Just a guy trying to make money off the stock market

Joined October 2025
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Trylanol retweeted
This growth is just astronomical, I’m at a loss for words. 450,000 followers now, and 40,000 subscribers. Only 7K more subscribers and I become the #1 on the entire X platform? Thank you everyone. I think this growth is just testimony to how people see free and actually compelling research democratization. Compared to old models where any alpha gets sold to institutions for tens of thousands… then retail only find out hundreds of percent later. Or where “influencers” have expensive paywalls to sell snake oil. Hope to set a long lasting example by publishing research / ideas / thought processes for free. And encouraging positive sum growth by focusing on substance.
Wow, 400,000 followers! Thank you everyone. I find it fun to share ideas with everyone for free from $TSEM to $AAOI. And especially if they end up directionally right help others build their own conviction.
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Trylanol retweeted
Photonics is nuanced and using ChatGPT/Gemini makes you miss all of it: 1. $SIVE is actually a chokepoint and partially a bottleneck. The reason it's a chokepoint is leading CPO/optical hyperscaler players go through Sivers, likely: Ayar. Celestial. Lightmatter. Lightelligence. Poet. If you take out Sivers, you literally can't make some of their products delay their roadmap by years. As many are sole/primary source but are heading the direction on multi-source. As for the bottleneck argument: Win Semi is the bottleneck for scaling laser production. But... the nuance is when you have capacity allocated for the next few years. You become part of the bottleneck itself if players fight you for allocation of finished lasers. That's the nuance people miss with capacity allocation dynamics. It's like saying $SNDK is not part of the NAND bottleneck when Kioxia makes all of it. But when Sandisk has the ultimate control of output supply, they become the bottleneck have all the pricing power. Sivers controls output supply of CW lasers given allocations, and as seen with $LITE earnings, CW laser is currently bottlenecked as everyone seems to be stuck producing EMLs. 2. Like how LLMs always uses em-dashes. You can tell when people use AI when they always use the same "CW is a dumb interchangeable laser" argument or compare "power" specs after conflating different architectures. That's why your "analysts" using AI will get this wrong over and over. There's CW lasers... and then there's a specific architectural design that Sivers achieves with DFB lasers. If you compare power specs with $LITE vs. Sivers, Lumentum wins in isolation. But they're completely different laser architectures. All the leading CPO players like Ayar, chose $SIVE for an architectural reason for high power, low thermal, laser arrays. $JBL 1.6T LRO also made one of the most dramatic moats cited by their fireside chat, using Sivers lasers. If you think CW lasers are interchangeable with Sumitomo/Furukawa, and others. And can be plug-and-play... i don't know what to tell you? Again: $SIVE makes architecturally unique CW lasers for leading CPO players. 3. I'm not sure how many times I need to say this: $SIVE for 2024-2025 has been going through development contracts. People using TTM revenue or former P/S metrics are using completely the wrong metrics, when there's volume ramp in 2027. It's the same with $AAOI which volume ramps in H1 2027. $AEHR which volume ramps after qualification. $LPK that volume ramps after qualification. This is just missing qualification cycles in semiconductors and how to model financials currently. As for the $LITE comparisons (which was also my long last year): $LITE literally started off selling laser dies before acquisition of Cloud Lite and other downstream optical engine components. This is where $SIVE is at today with starting off in the laser chokepoint for CPO: People are modeling laser revenue off very isolated TAM projections. Meanwhile Sivers is targeting M&A to expand revenue for TAM projections. This is not a simple component FAU ramp valuation modeling over with a Taiwanese company. Since Laser companies like $LITE, $COHR are known to downstream expand to make their lasers more valuable, then vertically integrate (fabs, assembly) afterward. Again, Sivers worked with Ayar and these types of companies before they all became billion dollar companies. I have high conviction knowing they know what to acquire down the ELS/optical engine stack pluggable transceiver for TAM expansion. It's just annoying when I get people who don't understand the nuances backseat commenting wrong things about my longs. I got the same thing about $AXTI is not a bottleneck! InP isn't needed! China! back at $14. Now it's $140 I got the same thing about $AAOI "is going down 50%!" back at $65. or "AOI management is shady at $30". Now it's $170 I got the "there's nothing new with $SOI" back at $45. Now it's $170. I think I'm one of the few who actually understands the nuances with photonics, since I did call out $LITE, $TSEM, Innolight, $AXTI, $AAOI, $SOI, that outperformed both photonics markets and overall markets over the past year. And now I'm long on $SIVE.
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Trylanol retweeted
Funniest part is watching people recreate the Interval Map and charge 5–10x more… We built it to solve a real problem, showing how gamma exposure evolves over time across 6,000 instruments, fully customizable, even on mobile. Then they act like they’re the ones making it “accessible.” Join us. Pay less. Get access to the same tools used by real institutions, with full transparency behind everything we build. Either way, we’ll keep building. There’s a reason Quant Data has been used on the floor and within Nasdaq.
