Joined June 2013
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This is worth a revisit: $FNMA $FMCC
19 Mar 2025
A must watch, superb, long-form interview with Secretary Bessent by the All-In crew in which Fannie and Freddie are discussed as potential core assets in a U.S. sovereign wealth fund, which I discuss below: The only credible scenario where Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (“F2”) become core assets of a sovereign wealth fund in the @realDonaldTrump administration is a world in which they emerge from conservatorship respecting the shareholders’ place in the hierarchy of claims. Those that suggest the government will simply convert their already paid off senior preferred stock (“SPS”) into common stock diluting shareholders are missing a few facts: (1) The SPS has already received $301 billion, $25 billion more than it was contractually entitled to receive, and the excess $25 billion was paid to the government more than five years ago. In other words, the SPS has been fully retired with interest plus a $25 billion overpayment, considerably more in today’s dollars. (2) Those who argue that the government won’t forgive an asset that currently sits on its balance sheet (as the government did not credit the cash flow sweep payments against the SPS at the time they were paid) have not considered that the government, as the owner of penny warrants on 79.9% of the common stock of both companies, will recover 79.9 cents of every ‘forgiven’ dollar of senior preferred. When you wipe out a liability of a company in which you own 79.9% of the common stock as the residual claimant, you immediately recover 79.9% of the erased liability, in this case, in the increased value of the government’s warrants. (3) The future value of the $25 billion overpayment to the SPS by the time of F2’s exit from conservatorship is of greater future value than the 21.1% of F2 that will go to public shareholders from the ‘forgiven’ SPS, which fully compensates the government for any ‘leakage’ to shareholders from the public’s 21.1% ownership. (4) If the government massively dilutes shareholders by converting the SPS to common stock and does not credit the $301 billion cash flow sweep payments and $25 billion overpayment, the trading values of F2 will be permanently impaired, making F2 a poor core asset for a sovereign wealth fund. What investor, institutional, retail or otherwise will assign a fair value to a company controlled by the government which wiped out the previous investors in the company? F2 common stock is held by many millions of retail and institutional investors who are @realDonaldTrump supporters. The President has a track record in looking after his constituents and keeping his promises, most notably here in a public letter in 2021 committing to F2’s release from conservatorship. I would not expect him to act differently here. Lastly, Secretary Bessent’s idea of making Fannie and Freddie core assets of a new U.S. sovereign wealth fund is a superb one. Over the very long term, Fannie and Freddie represent a royalty on first mortgages secured by the US housing market, which is a low-risk, high risk-adjusted return investment that will generate large and growing dividends that can be invested in other sovereign fund assets. The long term returns on F2 will significantly exceed the cost of U.S. Treasurys enabling our country to deleverage over time. $36 Trillion of debt and growing is a frightening liability for the future. We can address our country’s solvency problem by reducing spending and government waste, but also by increasing the asset side of our country’s balance sheet. F2 can be an important part of the solution. And the stocks of both companies will trade at a substantially higher price with the US government shares no longer being part of the overhang. Our model assumed the government would be selling its shares ratably over the five years after emergence from conservatorship.
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Hand of God retweeted
.@BernieSanders , it is a time to celebrate. @elonmusk has created enormous value for society by building @SpaceX, driving down the cost of rocket launches and creating a global satellite communication network that has brought high speed, low-cost internet and communication access to hundreds of millions and eventually billions of people along with critical advantages for our military and our nation’s defense. SpaceX and its technologies will cause an acceleration in the growth of wages and wealth creation globally, including in some of the poorest communities in the U.S. and around the world. Access to low-cost, high speed communications everywhere will allow children around the world to be educated, families to build businesses, and life-saving medical knowledge and care to be available everywhere. SpaceX will materially bring down the cost of compute, advancing AI and humanity. Meanwhile, 4,000 SpaceX employees yesterday became millionaires, including hourly wage employees who you claim you are trying to help. The Elon Musks of the world drive growth, global GDP, and provide access to goods and services at lower cost that would otherwise not exist. Elon’s nominal trillionaire status is due to his ownership of SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, the Boring Company and his other initiatives that have brought new technologies that improve our everyday lives. Elon is not sitting on a trillion dollar pile of cash, jewelry and gold. He is using his controlling stakes in his companies to advance mankind. Elon’s companies don’t pay dividends. They reinvest all of their capital to accelerate innovation and value creation. Elon is working 24/7 for all of us. He deserves respect and appreciation, not smears. Bernie, your socialism would never allow a SpaceX to be built. Socialism has only proven to impoverish mankind and lead to death and destruction. We need to create the conditions for more SpaceXs to be built, not attack the great entrepreneurs who are helping to advance our country.
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Hand of God retweeted
POV: Me and the SpaceX lunch lady when she becomes a millionaire after the IPO.
