Here are my #UFC323 Prelim bets!
- Mckinney/Duncan gets out of Rd. 1
- Torres upset?
- Turner longshot Sub?
Gimme a follow as I'll drop the Main Card Bets in a bit!
@GogoPodaUFC
*I am no betting expert, but I love the process, tail at your own risk
REMAINING STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE 🗓️
Average FPts./Game Allowed of each team's next 4 opponents.
*using fpts/g allowed from the last 5 weeks courtesy of @FantasyPtsData
Some observations⬇️
Wan'Dale Robinson has been GREAT the last 2 weeks, but we shouldn't get too bricked up just yet.
Jaxson Dart returns after this week's bye, and the upside will come back to earth.
per @FantasyPtsData
Weeks 4-9 (w. Dart):
6.2 ADoT
11.7 FPts/G (~WR35)
0.35 FP/RR
Weeks 11-12 (w. Jameis):
11.5 ADoT
19.1 FPts/G (~WR8)
0.58 FP/RR
Might be a fun offseason study here...
per @FantasyPtsData
RBs w. 10 target games (since 2021):
2025: 10 (*thru 12 weeks)
2024: 3
2023: 7
2022: 16
2021: 12
Lots to factor in, including Achane, Gibbs, CMC being 7/10 2025 instances.
CMC and Ekeler both have 7 games each and combine for 28.5% of the sample ( Kamara's 4 games = 37.5%)
Caleb Williams has been a fantasy roller coaster this season.
He's the QB9 in FPts/G and there's been some good, some bad.
His remaining schedule is also a bit of a roller coaster.
PPG allowed vs. Fantasy QBs Last 6 wks
per @FantasyPtsData
at PHI - 17.4 (16th)
at GB - 9.9 (1st)
vs. CLE - 14.3 (9th)
vs. GB - 9.9 (1st)
at SF - 25.2 (32nd)
Can we trust him?
Jordan Love is primed for a big week against the Giants.
Per @FantasyPtsData
Over the past 5 weeks the Giants are 3rd worst against QBs. (26.7 ppg)
In that span they play Man cvg. at the 4th highest rate (34.9%) and allow the most FP/DB (1.17 🤯)
Jordan Love vs. Man Coverage:
7th - 652 passing Yds.
3rd - 8.48 Yds/Att
6th - 3.9% CPOE
9th - 0.73 FP/DB
Tight End Strength of Schedule! 🗓️
Check out @TSeel14's breakdown on our substack to find out how you can nail the Tight End position over the next few weeks and in the fantasy playoffs!
*No paywall this week!
🔹Best/Worst Schedules
🔹Data Charts
🔹Tons more!
➡️bit.ly/TEStrengthofSchedule