Recency-Basised, Conditional Distribution NHL Model | Predictions presented without commentary | Opinions provided unprompted | Development delayed by 3 years

Joined July 2020
28 Photos and videos
Meanwhile today Jeff Bezos was momentarily worth more than Pepsi
so uh he’s either been hacked or been drinking or been losing dares ...
It’s still a darn shame the most boring games in this round are the only ones people in Europe can watch prior to midnight ... 😔
TuRtle Hockey Model retweeted
Model update. After a 6/8 in the first round 2nd round of the Playoffs PHI 52% TB 50.6% VGK 54% (and still Cup favorite) DAL 50.6% is the big bet
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Well now I have to buy it.
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Pundit agitator is something we all can respect
Legendary work from Kevin Bieksa on the panel this evening. Wow.
TuRtle Hockey Model retweeted
Capitals probably should have paid Trotz that raise he wanted but what do I know.
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20 Aug 2020
Berube on Allen: "He was fine. I think he'd maybe want the one goal back from the side of the net maybe. Motte walked in twice and scored on breakaways basically. Jake wasn't the problem." #stlblues
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TuRtle Hockey Model retweeted
Pierre McGuire just said, in reference to the Leafs trading Nazem Kadri, that "I’m not sure it’s wise to run your team through analytics.” 1. Kadri trade was the antithesis of an "analytics" trade. 2. He said this as the Avalanche, a top tier analytics team, were celebrating.
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Amazing content from @domluszczyszyn that cleverly leverages @IneffectiveMath tools. I’m interested to see how the differentials above expected change my I use my model on the same underlying data. Comparison coming soon!
Slap shots, wristers, backhands and deflections: A look at the NHL’s best finishers with the help of @IneffectiveMath and his awesome new shot charts. theathletic.com/2005639/2020…
TuRtle Hockey Model retweeted
Replying to @Canes
worry about your own 3-1 deficit
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Oh no
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a good way to prevent Carey Price from stealing a series from you is to simply remove his head from his body

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Replying to @MeghanMHall
Great work, Meghan... I did a similar piece a few weeks ago. Here, I compared shot quality (xG per fenwick) home vs away to determine if shot tracking differs from arena to arena. And how this affects xGF%, GSAx and GAR/xGAR. hockey-statistics.com/2020/0…
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Lest we forget, the @NYTimes would like to remind us that 2020 is still very much in peak form nytimes.com/2020/08/16/us/lo…

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Mat Barzal with a beauty OT winner to give the Islanders a 3-0 lead over Washington. The NYI have dominated this series at 5-on-5 with an edge in expected goals, attempts and scoring chances in each game.
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TuRtle Hockey Model retweeted
Berube says he won’t announce goalie today, will come tomorrow. #stlblues
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Tuukka Rask doesn’t owe anyone a damn thing.
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