BREAKING: SpaceX's IPO is expected to create 4,000 new millionaires, including some cafeteria workers whose compensation packages include employee stock options, per Bloomberg.
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Hand of God retweeted
Right now, 89,000 unidentified image series of children being sexually abused have been seen by law enforcement — but these children have yet to be identified and are still waiting to be found due to resource and manpower shortages, every day we don't act is another day they're in harm's way. Today, we acted. I am grateful to our congressional leaders for getting this lifesaving legislation over the finish line, and to the law enforcement who never stop fighting for these kids. My prayer is that hope is renewed for many more boys and girls, and that their stories will be different because of this legislation. When we come together, real change can happen —and this is just the beginning.
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I wonder who is helping usher in the F2 public offering...
𝗗𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗱 𝗝. 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝗧𝗿𝘂𝘁𝗵 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁 - 𝟬𝟵:𝟯𝟬 𝗔𝗠 𝗘𝗦𝗧 𝟬𝟲.𝟭𝟬.𝟮𝟲 Wow! CITI was ranked Number 1 in topping M&A Advisory Market by Value in Q1. Congratulations to Jane F and ALL of her great people. They’ve worked really hard! BIG comeback for CITI!!! President DONALD J. TRUMP
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...and he's probably anchoring low, given his typical modus operandi... $FNMA $FMCC
$FNMA $FMCC Enjoy @realDonaldTrump's "Trillion Dollar" hat trick montage! 3 trillion dollar references to Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac in less than a week. We have officially entered into the phase of conditioning the public for what's coming. Keep doubting if you like.😊 GLTA.
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Life experiences compound just like financial investments – but they carry greater reward. When you start to challenge yourself, you start an exponential curve of achievement. When you establish healthy habits, your aperture later in life is widened beyond your current visibility. The earlier you travel, the sooner your world opens up to vast possibilities. The earlier you start learning, the sooner you shed bad ideas. The earlier you find a spouse or partner, the sooner you begin “real life” that is shared to the end. The earlier you have children, the sooner your value system reshapes for maximal reward. The earlier you learn to forgive and ask forgiveness, the sooner you reach relational peace. Invest early. Invest often. Physically, emotionally, spiritually, financially, educationally.
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Hand of God retweeted
$FNMA $FMCC Another trillion dollar soundbite today from @realDonaldTrump on Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac as he continues to commend @pulte & endorse him as acting DNI. You’re out of your mind if you think nothing is happening with F2. When we uplist, we’ll be on the most coveted ride since Noah’s Ark. GLTA
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Hand of God retweeted
Absolutely
Replying to @cvpayne
@cvpayne Mr Turner rang the opening bell today. If you ever interview him, please ask him about this post from over a year ago… Thanks!
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Hand of God retweeted
And average blue collar hourly wages have increased by 74.4% from $18.53 to $32.31. This means the time price of a Big Mac is actually 25% more affordable. You now get 1.34 Big Macs for the time price of one in 2009. Source: BLS
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Hand of God retweeted
Burry wrote a $FNMA article and used Samsung as a 30 year 470x proof of when to load up on a compounder that trades at its tangible book value before it explodes on another long bull run backed by it's superior business performance. He ends clarifying buy Samsung's common stock.
Replying to @StopTheStealF2
8x in 30 years, Samsung provided opp. to buy common stock at TBV When to sell? One option is never. From the bottom of the 1998 to today, Samsung returned about 24.6%/yr, with the stock up 470x... Now, I have a stock here in America that is providing a similar opportunity $FNMA
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Hand of God retweeted
when youre rushing to find the votes to knock out the sole republican you dont have time to balance out the count to look plausible
Democrats overwhelmingly vote late and by mail — but only Nithya Raman Democrats, not Karen Bass Democrats. Just totally insane stuff.
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Marry early. Have kids young while you have all your energy. Kids leave home earlier while you still have youth and vitality to travel, explore, and visit the grands. Meet your great-grandchildren. This is legacy. Don't be fooled into "once I'm/we're ready" thinking. Nobody is ready. Commit and jump in. Thrift shop, home cook, love well, pour yourself into them... you can't afford not to.
The psyop men fall for is, “You can have kids anytime.” While true, the other side of this coin is, “Every day you delay kids is a day you don’t get with your grandkids.”
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Fannie Mae $FNMA is a long-term compounder - Michael J. Burry
Sometimes investing is really that easy. open.substack.com/pub/michae…
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Hand of God retweeted
Im pushing
Replying to @cvpayne
Now we're talkin'! Watching the show now! But you still gotta "break that Fannie Mae news together" with @pulte.
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Hand of God retweeted
Replying to @cboyack
And real time, not once every four years.
