.
It’s going to happening now.
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I was absolutely bullish Bitcoin.
Now anchor to Feb '26 as the cycle low. Everything snaps into place.
Dec '24 / Jan '25 was the real structural high. The bands align perfectly. The cycle framework works again.
If this is right, the low is already in - and most of the market is positioned for a move that already happened.
Post 2/3
(clean alignment)
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Strategy just sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022. BTC broke below $70K and tested the $67K support I've been flagging.
The headline sounds scary. What actually matters is whether anything changed about the setup.
In this video I walk through:
The downtrend resistance that just rejected price. The channel top. The ETF outflow streak nobody is talking about. Whether $67K holds as support or breaks. And whether the Feb cycle-low thesis I posted, the one that did 23K views, still stands now that price is back in the zone.
CTM is short right now. That doesn't mean the bigger picture is bearish. It means the system trades structure, not headlines. Strategy selling is a catalyst, not a thesis.
No predictions. No price targets. Just the levels, the catalysts, and the process behind how I read them.
youtube.com/live/9PCUzd8NBLk
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Lots of people taking victory laps. No gloating here, only staying on the right side of the markets.
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All markets. Which right now means being long tech and short bitcoin & crypto.
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I'm short Bitcoin and bullish Bitcoin at the same time.
Short-term structure broke down, CTM is positioned accordingly. But price just pulled back into rising support at a level that has held all year.
If you're a bull, this is your spot. Not higher. Not after confirmation. Right here, right now.
Long tech. Short crypto. At the same time.
FNGU 45%. ETH short 11%. MSTR short 14.5%.
CTM doesn't trade narratives. It trades structure. And right now tech is leading while crypto is rolling over.
Process over prediction. Always.
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Long tech. Short crypto. At the same time.
FNGU 45%. ETH short 11%. MSTR short 14.5%.
CTM doesn't trade narratives. It trades structure. And right now tech is leading while crypto is rolling over.
Process over prediction. Always.
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May 29
Who is lying?
78%
Trump
22%
Iran
76 votes • Final results
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May 28
Suddenly Bitcoin is interesting.
It was also interesting at $60K.
Just nobody was paying attention.
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May 28
July 2025: BOGMBASE is the real predictor. M2 is a lagging indicator.
November 2025: Monetary Base pulled back, M2 kept rising. I rest my case.
May 2026: Monetary Base called the direction. M2 had you looking the wrong way.
Three posts. Ten months. Same framework. The data hasn’t changed - people will soon catch up.
Monetary Base now moving up.
14 Nov 2025
🫡 Imagine thinking M2 offered any alpha and sharing that with your followers.
I rest my case -
Monetary Base: Total pulled back M2 continued rising.
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May 28
Everyone sees Bitcoin's lag as weakness.
I see the cleanest rotation setup of the year. When risk assets run this hard and Bitcoin sits this still, the laggard is exactly where the next leadership trade begins.
Here's why I think the catch-up move is the trade most people will miss.
youtube.com/live/8PdeH3UgL5g…
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May 28
Liquidity. Same behavior last time Fed had to stop QT and begin raising their balance sheet. Equities lead by tech melted-up why bitcoin stabilized.
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May 28
CTM took 16% on NVDA today - ahead of tomorrow's $11B MSCI rebalancing sell.
Meanwhile:
FNGU 33.1%
TSLA 13.2%
TQQQ 9.7%
MSTR short active and building
MSTR caught the momentum up and is now catching it on the way down.
The system doesn't pick sides, it reads structure.
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May 27
Bears have been wrong. That doesn’t make bulls safe.
The S&P is showing signs of a climax run, the kind of move that makes everyone look like a genius right before it ends.
I’m not calling the top. I’m showing you what to watch so you see it before it happens.
S&P 500 Climax Run? Why Now Is the Time to Watch Out
youtube.com/live/NFwI2uldJiE…
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May 20
Everyone is watching stocks and bitcoin. The real tell is the 10-year.
Yields at 4.60 pressing into descending resistance. The setup looks like a liquidity grab, a brief push above to trap traders offside before reversing lower.
If that plays out, it's bullish for risk assets across the board. Bonds, stocks, crypto - all hinge on this chart right now.
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May 19
The Bitcoin cycle debate is missing the most important variable.
Fiscal dominance changes everything - the liquidity backdrop, the policy response, and what comes next for BTC.
Full breakdown in today’s video.
Fiscal Dominance Changes EVERYTHING for Bitcoin
youtube.com/live/v_7udYgGpm0…
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May 17
Same exact place if you follow the Fed playbook.
CTM has laid this out in advance over the last few years.
May 16
Global liquidity looks exactly like Jan/Feb 2020.
After that, central banks printed TRILLIONS.
Are you connecting the dots?
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