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Trylanol retweeted
Just in: $META signs an enormous $27 Billion cumulative AI spend contract with $NBIS. Nebius was my top Neocloud AI Infrastruture DC pick. Glad management is executing toward their $7-9B ARR target. Nebius is up 14.79% premarket to $129.66.
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Trylanol retweeted
Every major crisis does the same thing. It exposes people. Not just financially, mentally. The market drops, headlines get louder, fear spreads, and people start making decisions from emotion instead of perspective. That is usually where the transfer happens. From the impatient to the patient. From the reactive to the prepared. From the people who need certainty to the people who understand uncertainty is the price of opportunity. This has happened again and again. In 1987, the market dropped 22% in one day. People thought the system was breaking. 19 months later, it had recovered. Then it kept going. In 2008 and 2009, fear was everywhere. Banks were collapsing, unemployment was rising, and people were convinced the damage would last for years. $SPX bottomed at 676 in March of 2009. A lot of people sold because they thought they were protecting themselves. What they really did was lock in fear at the worst possible moment. The ones who stayed, or bought when it felt uncomfortable, were the ones who benefited from the recovery that followed. Same thing in 2020. COVID hit, the world shut down, markets collapsed, and panic became the dominant emotion. It felt like everything was breaking at once. People sold because the pain felt immediate and the future looked impossible to read. But the market did what it has done so many times before. It recovered far faster than most people thought. That is the part people forget. Crashes feel permanent when you are inside them. They almost never are. The pattern is not complicated: Fear compresses prices. Emotion forces bad decisions. Patience gets rewarded later. While people were panicking during the financial crisis, Warren Buffet was deploying capital. He didn’t know the exact bottom. But he understood that when fear becomes excessive, opportunity usually appears. The real edge in these moments is temperament. Most people want confidence before they act. The market doesn’t work like that. One needs to find confidence in the uncomfortable. That is why wealth so often gets built in periods that feel terrible in real time. Do you follow the crowd into panic? Or do you stay grounded enough to see that fear often creates the very prices people later wish they had? The headlines always make it sound final. Worst day since this. Biggest collapse since that. Is this the end? It never sounds calm at the bottom. It never feels obvious in the moment. That is why most people miss it. The real question is whether you will react like everyone else, or whether you will remember that panic has always been expensive, and patience has usually been mispriced.
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Trylanol retweeted
Fintwit is fascinating. It’s split into 3 groups: Traders who want to be spoon-fed forever and never actually learn A small % who are independent and know exactly what they’re doing The marketers who would sell a tick off an elephant’s ass if it converted The majority of this space? Entertainment. Screenshots. Cropped P/L or PL calendar. “All-in” SPY/SPX hero trades. Luxury props. Endless funnels. Endless challenges. Most couldn’t trade if their life depended on it. But they can sell a service, bc that's just a business. And 95% of the buyers will never trade for a living. They’ll just keep funding the next promotion. The next “system.” The next Discord. The next miracle setup. Because it’s easier to buy the dream than build the skill. I’ve traded 20 years. Every market. Every cycle. Bull. Bear. Chop. I know what survives. Discipline survives. Risk management survives. Patience survives. Marketing doesn’t. Truth is boring. Gospel doesn’t get likes. Process doesn’t go viral. Lambos do. Watches do. Rented lifestyles do. Half the flex you see was bought after the service started printing subscription money — not from trading. But that doesn’t sell. What sells is: “This one trade changed my life.” No. Consistency changes your life. Most won’t make it. Not because trading is impossible… But because they follow what feels good instead of what works. I give away more than I should. At some point you ask yourself — Is it even worth it? When people will ignore the blueprint and chase the illusion anyway. Built different, I guess. But the circus is loud right now. And loud doesn’t equal profitable. This post hits all truths and will still get no likes, bc you know its the truth and its an uncomfortable truth for many.
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Trylanol retweeted
I gave $USO chart & entry at $72, 3 diff strikes that went 5,000% . I gave a second $USO trade for shares at $102, now $116. I killed oil, everyone else avoided it and called it a black swan. Like ❤️ & ♻️ share if you want more big trades!
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Trylanol retweeted
🚨 $MU is the top unusual options stock intraday with over $36M in single leg calls bought. The stock is up over $24 or 6%, ripping to new all time highs. $MU is now up over 44% YTD.
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Trylanol retweeted
If I hit 10,000 followers and officially crack this algo by the end of 2025… I’m taking ONE trader under my wing. Full mentorship. Everything I know. No fluff. To enter: • Follow me • Like this post • Repost it ❤️♻️🐦‍⬛
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