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Great take. $FNMA $FMCC
$FNMA $FMCC Only audio was available earlier when @realDonaldTrump addressed the Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac question on Air Force One. Here's the corresponding video as well. Final statement: "I could’ve sold it in my first term for one tenth of what it’s worth now...and I didn’t wanna do it. NOW I think we...you know...we would consider an IPO, yeah. In my humble view, this is Trump‘s typical Art of War routine where he keeps everyone guessing. But the tea leaves I continue to read represent the hill I’m willing to die on. 1. @BillAckman has met with the administration repeatedly and has publicly (and confidently) laid out his plan. He also launched his own IPO where he’s indicated that he’ll reinvest funds raised to replicate current holdings. He also just launched a Trump Accounts endorsement project with Charles Schwab. 2. The administration has been meeting repeatedly for months with attorneys and bankers to make sure all their ducks are in a row. 3. @RobinhoodApp overrode their OTC protocols last week to make an exception in adding F2 to their platform. Random? No way. Robinhood also has exclusivity as the broker and soul initial trustee for the Trump Accounts. 4. Berkshire Hathaway took an $8.5 billion position in a home building company. Bullish much? 5. A pro rate cut Fed Chair who economically aligns with Trump now presides in Warsh. 6. Capital requirements are likely to be reduced when recommendations are made next month regarding Trump's March EO on reviewing regulatory constraints. 7. @SecScottBessent wants to improve the asset side of the balance sheet...and there's too much money to be made for the Sovereign Wealth Fund for Trump not to act. Timing is everything. He won’t steal Elon’s SpaceX thunder. But what better time than the country's 250th birthday to tie in an F2 public offering on the way to restoring the American Dream? It would be the production and pageantry he lives for. Just sayin'. 8. @pulte continues to say that all options are on the table & that they’re locked, loaded, & ready to go. And we're still waiting for he & @cvpayne to "break that Fannie Mae news together ". 9. The Texas Stock Exchange is going live next month...for whatever that's worth. Cue the doubters and never gonna happeners. Troll away. Weary and fatigued shareholders...I get it. I hear you. I'm one of you. It's been a grueling ride. Do I get frustrated every time F2 is referred to as a trillion dollar company while we trade like penny stocks on pink sheets?Yes! One trillion percent! But the goaline is close. Trump isn’t gonna fumble the opportunity to solidify the crown jewel in his his legacy of restoring housing. When? Who knows. But it's coming...and it will be swift. Have a great weekend! GLTA
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$300,000 could buy 29,440 shares of $AGNC at today's price. With a $0.12 monthly dividend (14% APY), that's $3,532/mo just in dividends. Here's the kicker: With a base of $300,000 and a $3,532/mo reinvestment and a 14% APY compounding monthly, in 10 years, that $300,000 is worth $1,206,000. In 20 years? $4,850,000. This is completely ignoring the fact that you would be working to earn along the way, dividends may increase, and the share price is on the rise. Now, most people don't have $300,000 lying around (hence the college loan), but if you grind, you could work to earn that in the same time it would have taken you to complete your 4-year degree. Would it take discipline? Thrift store shopping? Rent sharing or living with parents? Likely, but it can be done. So - is the $300,000 "education" worth it?
Replying to @PeterDiamandis
$300,000 could buy 29,440 shares of $AGNC at today's price. With a $0.12 monthly dividend (14% APY), that's $3,532/mo just in dividends. Here's the kicker: With a base of $300,000 and a $3,532/mo reinvestment and a 14% APY compounding monthly, in 10 years, that $300,000 is worth $1,206,000. In 20 years? $4,850,000. This is completely ignoring the fact that you would be working to earn along the way, dividends may increase, and the share price is on the rise. Now, most people don't have $300,000 lying around (hence the college loan), but if you grind, you could work to earn that in the same time it would have taken you to complete your 4-year degree. Would it take discipline? Thrift store shopping? Rent sharing or living with parents? Likely, but it can be done. So - is the $300,000 "education" worth it?
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Hand of God retweeted
One of the most misleading ideas in American politics is that the United States has a large, fixed class of permanently poor people stuck at the bottom year after year, while everyone else moves on without them. That story is emotionally powerful. It also happens to be a poor guide for serious policy. Read my latest at @thedailyeconomy… 1/2
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Hand of God retweeted
Because it was a No-bid contract…. No bureaucracy. No years of delays. No NGO comment period. No consultant class feeding at the trough. No kickbacks disguised as “stakeholder engagement.” No public debate about turning it into a 2,000-foot LGBTQ flag. No marketing campaign to advance woke agendas. No funneling cash “straight to the local community” through Tammany Hall-style grinders. Just results. They vastly prefer the model perfected by @PeteButtigieg’s $2T infrastructure spending spree.
Can someone please explain to me why Democrats are mad about this
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